yoda

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 210 PM EST Tue Feb 18 2025 MDZ016-018-VAZ055-190315- /O.EXB.KLWX.WW.Y.0015.250219T1800Z-250220T0300Z/ Charles-Calvert-Stafford- 210 PM EST Tue Feb 18 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations up to one inch. * WHERE...In Maryland, Calvert and Charles Counties. In Virginia, Stafford County. * WHEN...From 1 PM to 10 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...This snowfall will fall during a portion of the Wednesday evening commute, with temperatures well below freezing, which could cause roads to become very slick during a period of high traffic volume.

The JV 12z icon looks a little more north with its qpf field at 18 compared to 06z 24...

12z 3km NAM 10:1 Kuchera

12z 3km NAM precip through 57

Not the same ofc, but didn't the late Jan 2010 storm do the same thing really late? Shifted north in the last 24 hours... I think it was supposed to hit south of us and we got decent snows out of it up here

12z NAM 10:1 Kuchera

Shows how much small distances can mean much... on 12z 3km NAM, EZF and Waldorf are at 0.3" QPF... DCA 0.1"

Sorry @high risk I'm hugging the 12km NAM

Maybe mod snow just south of DC metro to EZF at 36

The map Will posted was the 24 hr snow map through 81. This one is the entire run

Around half give DC metro 6" or more

The next frame

Sharp east turn at 108 and 114 though on the SLP individual members on PW

15" DC metro on Kuchera

00z Euro says HOLD IT! OBJECTION! TAKE THAT!!

UKIE joins the GFS and CMC abandoning ship

96 and 120 SLP 00z UKIE maps

Well 00z UKIE will be a hit of some kind tbh looking at 96 and 120

sorry, thought of this

I was one of the go to weather people in HS at the time. Let's just say I was "out sick" for the next two days after hyping it up

5 inches it is then

Weather Will posted it above on this page

FWIW