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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. And ffs the AI isn't far off at all. Methinks ppl either have ptsd from being skipped over alot recently or have moved onto spring in the middle of Feb. Either is plain insanity. This is our best chance of a nicer storm the entire season.
  2. Right? Big azz storm just grazing the coast. No way it can tick N and W as the AO races towards positive? That AI was 100-200 mile nudge West from being a high-end MECS. Gimme a break ppl.
  3. Wow, wth did i sleep thru? Meteorologists perfected modeling 6 days out now? I missed that AMS headline apparently. Thanks for the hot take dude.
  4. Disagree with this. PNA is more robust at 18z, the vort is stronger, and the heights out ahead are higher. Maybe our definitions of progressive dont jive. Less of a dig maybe but I think it could just be a hair slower. The blocking overtop is even stronger 18z. Again, might be getting ready to go apeshit after this, we just can't know.
  5. That's what I'm saying...this is really all or nothing imho. We are either going full-on phase with the tpv at the proper time or timing is tucked and we get a minor/moderate event that scoots ene as it grazes us. The latter would fit PSUs thinking also ie Nina climo, big storms, seasonal trends etc. If I had to bet I would also side with the latter. But once the tpv is in play, all bets are off.
  6. I agree. And I think we are walking a razors edge here between a come NNE up the coast or be whisked ENE. One tiny shift with that h5 configuration would spell huge surface changes.
  7. You pretty much say this... Every. Single. Winter.
  8. DC is a snow town, but I'm not telling you anything you already didn't know. It just wants to snow.
  9. We have threads for 9-10 day threats now?
  10. They may lose Josh Sweat. BG also likely retiring. In Howie we trust.
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