yoda

Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Buffalo NY 932 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022 NYZ001-002-010-011-019-085-200330- Chautauqua NY-Southern Erie NY-Orleans NY-Genesee NY-Niagara NY- Northern Erie NY- 932 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022 ...A LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WILL AFFECT PARTS OF CHAUTAUQUA...SOUTHERN ERIE...ORLEANS...GENESEE...NIAGARA...AND NORTHERN ERIE COUNTIES... HAZARDS...An intense band of heavy lake effect snow over Grand Island, the Tonawandas, and Niagara County will move southeast and cross the Buffalo Metro area, southern Erie County, and the Chautauqua County shoreline this evening. Winds will gust to 40 mph creating blinding whiteouts. Travel conditions will become severe in a matter of minutes as this intense band of snow moves into the region! LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... Buffalo, Cheektowaga, Niagara Falls, West Seneca, North Tonawanda, Clarence, Lockport, Lackawanna, Kenmore, Depew, Amherst, Tonawanda, Dunkirk, Fredonia, Lancaster, Hamburg, East Aurora, Medina, Albion and Williamsville. This includes Interstate 90 between exits 48A and 61. SAFETY INFO... Conditions can deteriorate rapidly in winter weather situations. Be prepared for snow or ice covered roads. Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination.

Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Buffalo NY 950 PM EST Fri Nov 18 2022 NYZ010>012-019-020-085-190345- Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie-Wyoming-Genesee-Northern Erie- 950 PM EST Fri Nov 18 2022 ...INTENSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW DRIFTING NORTH... An intense band of lake effect snow off Lake Erie with 2 to 3 inch per hour snowfall rates is drifting gradually north. The heaviest snow at mid evening is focused from the Chautauqua County shoreline to the Boston Hills, Buffalo Southtowns, Wyoming, and far southern Genesee County. This band will continue to drift slowly north through late evening, with quickly deteriorating travel conditions in the City of Buffalo and eastern suburbs. This includes Interstate 90 between exits 52A and 61. Travel conditions are nearly impossible in the hardest hit areas of the Buffalo Southtowns with very deep snow cover on roads and numerous stuck vehicles. Do not attempt to travel in the strongest portion of this band of lake effect snow.

2 feet in Buffalo seems a bit questionable I guess IMO since they haven't seen much snow, if at all, since it started

Looks like the band is slowly moving northward into the BUF metro area

And there it is REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 300 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2022 Note: "FAIR" indicates few or no clouds below 12,000 feet with no significant weather and/or obstructions to visibility. TC=TEMPERATURE CELSIUS * =Non NWS site. Station does not report precipitation (e.g. rain, snow, etc.), thunder, or fog. DCZ001-MDZ009-015-VAZ040>042-051-053>054-180900- WASHINGTON METRO CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS WASHINGTON NAT PTCLDY 31 22 69 SW6 30.20R WCI 25

Looks like it will be this morning barring some weirdness... DCA is 33/22 at 2am

00z GFS wishes to leave a parting gift in the uber LR

Looks like its trying to get back to the airport now on radar

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 952 PM EST THU NOV 17 2022 ...SNOWFALL REPORTS... LOCATION AMOUNT TIME/DATE PROVIDER ...NEW YORK... ...ERIE COUNTY... 1 NNW BUFFALO 6.0 IN 0948 PM 11/17 NWS EMPLOYEE BUFFALO AIRPORT 6.0 IN 0949 PM 11/17 OFFICIAL NWS OBS ...OSWEGO COUNTY... 4 SW WILLIAMSTOWN 24.0 IN 0734 PM 11/17 PUBLIC PALERMO 10.5 IN 0735 PM 11/17 BROADCAST MEDIA 3 W CLEVELAND 8.2 IN 0800 PM 11/17 PUBLIC 4 E OSWEGO 6.5 IN 0736 PM 11/17 BROADCAST MEDIA &&

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1007 PM EST Thu Nov 17 2022 NYZ085-181115- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-221119T0600Z/ Southern Erie- Including the cities of Orchard Park and Springville 1007 PM EST Thu Nov 17 2022 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 feet in the most persistent lake snows. The best chance for the highest totals include Hamburg and Orchard Park in southern Erie county. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will produce patchy blowing snow. * WHERE...Southern Erie county. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday morning and evening commutes. The heavy snow could also bring down some tree limbs and cause scattered power outages.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1007 PM EST Thu Nov 17 2022 NYZ010-011-181115- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-221120T1800Z/ Northern Erie-Genesee- Including the cities of Buffalo and Batavia 1007 PM EST Thu Nov 17 2022 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 feet in the most persistent lake snows. The greatest risk of the highest totals will be from South Buffalo to Lancaster. The heaviest snow is expected tonight through Friday night when snowfall rates could exceed 3 inches per hour. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will produce patchy blowing snow. * WHERE...Northern Erie and Genesee counties. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions will impact the Friday morning and evening commutes. The heavy snow could also bring down some tree limbs and cause scattered power outages.

https://buffalonews.com/news/local/erie-county-travel-ban-goes-into-effect-at-9-p-m/article_e0bf72aa-66dd-11ed-a1e7-bbe9d3b11ed1.html

Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Buffalo NY 833 PM EST Thu Nov 17 2022 NYZ001-002-010>012-020-021-085-180230- Cattaraugus NY-Allegany NY-Southern Erie NY-Wyoming NY-Orleans NY- Genesee NY-Niagara NY-Northern Erie NY- 833 PM EST Thu Nov 17 2022 ...AN AREA OF HEAVY SNOW WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE NIAGARA FRONTIER THIS EVENING... HAZARDS...An area of heavy lake effect snow will continue to move northeast across much of the Niagara Frontier this evening, including all of the Buffalo Metro area. This initial wide area of moderate to heavy snow will drop a quick few inches across much of the area. Following this first burst of snow, a more narrow, focused band of heavy lake effect snow will develop in the Buffalo Metro area late this evening. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... Buffalo, Cheektowaga, Niagara Falls, West Seneca, North Tonawanda, Clarence, Lockport, Lackawanna, Batavia, Kenmore, Depew, Amherst, Tonawanda, Lancaster, Hamburg, East Aurora, Medina, Albion, Williamsville and Darien Lakes State Park. This includes Interstate 90 between exits 48 and 57A.

Where is this?

They can't move it to Monday and can't delay to later in day apparently

Lol https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/35047642/republicans-end-house-review-commanders-2023

FWIW... again, might be more SNE centric, but still 12z EPS:

Damn Northern Erie- Including the city of Buffalo 1259 PM EST Thu Nov 17 2022 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY... .THIS AFTERNOON...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers early, then partly sunny with a chance of snow showers late. Cold with highs in the mid 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. .TONIGHT...Lake effect snow with some rumbles of thunder possible. Snow may be heavy at times. Accumulation 9 to 17 inches in the most persistent snows. Lows ranging from the upper 20s inland to the lower 30s along the Lake Erie shore. West winds 5 to 10 mph, becoming southwest. Chance of snow near 100 percent. .FRIDAY...Lake effect snow with some rumbles of thunder possible. Snow may be heavy at times. Additional accumulation 9 to 17 inches in the most persistent snows. Cold with highs in the lower 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Lake effect snow with some rumbles of thunder possible. Snow may be heavy at times. Lows ranging from the lower 20s inland to the mid 20s along the Lake Erie shore. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph in the evening. Chance of snow near 100 percent. .SATURDAY...Lake effect snow in the morning, then a chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Snow may be heavy at times in the morning. Cold with highs in the upper 20s. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Chance of snow 80 percent. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Lake effect snow. Snow may be heavy at times. Lows in the lower 20s. Chance of snow near 100 percent. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Highs in the upper 20s.

Lake Effect Snow Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 219 PM EST Thu Nov 17 2022 NYZ010-011-180330- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.221118T0000Z-221120T1800Z/ Northern Erie-Genesee- Including the cities of Buffalo and Batavia 219 PM EST Thu Nov 17 2022 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 feet in the most persistent lake snows. The greatest risk of the highest totals will be from South Buffalo to Lancaster. The heaviest snow is expected late this evening through Friday night when snowfall rates could exceed 3 inches per hour. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will produce patchy blowing snow. * WHERE...Northern Erie and Genesee counties. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions will impact the Friday morning and evening commutes. The heavy snow could also bring down some tree limbs and cause scattered power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

I'll be watching from home... but I've already alerted my aunt and uncle who live up near Amherst about this

Shutting down alot of road this afternoon https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.wkbw.com/news/local-news/portion-of-nys-thruway-in-wny-closing-to-commercial-traffic-at-4-p-m-thursday%3f_amp=true

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 139 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2022 NYZ010-011-170300- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.221118T0000Z-221120T1800Z/ Northern Erie-Genesee- Including the cities of Buffalo and Batavia 139 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2022 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THURSDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 3 feet in the most persistent lake snows. The heaviest snow is expected late Thursday evening through Friday night when snowfall rates could exceed 3 inches per hour. Snowfall totals of up to 4 feet will be possible if the main snow band remains stationary for longer period of time. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph with produce patchy blowing snow. * WHERE...Northern Erie and Genesee counties. * WHEN...From 7 PM Thursday to 1 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions will impact the Friday morning and evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities.