RIC_WX

5 years for us now, time flies. My PWS hit 90 twice yesterday, but it gets direct afternoon sun so I would suppose 87-88 is probably closer to reality. My POV on the humidity is there are no drought conditions from the spine of the Alleghanies westward, the combination of higher soil mositure and compressional downsloping east of the mountains helps to explain why the mountains seem to feel "as humid" right now as lower elevation areas further east. Summer is still short, this will be our first weekend all season we can sit outside in the evenings without hoodies on.

Most of the PWS I see around Garrett reporting 85-88 with dewpoints around 70. 90* degree days are pretty rare up there and assuming the next 3 days will be warmer...

1.23" in Leesburg? Feels like the rain event of the month so far, although admittely I haven't been around much but the yard looks mid summer parched.

There is no drought west of the Alleghanies. In addition to the lush foliage everywhere, was out on DCL twice last week and the lake appears full, even fuller than it was in the early spring. You can see the effects of the drought clearly as close as Hancock, the landscape almost abruptly turns brown past Sideling Hill.

.50" at the lake, everything here is green and lush.

Its a sharp cutoff for sure. Pittsburgh is at or above normal precip going back the past 12 months and YTD while areas as close as Western MD (actually on the southernmost edge of the PIT MSA) is solidly BN for the same period of time. The headwaters of the N BranchPotomac rolling out of Garrett Co are at the highest after the past week of rain as any time in at least the past 12 months.

I do wonder if a couple El Niño induced paste bombs are in store for next winter. Sure seems plausible looking out from here. The inflows into the lake this morning were incredible to watch, need some sun or that water is going to stay cold. A little surreal seeing so little traffic on the water for a holiday weekend.

49/47 at Deep Creek. Steady rain, clouds, wind, even more utility disruptions than normal. .66" yesterday and .38" so far today. Does not appear that the temperature will move much (if any) prior to Sunday afternoon and the rain chances appear categorical most of that time. With respect to holiday weekend plans, consider anywhere else. A real disappointment for the people and the limited economy up here sadly, they can't really make it up when a holiday period is washed out like this.

There will be less upslope, so the mountains can't rack up impressive totals 1-2" at a time as they have done the past 2 years. OTOH, those perfect track 35* rainstorms for the cities will be 28* paste bombs in the highlands. And no, those really haven't happened at all this decade outside of a few noteworthy early / late season events.

Solid B for me. Rationale? Generally below climo snow west of the beltway, despite impressive stretches of cold. The holiday period was arguably the longest sustained AN period of the entire winter, and while it wasn’t as long or as mild as seasons past, the timing was horrible. I would happily trade a good holiday period for mild most other times, I travel too much for work and this is the one time of year I am mostly around and not too busy to enjoy what’s happening around me. A lot of the cold and snow we did receive in early December, January and February was wasted for me, I was simply not around to enjoy it. This makes 5 winters of having a place at DCL, time speeding up is another peril of middle age (kids, take note, there are many). There have been few big storms during this period, historically speaking even warm, east based ninos are known to produce here and I am looking forward to the potential next winter even if it is much milder.

I find this typical of the backside of an arctic air mass, good radiational cooling and the winds finally decouple. My place was -8.5 this AM, but already rebounded to 27. We hovered around zero the previous couple nights with a lot more wind.

If next weekend materializes, I am heading back west. Enjoy!

4.7 / -2 Deep Creek 25 / 6 Leesburg wind never fails on that mountain. Enjoy

You mchenry or Alexandria for this one? I was told to stay in Leesburg because “it snows at wisp every weekend dad”. Oh well.

There are 48 hours of model runs before the first flake, pellet or drop falls. We are not even at the two minute warning, still plenty of time for this to trend better / worse and undoubtedly it will.