Ralph Wiggum

GEFS quite amplified, EPS flat in COD. Completely different outcomes.

We are vets at this though (most of us here) and know the drill....something shows up on an op at range early in the season (mid nov-mid dec) and when it doesn't verify ppl start saying we wasted half the winter etc. When in actuality, anything prior to Jan 1 really is a bonus along the i95 corridor. Just because ppl remember it snowing once or twice on Dec 5 as a kid, for example, that really isn't the norm. Never has been. Are total seasonal averages down past decade or so? Sure. But until the can gets kicked while in prime climo, there souldnt be cause for alarm yet on the winter.

Can only hold Saquon down so long. Tucker needs to go.

If y'all drop this one after keeping Saquon in check and with one of the Eagles best WRs out, then I just dont know. I fully expect Philly to cave late but we'll see. P.S. Sorry bout the Terrapins yesterday

GFS et all have thrown everything and the kitchen sink at us for next weekend. Goes to show how many pieces are involved in trying to figure things out. I'm still hoping to eek out some flakes with the fropa on the 5th. Verbatim tho, that's a crippling ice storm for alot of folks in the interior this run.

If this is a general idea of what our base state will resemble this winter, that is not reflective of a Nina. I know we are neutral attm and I'm wondering *IF* enso switches to a weak Nina in January if we may escape the prime climo of winter without any drastic effects. Interesting (maybe not if you've been around as long as some of us) how much of a role enso plays....even minor pertubations.

I don't hate the GFS. Was never really in for a flush hit with next week's system. But i like how very cold air is lurking just to the N, so who knows what can happen with some timing tweaks. Going into Dec, regardless what happens, this just has a different feel than recent years.

Makes perfect sense tbh. The energy in the SW, more often than not, seems to hold the key to many of out trackable events.

Ha! Yes.

Not saying it's wrong but the euro, even after the upgrades, has been notorious for holding energy back in the SW.

It's nearing go time. Won't be long now.

Happy Thanksgiving! You know what I'm thankful for? The 'block user' feature on this forum.

Pretty sure we are enso neutral attm? If it even matters.

It is very early and hopefully we don't deplete the reserves up N, but it doesn't appear arctic air will be an issue. Now just need to time some of that with moisture.

Found a delicious bourbon barrel stout today for any of you fine folks who enjoy the style. Comparable to Founder's KBS but even more complex and aged in rye barrels for a delicious spicy sort of finish.....Lagunitas Willettized imperial Coffee Stout. Delicious asf. Dangerous at 13%....can't taste the alcohol, very well hidden under the complex flavor. Definitely a big beer.