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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    So would P29
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    Bingo. Like I noted earlier this is one of the classic ukie biases. Tho I wouldn't doubt the fall line ends up the r/s line.
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    On to the NAVGEM...
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    Don't follow its thermals. Used to hold back energy in sw like euro. General ideas are usefull ie if you are trying to see if a cutter idea vs coastal idea is valid. Ukie tends to overamp as well.
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    That's actually a really good sign. When utilized properly the ukie is a half decent piece of guidance provided you are aware of it's biases
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    RedSky punted and the return team fumbled. Bedlam on the field. Buckle up for next week....patience looks really close now to paying off. 3 solid chances in peak climo with cold air available. Let's do this!
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    What do the JMA and UKIE say?
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    Pretty big shift for an ens means at this range
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    Least snowiest model wins 90% of the time.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    Tracking wintry weather is a hobby for me. I'm not on here as much during the summer outside of following severe or a tropical system, but 'hobby' is still an acceptable term for what many of us do here outside of red taggers and orange taggers.
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    I dont think it is a total head fake and I'm certain we get extremely close on a few chances if not cash-in finally....but maybe your punt won't look bad by the time we get to Valentines Day-ish.
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    CMC says let's overwhelm the pattern with avocado cold....LR dry GFS says let's open the window just a crack then slam it shut so hard it shatters the glass...LR torch Euro says I'll just string you along a few days then pull the rug out....then when you are out I'll pop a unicorn look and do it again Sometime I seriously loathe this hobby.
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    Fits the Roger Smith narrative....one legit shot early Feb, warmup middle 2 weeks, back to cold end of Feb. The guy forecasts thru the stars and is mostly spot-on.
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Exactly, nothing but avocados and blue balls.
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    Fire and brimstone at 10mb!!
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    It happens. Never a bad thing to 'bust' the wrong way. But counting chickens before they hatch....let's actually score something first.
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    Euro has some frozen for Sunday. All 3 LR ops have several threats. 26th-27th looks decent
  18. Ralph Wiggum
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    As a side bar, great to see your posts in here daily the past several days. Refreshing.
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    Best look is day 7+ tho we could still sneak into something over the next week behind one of the waves to our W as the boundary is dragged S and a quick wave follows behind.
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    Not even that far out tbh. Still could sneak something next 7 days but yes in general the 'best' looks are showing up after day 7. Get this under 7 days and get discrete threats under 5 and we dance.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    Keep throwing chances with the displaced TPV and 50/50 signature in the MR/LR with stj action and eventually we will cash in. Patience will pay off soon enough...confidence is increasing.
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    Love me some LR op digital fantasy
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    Looks like the Roger Smith storm brewing late in the GFS run.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    And also added major snow event once the cutter pulls the boundary underneath us. GEFS / EPS appear primed as well.
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