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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Money line? I'm taking the gfs. I also doubt they run 12z Euro bet they resume at 18z or 0z.
  2. How's your book coming along? I see you put chapter 1 here for us to proofread. Looks great!
  3. ^^^ and under 9 days away....what could possibly go wrong?
  4. GFS has been right every time it showed no digital snow which is 95% of the time this winter.
  5. Nah, most of us were already crazy before we embraced this wonderful hobby
  6. A boundary stalled under us with weakish waves riding it would work such as the ens means are hinting at for the 1st week of Feb. An amped up low...as you said...warm (relative)/wet.
  7. Just wanted to note that even with the SER flex as you pointed out, the 2m temps (and 850s which I'm not posting) are still BN and plenty of cold up top. If the PAC side went to puke in addition to the SER I would be tempted to punt Feb, but as long as we have the cold air source nearby we are still in the game for a bit:
  8. That base state isn't going to change. We knew coming in this year would be windows sandwiched in-between AN stuff with a flexing SER. So far those windows have been unproductive. Maybe this early Feb period can work for once.
  9. 0z euro was also in the 18z gfs camp from yesterday fwiw. Finally gets the cold established after the turn of the month and has a stationary boundary hanging under us with waves riding along it.
  10. Paging @Roger Smith paging @Roger Smith....the 18z gfs called for you. That is all!
  11. Officially .25" snow today. Tied for largest event of the season. Total for the year a whopping .5"
  12. GEFS has us near 100% chance of at least an inch of snow over the next 2 weeks. What could possibly go wrong?
  13. Summer thunderstorms and winter snowstorms are 2 entirely different things.
  14. A poster on the forum @Roger Smith. He uses atronomy as a tool in forecasting. I get what you're saying about prime climo but to specifically nail a 3 day range in this crud winter over a month ago that is starting to look like it may be the only one period that produces is quite remarkable tbh. Let's see what happens before we carry him around on a victory lap, but looks intriguing for now anyway.
  15. Maybe. I just find it interesting that this guy tends to nail down the exact period every year where we score something. He called this period of early Feb like 2 months ago and specifically added a few date ranges 3 or 4 weeks ago.
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