yoda

Jan 5/6 storm still there on 18z GFS but the cold push is a bit late with it... so first part is rain, then switches over to snow

Nice 2-4/3-6 event lol

Leesburg is aldie

Yes lol... read @aldie 22 post again and you'll understand

540 line is in SNE

00z CMC looks like some frozen on the 30th as the run ends for parts of the region. 00z GFS has a snowstorm for i95 corridor just after the new year (January 2-3)

000 NWUS51 KLWX 181516 LSRLWX Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1016 AM EST Mon Dec 18 2023 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0908 AM Non-Tstm Wnd Gst Occoquan River 38.64N 77.22W 12/18/2023 M58 mph ANZ536 VA Mesonet && Event Number LWX2303050

06z GFS has some snow chances out in lala land (aka Day 10-15)

Not sure if this is sarcasm, but @WxUSAF is quick

@MN Transplant and @aldie 22 aren't happy as Vikings fans

00z NAM has 60 to 70mph winds along DCA to BWI corridor

https://psl.noaa.gov/enso/difference/ Really cool link - h/t @CoastalWx

Thanks... hadn't seen that before either

May the Force be with us... or maybe, may the odds be ever in your favor?

Well LWX in their afternoon AFD have taken notice .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... A low pressure system is expected to move up the East Coast and bring moderate to heavy rain to our region Sunday and Sunday night. Rain amounts could average an inch or two with isolated higher amounts. Temperatures will reach the middle to upper 40s west of the Blue Ridge with 50s to the east of Blue Ridge. As the primary low moves north along the East Coast Monday and Monday night, a secondary low could develop and follow the first low pressure system. This particular low pressure could bring a chance for snow showers to much of our region Monday night into Tuesday. Highs Monday mainly in the lower to middle 50s with highs Tuesday in the lower 40s with mainly 30s in the mountains. High pressure will bring a period of drier and colder air to the region Wednesday. Highs again on Wednesday could stay in the 40s across the region with 30s in the mountains.

I'm out on this threat

It's great to see you back and posting

DCA - 0.1"

I only see a T on the PNS above... but yeah I see

BWI is T

NOUS41 KLWX 111421 PNSLWX DCZ001-MDZ001-003>006-008-011-013-014-016>018-501>508-VAZ025>031- 036>040-050>057-501>508-WVZ050>053-055-501>506-120221- Public Information Statement Spotter Reports National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 921 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2023 The following are preliminary observations taken during the past 6 hours for the storm that has been affecting our region. Appreciation is extended to cooperative and CoCoRaHS observers, Skywarn spotters and media for these reports. This summary also is available on our home page at weather.gov/lwx. ********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL******************** LOCATION TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS SNOWFALL MEASURED (inches) DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA ...District of Columbia... Dalecarlia Reservoir 0.5 800 AM 12/11 Co-Op Observer MARYLAND ...Allegany County... Potomac Park 2 NW 0.8 902 AM 12/11 Dept of Highways Frostburg 0.6 856 AM 12/11 Co-Op Observer ...Anne Arundel County... Pasadena 1 SE 0.7 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Crownsville 3 SSW 0.5 630 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Laurel 4 E 0.5 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Birdsville WSW 0.4 800 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Severn 2 W 0.4 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Bwi Airport T 700 AM 12/11 Official NWS Obs ...Baltimore County... Glyndon 1 WSW 1.5 415 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Long Green 2 NW 1.0 500 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Bentley Springs 1 E 1.0 545 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Catonsville 1 SSE 0.5 715 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Glyndon 1 SW 0.5 824 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Long Green 1 SW 0.4 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS ...Baltimore City... Pikesville 3 SE 0.3 608 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter ...Calvert County... Prince Frederick 1 W 0.8 800 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS North Beach 2 WNW 0.6 725 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Drum Point 2 N 0.5 700 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Prince Frederick 1 S 0.5 730 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Dunkirk 3.2NNE 0.3 800 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Chesapeake Beach 4 S 0.2 800 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS ...Carroll County... Manchester 1 SSW 3.5 600 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Millers 2.3 416 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Mount Airy SE 2.0 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Westminster 3 SSW 2.0 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Gamber 1 W 1.6 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Westminster 1 W 1.3 600 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Watersville 1 N 1.3 423 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Eldersburg 1 SE 1.0 506 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Eldersburg 1 E 1.0 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Marston 2 N 0.5 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS ...Charles County... Waldorf 3 S 1.8 800 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Charlotte Hall 2 NW 1.3 600 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Bryantown 2 NNE 1.1 700 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Bryantown 2 NE 1.1 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS La Plata 3 ENE 0.8 643 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Waldorf 8 ESE 0.8 730 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Indian Head T 659 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter ...Frederick County... Green Valley 1 WNW 0.8 530 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter New Market 2 NW 0.1 800 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS ...Garrett County... Oakland 4.0 412 AM 12/11 Dept of Highways Accident 3 NNE 3.5 412 AM 12/11 Dept of Highways Grantsville 5 W 3.0 412 AM 12/11 Dept of Highways Accident 4 E 2.5 800 AM 12/11 Public Mountain Lake Park 1 2.0 452 AM 12/11 Dept of Highways Grantsville 4 E 2.0 450 AM 12/11 Dept of Highways Barton 1.0 914 AM 12/11 Public ...Harford County... Fallston 3 N 0.9 730 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Norrisville 1 WSW 0.7 650 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Churchville 1 N 0.1 506 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter ...Howard County... Glenwood 1 SSW 1.5 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Sykesville 2 SSE 1.5 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Sykesville 3 SE 1.3 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Elkridge 2 W 0.7 550 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Historic Ellicott Ci 0.7 730 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Columbia 3 SSE 0.6 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Simpsonville 1 SSE 0.6 421 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Laurel 1 NNE 0.5 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Columbia 2 N 0.5 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS North Laurel 2 ESE 0.5 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Clarksville 2 N 0.4 545 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Historic Ellicott Ci 0.3 745 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter ...Montgomery County... Damascus 3 SSW 2.5 413 AM 12/11 Co-Op Observer Montgomery Village 1 1.8 630 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Montgomery Village 3 1.8 359 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Damascus 1 S 1.8 521 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Germantown 5 NNE 1.7 600 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Laytonsville 5 NNW 1.6 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Damascus 1 SE 1.6 700 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter North Potomac 4 N 1.6 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Germantown 1.5 400 AM 12/11 Public Gaithersburg 1.5 415 AM 12/11 NWS Employee Gaithersburg 3 NE 1.4 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Gaithersburg 1 SW 1.3 511 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Potomac 1 NNW 1.1 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Aspen Hill 1 SW 1.0 730 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Colesville 2 W 1.0 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Silver Spring 6 NNE 0.8 450 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Olney 1 ENE 0.8 542 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Norbeck 1 ESE 0.8 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Takoma Park 1 NNW 0.5 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Rossmoor 1 ESE 0.5 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Colesville 1 SE 0.1 620 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter ...Prince Georges County... Beltsville 1 SW 0.5 800 AM 12/11 Co-Op Observer Bowie 4 S 0.5 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Fort Washington 1 SS 0.2 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS ...St. Marys County... Charlotte Hall 4 ENE 1.0 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Mechanicsville 5 NE 1.0 700 AM 12/11 Co-Op Observer Leonardtown 1 NE 1.0 600 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Ridge 1 N 0.5 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Great Mills 4 S 0.5 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS ...Washington County... Sabillasville 2 NNW 3.5 629 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Pecktonville 3 NNW 0.5 330 AM 12/11 NWS Employee Boonsboro 3 NNE 0.4 600 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Hagerstown 1 ENE 0.2 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Hagerstown 4 NNW 0.2 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Williamsport 3 ENE 0.1 600 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS VIRGINIA ...Arlington County... Barcroft 1 WNW 0.3 640 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Falls Church 1 E 0.2 430 AM 12/11 NWS Employee Reagan National Apt 0.1 700 AM 12/11 Official NWS Obs ...Augusta County... Fort Defiance 4 SE 2.3 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS ...City of Alexandria... Alexandria 1 W 0.1 530 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Alexandria 1 ENE T 800 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter ...City of Fairfax... Fairfax 1 N 0.9 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS ...City of Staunton... Staunton Water Plant 2.7 800 AM 12/11 Co-Op Observer Staunton 1 WSW 1.1 630 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Staunton 1 WNW 1.0 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS ...Clarke County... Berryville 1 NNW 0.5 800 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS ...Culpeper County... Culpeper 1 W 0.2 700 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter ...Fairfax County... Mount Vernon NW 1.5 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Vienna 3 N 1.4 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Burke 1 S 1.4 902 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Chantilly 2 ENE 1.3 442 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Herndon 3 S 1.2 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Vienna 1 WNW 1.2 425 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Oakton E 1.0 800 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Fairfax 3 W 1.0 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Vienna 1.0 700 AM 12/11 Co-Op Observer Herndon 2 ENE 0.9 506 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Herndon 1 NNE 0.9 700 AM 12/11 NWS Employee Falls Church 2 W 0.7 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Springfield 2 SW 0.5 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Falls Church 1 NNW 0.5 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Reston 1 SSW 0.2 647 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Alexandria 6 SSW 0.2 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Franconia 1 SSE 0.2 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS ...Fauquier County... Broad Run 3 SSW 0.4 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS ...Highland County... Monterey 1 SW 2.1 600 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Mill Gap 1 SW 0.6 600 AM 12/11 Co-Op Observer ...Loudoun County... Bloomery 3 ESE 1.5 530 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Round Hill 3 WSW 1.0 525 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Arcola 3 S 1.0 422 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Dulles International 0.5 700 AM 12/11 Official NWS Obs Ashburn N 0.5 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Dulles International 0.5 414 AM 12/11 NWS Office Arcola 1 WNW 0.5 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Ashburn 1 SSW 0.4 820 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Ashburn 1 W 0.3 800 AM 12/11 NWS Employee ...Nelson County... Wintergreen 4 WNW 6.5 900 AM 12/11 Broadcast Media ...Page County... Panorama 2 WSW 2.0 745 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Honeyville 1 ESE 0.5 523 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter ...Prince William County... Manassas 5 SE 1.2 600 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Independent Hill 3 N 1.2 433 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Manassas 6 SE 1.0 530 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Dale City 1 W 1.0 700 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Manassas 3 NNW 0.4 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS ...Rockingham County... Massanutten 1 WSW 2.2 800 AM 12/11 Public Harrisonburg 9 NE 1.1 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Massanutten 1 SE 1.0 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS ...Shenandoah County... Basye 1 NNE 2.0 830 AM 12/11 Public ...Spotsylvania County... Fredericksburg 5 SSW 1.0 600 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Spotsylvania 9 NW 0.3 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS ...Stafford County... Glendie 1 N 1.3 505 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Ramoth 1 W 1.0 737 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Holly Corner 2 E 0.8 532 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Fredericksburg 8 ESE 0.5 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS ...Warren County... Buckton 2 E 0.3 330 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter WEST VIRGINIA ...Berkeley County... Falling Waters 2 NW 0.1 700 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS ...Grant County... Bayard 2.0 700 AM 12/11 Co-Op Observer ...Hampshire County... Lehew 2 WNW 5.0 345 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter ...Jefferson County... Harpers Ferry 13 SSW 0.9 718 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Millville 1 ESE 0.2 512 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter ...Pendleton County... Franklin 1 W 1.0 830 AM 12/11 County Emergy Mgmt Fort Seybert 3 NE 0.3 600 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS

Unfortunate EPS look on 00z, but we knew it would be probably until end of the month at the earliest for a pattern change

000 NOUS41 KLWX 111213 PNSLWX DCZ001-MDZ001-003>006-008-011-013-014-016>018-501>508-VAZ025>031- 036>040-050>057-501>508-WVZ050>053-055-501>506-120013- Public Information Statement Spotter Reports National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 713 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2023 The following are preliminary observations taken during the past 5 hours for the storm that has been affecting our region. Appreciation is extended to cooperative and CoCoRaHS observers, Skywarn spotters and media for these reports. This summary also is available on our home page at weather.gov/lwx. ********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL******************** LOCATION TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS SNOWFALL MEASURED (inches) MARYLAND ...Allegany County... Potomac Park 2 NW 0.8 416 AM 12/11 Dept of Highways ...Anne Arundel County... Bwi Airport T 700 AM 12/11 Official NWS Obs ...Baltimore County... Glyndon 1 WSW 1.5 415 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Long Green 2 NW 1.0 500 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Bentley Springs 1 E 1.0 545 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter ...Baltimore City... Pikesville 3 SE 0.3 608 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter ...Carroll County... Manchester 1 SSW 3.5 600 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Millers 2.3 416 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Watersville 1 N 1.3 423 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Eldersburg 1 SE 1.0 506 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter ...Charles County... Indian Head T 659 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter ...Frederick County... Green Valley 1 WNW 0.8 530 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter ...Garrett County... Oakland 4.0 412 AM 12/11 Dept of Highways Accident 3 NNE 3.5 412 AM 12/11 Dept of Highways Grantsville 5 W 3.0 412 AM 12/11 Dept of Highways Mountain Lake Park 1 2.0 452 AM 12/11 Dept of Highways Grantsville 4 E 2.0 450 AM 12/11 Dept of Highways ...Harford County... Churchville 1 N 0.1 506 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter ...Howard County... Sykesville 2 SSE 1.5 600 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Elkridge 2 W 0.7 550 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Simpsonville 1 SSE 0.6 421 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Clarksville 2 N 0.4 545 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter ...Montgomery County... Damascus 3 SSW 2.5 413 AM 12/11 Co-Op Observer Damascus 1 S 1.8 521 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Montgomery Village 3 1.8 359 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Germantown 1.5 400 AM 12/11 Public Gaithersburg 1.5 415 AM 12/11 NWS Employee ...St. Marys County... Oakley 4 SW 3.5 600 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter ...Washington County... Sabillasville 2 NNW 3.5 629 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS Pecktonville 3 NNW 0.5 330 AM 12/11 NWS Employee VIRGINIA ...Arlington County... Falls Church 1 E 0.2 430 AM 12/11 NWS Employee Reagan National Apt 0.1 700 AM 12/11 Official NWS Obs ...Culpeper County... Culpeper 1 W 0.2 700 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter ...Fairfax County... Chantilly 2 ENE 1.3 442 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Vienna 1 WNW 1.2 425 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Herndon 2 ENE 0.9 506 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Herndon 1 NNE 0.4 250 AM 12/11 NWS Employee ...Loudoun County... Bloomery 3 ESE 1.5 530 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Arcola 3 S 1.0 422 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Dulles International 0.5 414 AM 12/11 NWS Office Dulles International 0.5 700 AM 12/11 Official NWS Obs ...Page County... Honeyville 1 ESE 0.5 523 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter ...Stafford County... Glendie 1 N 1.3 505 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter Holly Corner 2 E 0.8 532 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter WEST VIRGINIA ...Hampshire County... Lehew 2 WNW 5.0 345 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter ...Jefferson County... Millville 1 ESE 0.2 512 AM 12/11 Trained Spotter

huzzah... i guess Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 711 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2023 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0700 AM Snow 1 WSW Reagan National A 38.85N 77.04W 12/11/2023 M0.1 inch Arlington VA Official NWS Obs && Event Number LWX2302842

Did someone make a mistake in St. Mary's county? NWUS51 KLWX 111138 LSRLWX Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 638 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2023 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0600 AM Snow 4 SW Oakley 38.23N 76.78W 12/11/2023 M3.5 inch St. Marys MD Trained Spotter && Event Number LWX2302827