EPS has another chunk of polar air coming down centered around the 12th with 850s near to BN and a mean h5 disturbance sliding under the region. Not a huge signal but not a horrible one either.
Try and put the thread in the eye of the needle enough times and it will eventually happen.
Seasons that begin with significant HL +height anomalies tend to sandwich -height anomalies in the middle. Both PSU and even Chuck have noted this several times. It's one of the main reasons I went with the backloaded idea this year. Most years with the early epic HL blocking recently have failed to produce 'early' more times than not. For whatever reason (sst lag?) this revisited HL +height anomalies have produced in the 2nd half of Feb and March.
I honestly believe our "thread-the-needle" events actually will increase in likelihood as we move thru March, meaning the chances of one of these actually working out or "threading-the-needle" will continue to increase. One of these is going to work out right when we least expect it. It's only Feb 2....plenty of time to go. Dont really necessarily care what happened or didn't happen in Dec or Jan....recent history shows our prime climo is just starting to come into range.
Saw the green comet last night with naked eye. Just a blurry star with greenish hue. Used the Sky Tonight app to locate it. I can only assume it's green for the Eagles!
Speaking of LR, we could theoretically have a chance for something in early April with this look:
But alas, we have plenty of chances still coming this month and into March so hang tight. Never a doubt on the backloaded winter thing this year.