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Jenkins

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Everything posted by Jenkins

  1. Jenkins
    Brad P doing a storm update now
  2. Jenkins
    35 hour output from HRRR is useless.
  3. Jenkins
    Not a bad sounding right there for CLT at H42. Fully saturated in the DGZ.
  4. Jenkins
    GSP is discounting the NAM’s thermal profiles: “The NAM is substantially warmer with temps aloft than any of the global models we have at our disposal. For now the NAM profiles are being discounted and not used in the fcst process, not only due to the consensus in the other guidance, but to help maintain better forecast continuity” Also, they are thinking the mountains are going to see a larger percentage of the precip fall as sleet: “"Snow" totals have declined by a few inches over the northern GA/SC zones and in the more western NC mtns, as more of the QPF is now expected to fall as sleet.”
  5. Jenkins
    switch to radar (rain/frozen)
  6. Jenkins
    Believe it or not, there is far more to meteorology than model hugging. Some would do well to bone up on the basics instead of blurting out their IMBY reaction to the latest model run.
  7. Jenkins
    Brad P's livestream.
  8. Jenkins
    As natbright posted above, it is from their hazardous weather briefing page. It is located 2/3 of the way down on the left. https://www.weather.gov/gsp/brief
  9. Jenkins
  10. Jenkins
    Speaking of Brad P, he is doing a live stream some time around 8:30.
  11. Jenkins
    KLTX radar is down. Bummer.
  12. Jenkins
    Updated from WPC
  13. Jenkins
  14. Jenkins
  15. Jenkins
    12z ECMWF Track out to 72 hours
  16. Jenkins
    There will be definitely be some new sandbars that's for sure.
  17. Jenkins
    That FV-3 run is pretty brutal for both wind and rain impacts in NC/SC. I'll post the precip clown map once it gets out to ~132 hours.
  18. Jenkins
    FV3-GFS 6z loop
  19. Jenkins
    Better than my crappy low res shot earlier.
  20. Jenkins
    https://weather.us/cyclone-tracks/euro/800-w-320-n/2018091100-240-florence.html
  21. Jenkins
    Embedding the 12z EPS since it looks like peeps are having some issues.
  22. Jenkins
    Levi's site is crawling but it is out to 48 on the Euro.
  23. Jenkins
    HWRF in a similar position as well.
  24. Jenkins
    Good comparison of the 12z vs 0z ensemble runs
  25. Jenkins
    CMC shows landfall between CHS and MYR but point taken as it is a southern outlier, good consensus for a landfall from C/E SC coast to Hatteras.
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