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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    Day 10+ on an op tho? I mean, the GEPS do look a hell of alot better than the GEFS but can it be trusted?
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    That was a good one. I have video of me and my wife and 2 dogs taking a Jebwalk as that deformation band cranked overhead. And back then, those videocameras werent small enough for your pockets. It's a wonder I didn't destroy the thing and have actual footage!
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    Thunder and lightning here in Ivyland. Your typical mid January evening
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    You know as well as I do 1 of 2 things will happen. A) whatever can go wrong WILL go wrong....whether that be a displaced ridge axis, badly timed SER flex, etc. Or we do the complete opposite and enter an epic window of winter.
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    Cali is fooked
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    Actually trended the wrong way (West) with the mean Western Ridge axis longitude vs 0z run. Soooo, the chase continues:
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    This is a nice color palette change for the snowfall map...nice totals
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    That western ridge is what concerns me as well. Makes sense to be displaced to the left unfortunately as that also fits this repeating pattern progression. Was/am hoping this go round we have climo on our side vs early Dec and late Oct.
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    Also, has sort if a 2014ish look to the longwave pattern if I remember that season correctly. Had the overrunning pattern and it locked in most of the winter.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    My daylillies are sprouting out of the ground up this way. Daffodils are half inch out of the ground. Lilac bush has growth. Magnolia buds close to popping. Cherry Blossom Festival before PD?
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    Yes I posted this earlier about the gradient overrunning. I don't hate the look. It's where the progression should take us....things on track still for a backloader. The post you quoted was from that dude in another sub, not my thoughts. That was what he was suggesting....a tiny 2 day window then spring. Again, I tend to disagree with his thinking at this time.
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    Cherry blossom festival might be around Valentines day this year if things keep up.
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    Some astronomy dude in NY sub says we have one chance...Feb 4-6. Maybe a Feb 83 or Jan 16 vibe...MECS then meltoff starts next day is what I got from his post.
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    I joked with you in a post earlier wrt western ridge but if early seasonal history is a thing, yes, frustrating.
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    Beautiful day! Daffodils are a half inch or more out of the soil and my daylillies are emerging from their long winter dormancy. Wow, Jan 12...earliest I recall seeing this.
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    Meanwhile my 11 daughter says if it doesn't snow she's taking her scout knife to both of our professional snow tubes. We need snow, really, we do.
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    ^^^ anything to shake it up a little. Still thinking backloaded times are in store. Whether that means 2nd half fun or a week in March is anyone's guess. This Nina is acting differently and I don't think we have seen all the longwave looks it has to offer just yet.
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    SPV getting beaten to a pulp. This is the most extreme look, on the op, just for visual purposes. All ens means have similar albeit somewhat muted given they are means:
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    Some dude in NY said one and done this year early Feb. Maybe this is setting up for it?
  20. Ralph Wiggum
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    West Coast ridge axis displaced too far to the left... WAR not going to make any friends either
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    There is a threat window around the 23rd still but temps probably still an issue. Maybe we can at least get a Feb 83 or Jan 16 event....one and done....before we exit stage left
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    Couldn't agree more Paul.
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    FYP
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    Pretty sure that's right where we want it at this range. Oh wait (flips frantically thru weenie handbook) nevermind.
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