yoda

lol banana high at 174 but the airmass is such garbage ahead and the SLP just goes running through our region... yet its pounding snow in parts of N VA and C MD at 180 lol

Sure is a nice ridge out west on the 00z GFS at 156... too bad no s/w coming down in the Plains

Oakland was 3/-2 at 8pm... could see some of the usual colder spots dip below zero

Wonder how low we can go... wind will probably keep most of us from 100% radiating... but with DP's near or just below zero at 8pm, wouldn't be surprised to see single digits

Yes its weenie land... but that would be an epic gut punch at 300-312

Seemed like there should have been a better CCB with the coastal low? Or am I misreading?

lol do like the impressive banding down near ORF at 213

Yeah... seems like BR westward is 6"+... out towards W MD close to a foot

FWIW, which is basically zero, lol... 12z CMC wants no part of what the 12z GFS cooked up for next weekend

Well its within the 10 day rule... so.... yay?

I swear... GFS... don't you do that at Day 8

I forgot SMW could be used in these types of situations lol... I was looking at the radar and all of a sudden I see warnings popping up

Yup, so does the 12z CMC

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 534 PM EST Tue Jan 31 2023 VAZ025-026-029-503-504-508-010645- /O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0009.230201T0500Z-230201T1400Z/ Augusta-Rockingham-Page-Western Highland-Eastern Highland- Central Virginia Blue Ridge- 534 PM EST Tue Jan 31 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of a light glaze. * WHERE...Augusta, Highland, Page, and Rockingham Counties and the central Virginia Blue Ridge. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 9 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The greatest chance for snow and ice accumulations will be in the higher elevations.

GFS has been holding a small band if accumulating snow from CHO to EZF to S MD for past few runs... let's see what 00z does

Riding the RGEM baby

Now time for KC to crush Philly in the Super Bowl

And that penalty will send KC to the Super Bowl

18z GFS now says late Tuesday morning into afternoon... but still just south of DC into EZF and S MD

Pivotal has it faster then TT

18z RGEM... all in

12z CMC would be a nice hit on late Sunday into early Monday between i81 and i95 corridors