weatherbo

Have you considered being a little more detailed in your maps?

Low of 10. Coldest report I could find was 4 degrees. I have to imagine some remote area probably slipped below zero for a while. Looking closer at Nov, nice to see a mild first half looking likely. As long as there's decent snow opening day, I'm good.

Thick cloud bank hanging just west of here, threatening to sink in. In the meantime, with clear skies the temp has dropped to 15.

This is my eighth October here and it usually snows without fail every year. I think the most I've seen really early was Oct 5th, 2018 when a very wet five inches fell. Most years there is snow on the ground by Halloween but usually it's not anything too deep, so this is by far the most snow I've seen in October- two feet in the past 23 days and like I mentioned earlier, 20" falling since the 20th. The snow on the ground is on the wet side and the temps should remain cool enough for the snow to hang around a while, thawing and refreezing, making it more stubborn to melt off, especially with the increasingly low sun angle and living on a north facing ridge. However, the ground is still fairly warm and we're entering long stretch of mild-ish, benign weather, so I expect the snow to slowly whittle away to scraps... although anything is possible... I'm consistently amazed at the freakish nature of the weather up here.

Great pics Will. MQT mentioned a couple days ago in their afd discussion that there was a high bust potential for the forecast. Anyway, snow has picked up again this morning after stopping completely earlier. Picked up another quick inch at least with a meso-low that drifted through (probably the burst of snow you mentioned this morning). Pic I just grabbed from my doorbell cam. Looks like mid-winter already!

Finished with a very impressive 9.1" for a storm total. Just southeast of here, the MQT WFO set a daily record yesterday with 8.3" and a storm total of 8.9" (.72 liquid/ 12:1 ratios). The snow depth this morning is a foot up here at my house and the season total sitting at 2 feet... 20" of that falling since the 20th.

It has snowed all day. Measured 4.2" on the deck railing which I cleared off yesterday when I shoveled, and looks like another 3-4" before it tapers off by morning. Impressive snow by October standards. Average for the month at MQT is 6 inches.

23 for the low. Snowing pretty hard with 1" of new snow and a few more in the forecast. Just south of Marquette could see upwards of 8" today. Cold enough even the shoreline is seeing snow.

Snow cover, low clouds, flurries, and 24 degrees. Tryn' to stay in the Halloween spirit.

I'd estimate 15-16". 25 for the low with flurries a good deal of the night but a little steadier snow showers now. With a few more inches possible sun/sun night, a clear cold Monday night is on tap. Point has my low at 15 and some single digits in the interior (record low territory). this looks fun: The problem is that with the background flow so weak, this isn`t a case of the typical lake-effect belts seeing snow showers. Instead, it continues to look like there will be a band of low-level convergence set up somewhere over the U.P. and Lake Superior which will become the focus for a band of steady if not heavy lake-effect snow. The question is where. Better chances right now are between Big Bay and Munising, and perhaps as far inland as Gwinn and Chatham. Would not be surprised to see some small part of this area get 6"+ of snow between Sunday morning and Monday morning, especially given SLRs will be on the high side for this time of year as well (around 15:1 to 20:1). There should be enough northerly flow for light lake-effect snow accumulations (an inch or perhaps two) over the western half of the LES belts as well, especially around IWD and the Porkies. Overall this time period should be considered high risk for a forecast bust.

Rain lingered most of the night with over an inch falling and a steady temp of 34. Changed back to snow up here around daybreak and has snowed hard at times all day. Everything is far from froze up tho... roads are ick. Up at my house and down at the Northern in MQT, just a block or so from the lake and a 1000' lower in elevation.

Snowed hard for a couple hours with about 1.5" falling. Has since changed to freezing rain. Should change back to all snow shortly. Sure seems more like November.

Should be an interesting 24-30 hours. Pretty much all hi-res 12z models indicate the possibility of 8 to as much as 12" of snow locally. With the ground still covered (and assuming that pans out), I think the snow is probably here to stay for the season.

Same situation I see between Big Bay and my house (a little over 1000' higher). Big Bay still has leaves and lots of color, and here the trees have been mostly bare for a week. It has also snowed 4 times already with the ground getting covered, while the shore has seen rain and some flurries for the most part. I think the snow will be here to stay pretty quick. Season total here 6-7" so far.

Around 1.5" and still snowing... temp is 33.5.

The covid thread should have been in OT from the beginning. It's changed the vibe in here. The nastiness in that thread can't help but bleed over into the weather side for me. Hard to look at some posters the same anymore. Maybe some people feel that way about me too. The thread was a mistake... the bias in moderating is laughable. You know who you are. I can get weather and covid info other places much easier and faster than a dinosaur discussion board. What's kept me here for 16 years is talking and sharing weather with a bunch of great guys that share the same interest as me, and that lure has faded for sure.

At 30, the first snow still makes me feel like a kid. I'm just glad it isn't here to stay.

Just looked outside and its snowing, temp is 34.

Lake effect rain streaming in from the north has been heavy at times this morning. Temps should hover around 40 most of the day before rain mixes with, then changes over to snow showers this evening. Not expecting much, but these little early events always seem to over achieve in a few spots. Wouldn't be surprised to wake up to a little white otg in the morning and again Saturday. Leaves are 60% down.

Owner of the bakery in Negaunee that I have worked at off and on for 6 years is currently hospitalized with covid. I haven't seen her since February but I know she is a strong woman, only in her mid-50's and doesn't smoke or drink. She has controlled diabetes but is otherwise healthy. Sucks because the business had been so careful with masks and carryout/outside seating only since opening back up in June but was hoping to add a few tables inside since it's getting cold. She will mostly likely be fine I hope but I feel terrible. It's a very small business and it's been one obstacle after another since March. After 24 years in business, 2019 was her best year too. The bakery is closed until Oct 12th.

A warned line of storms came through late last night. Heavy rain and wind brought down a lot of leaves. The lightening flashes along with the vivid color was pretty cool. Another batch of rain coming again tonight. The first flakes are still in the forecast next week. If October is on the colder side, snow will come and likely stay for the season. Autumn is so short in the north.

Next weekend? Idk how much color will be left. The hard freeze probably won’t allow the leaves to hang around long once they color up. Also next weeks weather mentions rain, wind, and yes, the first flakes. That won’t be too kind to the color, either. Of course, this is just my perspective and opinion from what I'm seeing in my little corner of the UP. Hope this helps! http://funintheup.com/fallcolors/upper-peninsula-fall-color-report.html yesterday:

I'm sure there's decent color, just maybe not peak yet. Although I'd imagine there are areas along Newberry/The Seney Stretch that are peaking. The progression of the change is rapid day to day right now. Leaves are falling quite a bit here , even with no breeze.

The sat pic today shows the color in the high terrain of the UP nicely... my backyard is pretty much at peak. With the hard freeze and numerous frosts, it's a few days early this year.

Breezy, 64. Should top out around 70. Just a few days from peak I'd estimate.