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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    Actually trended the wrong way (West) with the mean Western Ridge axis longitude vs 0z run. Soooo, the chase continues:
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    This is a nice color palette change for the snowfall map...nice totals
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    That western ridge is what concerns me as well. Makes sense to be displaced to the left unfortunately as that also fits this repeating pattern progression. Was/am hoping this go round we have climo on our side vs early Dec and late Oct.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    Also, has sort if a 2014ish look to the longwave pattern if I remember that season correctly. Had the overrunning pattern and it locked in most of the winter.
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    My daylillies are sprouting out of the ground up this way. Daffodils are half inch out of the ground. Lilac bush has growth. Magnolia buds close to popping. Cherry Blossom Festival before PD?
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    Yes I posted this earlier about the gradient overrunning. I don't hate the look. It's where the progression should take us....things on track still for a backloader. The post you quoted was from that dude in another sub, not my thoughts. That was what he was suggesting....a tiny 2 day window then spring. Again, I tend to disagree with his thinking at this time.
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Cherry blossom festival might be around Valentines day this year if things keep up.
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    Some astronomy dude in NY sub says we have one chance...Feb 4-6. Maybe a Feb 83 or Jan 16 vibe...MECS then meltoff starts next day is what I got from his post.
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    I joked with you in a post earlier wrt western ridge but if early seasonal history is a thing, yes, frustrating.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    Beautiful day! Daffodils are a half inch or more out of the soil and my daylillies are emerging from their long winter dormancy. Wow, Jan 12...earliest I recall seeing this.
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    Meanwhile my 11 daughter says if it doesn't snow she's taking her scout knife to both of our professional snow tubes. We need snow, really, we do.
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    ^^^ anything to shake it up a little. Still thinking backloaded times are in store. Whether that means 2nd half fun or a week in March is anyone's guess. This Nina is acting differently and I don't think we have seen all the longwave looks it has to offer just yet.
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    SPV getting beaten to a pulp. This is the most extreme look, on the op, just for visual purposes. All ens means have similar albeit somewhat muted given they are means:
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Some dude in NY said one and done this year early Feb. Maybe this is setting up for it?
  15. Ralph Wiggum
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    West Coast ridge axis displaced too far to the left... WAR not going to make any friends either
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    There is a threat window around the 23rd still but temps probably still an issue. Maybe we can at least get a Feb 83 or Jan 16 event....one and done....before we exit stage left
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    Couldn't agree more Paul.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    FYP
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    Pretty sure that's right where we want it at this range. Oh wait (flips frantically thru weenie handbook) nevermind.
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    But is is stable? We need stability in here dammit!!
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    What phase is the current WDI?
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    Well, it's 3rd and 35 still. Need a bigtime play over the next 2 weeks. If not, then we decide what to do on 4th down as Feb begins. Let's take that timeout and talk things over.
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    I mean, we have the gfs tracking cyclones due west from Bermuda so nothing surprises me
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    This will trend S for all of us to cash in. Jan 23rd is the center of another brief(?) window.
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