yoda

Yikes if you are on i40 right now in NM BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 629 PM MDT Sat Jul 15 2023 The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Central San Miguel County in northeastern New Mexico... Western Quay County in east central New Mexico... Northeastern Guadalupe County in east central New Mexico... * Until 730 PM MDT. * At 628 PM MDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 11 miles southeast of Watrous to 8 miles west of Variadero, moving south at 15 mph. THESE ARE DESTRUCTIVE STORMS APPROACHING I-40 FROM THE NORTH. HAZARD...Three inch hail and 70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be severely injured. Expect shattered windows, extensive damage to roofs, siding, and vehicles. * Locations impacted include... Santa Rosa, Montoya, Colonias, Variadero, Maes, Newkirk, Santa Rosa Lake State Park, Cuervo, Trujillo and Trementina. This includes the following highways... Interstate 40 between Mile Markers 265 and 314. State Road 104 between Mile Markers 15 and 73. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. These are dangerous storms. Prepare immediately for large destructive hail capable of producing significant damage. People outside should move to shelter inside a strong building, and stay away from windows. Heavy rains from severe thunderstorms can produce sudden and dangerous flows in arroyos, ditches and over low water crossings. Do not attempt to drive through areas where water covers the roadway. && LAT...LON 3493 10484 3490 10431 3511 10402 3563 10441 3578 10460 3567 10497 TIME...MOT...LOC 0028Z 338DEG 11KT 3565 10488 3541 10462 TORNADO...POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...3.00 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 831 PM EDT Sat Jul 15 2023 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northwestern Washington County in north central Maryland... Eastern Allegany County in western Maryland... Northern Morgan County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Northwestern Berkeley County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... * Until 915 PM EDT. * At 831 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Paw Paw to near Martinsburg, moving northeast at 45 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Hancock, Berkeley Springs, Great Cacapon, Clear Spring, Pecktonville, Big Pool, Johnsons Mill, Cherry Run, Tomahawk, Johnsontown, Lineburg, Valley View, Spohrs Crossroads, Spruce Pine Hollow, Highland Ridge, Smith Crossroads, Berryville, New Hope, Sleepy Creek and Shady Grove. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Large hail and damaging winds and continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms. Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature`s leading killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 825 PM EDT Sat Jul 15 2023 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0822 PM Hail La Plata 38.53N 76.97W 07/15/2023 M1.00 inch Charles MD Law Enforcement && Event Number LWX2301401

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 815 PM EDT Sat Jul 15 2023 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southwestern Prince Georges County in central Maryland... Central Charles County in southern Maryland... * Until 900 PM EDT. * At 815 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Port Tobacco River, moving north at 20 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Port Tobacco River, Accokeek, Bryans Road, Pomfret, Port Tobacco Village, Port Tobacco, Faulkner and Ripley.

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 807 PM EDT Sat Jul 15 2023 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southeastern Prince Georges County in central Maryland... Northeastern Charles County in southern Maryland... * Until 845 PM EDT. * At 806 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near La Plata, moving north at 20 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Waldorf, La Plata, Saint Charles, Accokeek, Brandywine, Baden, Bryantown, Port Tobacco Village, Northwood, Dentsville, White Plains and Bel Alton. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Large hail and damaging winds and continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature`s leading killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 756 PM EDT Sat Jul 15 2023 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Western Washington County in north central Maryland... Allegany County in western Maryland... Northeastern Garrett County in western Maryland... Northwestern Morgan County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Northeastern Mineral County in eastern West Virginia... North central Hampshire County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 900 PM EDT. * At 756 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Frostburg to near Romney, moving northeast at 20 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Cumberland, Frostburg, Bel Air, Paw Paw, La Vale, Fort Ashby, Ridgeley, Cresaptown, Potomac Park, Wiley Ford, Eckhart Mines, Mount Savage, Rawlings, Ellerslie, Springfield, Corriganville, Midland, Midlothian, Green Spring and Flintstone. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Large hail and damaging winds and continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms. Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature`s leading killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

Storms starting to fire in S MD now as well, especially near La Plata

Wonder how much of that line of heavy to severe storms SW of us reaches us in the metro over the next hour or so

Huh... was not expecting this... but I guess it's warranted Flood Watch National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 638 PM EDT Sat Jul 15 2023 DCZ001-MDZ003>006-008-011-013-014-016-503>508-VAZ028-030-031-036>040- 050-051-053>057-501-502-505>508-526-527-WVZ051>053-160645- /O.NEW.KLWX.FA.A.0003.230715T2238Z-230716T0800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ District of Columbia-Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel- Charles-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford- Southeast Harford-Frederick VA-Warren-Clarke-Nelson-Albemarle-Greene- Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania-King George-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge-Northwest Prince William-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson- Including the cities of College Park, South Gate, Bethesda, Falls Church, Annapolis, Purcellville, Franconia, Ashburn, Woodbridge, Charles Town, Dahlgren, McLean, Hagerstown, Montclair, Ellicott City, Odenton, Leesburg, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, Glen Burnie, Falmouth, Shepherdstown, Aberdeen, Lovingston, Winchester, Herndon, Severn, Turnbull, Alexandria, Camp Springs, Eldersburg, Annandale, Chantilly, Haymarket, Madison, Lake Ridge, Germantown, Bowie, Manassas, Lisbon, Washington, Rockville, Warrenton, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Waldorf, Arlington, Sterling, Wintergreen, Gordonsville, Front Royal, Berryville, Fredericksburg, Laurel, Paw Paw, Westminster, Dale City, Charlottesville, Baltimore, Severna Park, Big Meadows, Orange, Gaithersburg, Greenbelt, Ballenger Creek, Columbia, Martinsburg, Centreville, Elkton, Frederick, Silver Spring, Jarrettsville, Stanardsville, Reston, Damascus, Arnold, St. Charles, and Culpeper 638 PM EDT Sat Jul 15 2023 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...Portions of DC, Maryland, Virginia and panhandle West Virginia, including the following areas: in DC, District of Columbia. In Maryland, Anne Arundel, Carroll, Cecil, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Charles, Frederick MD, Northern Baltimore, Northwest Harford, Northwest Howard, Northwest Montgomery, Prince Georges, Southeast Harford, Southern Baltimore and Washington. In Virginia, Albemarle, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Central Virginia Blue Ridge, Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park, Clarke, Culpeper, Eastern Loudoun, Fairfax, Frederick VA, Greene, King George, Madison, Nelson, Northern Fauquier, Northern Virginia Blue Ridge, Northwest Prince William, Orange, Rappahannock, Southern Fauquier, Spotsylvania, Stafford, Warren and Western Loudoun. In panhandle West Virginia, Berkeley, Jefferson and Morgan. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - A seasonably moist airmass with ample moisture content ahead of an approaching frontal boundary will result in numerous showers and thunderstorms. These showers and thunderstorms will be capable of producing heavy rainfall with totals on the order of 1 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts where thunderstorms may train. These totals may result in flash flooding, particularly in urban areas and those that have observed recent heavy rainfall. - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety and preparedness information

Probably going to be sub-severe, but decent storms in WV headed eastward

Mesoscale Discussion 1565 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0250 PM CDT Sat Jul 15 2023 Areas affected...Portions of far northwestern NC...southwestern into central/northern VA...the eastern WV Panhandle...MD...DC...south- central into southeastern PA...northern DE...and NJ Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 151950Z - 152215Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...An isolated threat for hail and damaging winds should gradually increase this afternoon. While watch issuance is unlikely in the short term (next 1-2 hours), trends will be closely monitored. DISCUSSION...Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms have developed this afternoon along and just east of the Blue Ridge Mountains extending from far northwestern NC into southwestern and central VA. A separate area of convection is ongoing across parts of southeastern PA into northern DE and NJ. This activity is likely being aided by modest large-scale ascent preceding a shortwave trough moving eastward over the OH/TN Valleys. A very moist low-level airmass, with surface dewpoints generally in the low to mid 70s, is present along and east of the ongoing convection. Ample daytime heating has eroded remaining MLCIN, and moderate to locally strong instability has developed in response. Although low-level winds remain weak per recent VWPs from KFCX/KLWX, modest strengthening of mid-level southwesterlies to around 30-35 kt has been noted with the approach of the shortwave trough. Similar values of deep-layer shear should foster modest updraft organization. Multicells should be the primary convective mode. But, marginal supercell structures may also occur, posing an isolated hail and damaging wind threat. At this point, overall convective coverage should tend to remain fairly isolated. Poor mid-level lapse rates should also temper updraft intensity/acceleration to some extent. A loosely organized cluster of thunderstorms over WV may also move into parts of western MD/VA over the next couple of hours with an isolated strong to damaging wind threat. While watch issuance appears unlikely in the short term, trends will be closely monitored. ..Gleason/Bunting.. 07/15/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RNK.. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1565.html

MRGL risk was nudged east on the 1630z OTLK to now include i95 corridor for damaging wind gusts

NWUS51 KLWX 142152 LSRLWX Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 552 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0534 PM Tstm Wnd Gst Reston 38.95N 77.34W 07/14/2023 M66 mph Fairfax VA Mesonet && Event Number LWX2301363 $$ ADS

Confirmed SVR at KIAD - 59mph wind gust. Also 66mph per mesonet near Reston 000 NWUS51 KLWX 142145 LSRLWX Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 545 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0535 PM Tstm Wnd Gst Dulles Intl Airport 38.94N 77.45W 07/14/2023 M59 mph Fairfax VA ASOS && Event Number LWX2301361 $$ ADS

Severe Thunderstorm Warning MDC031-VAC107-142145- /O.NEW.KLWX.SV.W.0133.230714T2107Z-230714T2145Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 507 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... West central Montgomery County in central Maryland... Northeastern Loudoun County in northern Virginia... * Until 545 PM EDT. * At 507 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Purcellville, or near Leesburg, moving east at 25 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Germantown, Leesburg, Lansdowne, Lowes Island, Poolesville, Ashburn, Countryside, Boyds, Clarksburg, Darnestown, Belmont, Barnesville, Paeonian Springs, Waterford, Lucketts, Dickerson, Beallsville, Dawsonville and Hughesville. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Large hail and damaging winds and continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature`s leading killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 502 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023 MDC021-VAC107-142115- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0131.000000T0000Z-230714T2115Z/ Frederick MD-Loudoun VA- 502 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM EDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN FREDERICK COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND AND NORTH CENTRAL LOUDOUN COUNTIES IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... At 501 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Brunswick to near Bluemont, moving southeast at 25 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. Locations impacted include... Purcellville, Round Hill, Lovettsville, Hamilton, Hillsboro, Paeonian Springs, Waterford, Philomont, Lucketts, Lincoln, Hughesville and Taylorstown. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms. Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature`s leading killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3906 7778 3911 7782 3928 7771 3926 7747 3903 7769 TIME...MOT...LOC 2101Z 297DEG 20KT 3924 7766 3908 7779 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 326 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... East central Frederick County in northwestern Virginia... Northwestern Clarke County in northwestern Virginia... The northern City of Winchester in northwestern Virginia... Southwestern Jefferson County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... South central Berkeley County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... * Until 415 PM EDT. * At 326 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Winchester, moving east at 20 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail. SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Winchester, Middleway, Stephenson, Brucetown, Wadesville, Greenwood, Cedar Hill, Cedar Grove, Clear Brook, Ridgeway and Albin.

Warned for ping pong ball size hail now too TVS sig on it per Radarscope

Just got severe warned

Transient supercells, but too isolated is a new one for me

BWI reached 97 back in June

Mesoscale Discussion 1521 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0136 PM CDT Thu Jul 13 2023 Areas affected...Portions of eastern WV...VA...DC...western/central MD...and central/eastern PA Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 131836Z - 132100Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Some threat for damaging winds and hail may exist as thunderstorms move eastward this afternoon. The need for a watch remains unclear, but trends will be monitored. DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorms have developed this afternoon across parts of the central Appalachians. More isolated activity is attempting to deepen across parts of north-central into northeastern PA, closer to the upper trough over NY and southern Quebec. A surface lee trough is present along/east of the Appalachians/Blue Ridge Mountains, with ample daytime heating acting to steepen low-level lapse rates. Latest mesoanalysis shows a relative minimum in instability along/east of the lee trough across parts of central/eastern VA into central MD and eastern PA. This area appears to have shallower low-level moisture based on area 12Z soundings, and some lingering MLCIN. Still, various RAP/NAM forecast soundings across this region suggest that a well mixed boundary layer will support at least an isolated damaging wind threat with any convection that can spread eastward off the higher terrain this afternoon and evening. Around 25-35 kt of deep-layer shear should also foster some thunderstorm organization, with multicells to marginal supercells possible. Some hail may occur with the strongest cores. With better large-scale ascent focused farther north across NY and New England, overall thunderstorm coverage remains uncertain. The need for a Severe Thunderstorm Watch this afternoon is also unclear, but observational trends will be closely monitored. ..Gleason/Bunting.. 07/13/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PHI...BGM...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RNK... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1521.html

Pouring here right now as that line straddles i95