yoda

Damn... was hoping to extrapolate the h5

How's the 00z NAM at 84 look tonight?

Hmmm... can he pass the ball without getting injured?

So... who are we signing next? Kap?

Better chance down here then there though Yeah, Wiz should head to Kansas with Ian lol

14-13 at the half... Redskins get the ball to start the 2nd half

Congrats Wiz. Just remember that there is no good severe up there

Snow map looks a ton better... still sharp cutoff

You know the 18z GFS is wrong snow wise because it gives DT nearly 2 feet of snow... DT snow shield is always in effect... so it should bump north lol

Here's the Day 7 precip and SLP position for the 00z UKIE for you guys:

Tbh, I thought the 06z and 18z EURO runs only go out to 120?

Bad ending by the Caps Yes, I know the Penguins suck right now too lol

GFS looks okay through 42

Lamar is in concussion protocol

If you want to see some good snow... turn on the Boise State/Fresno State game

Snowlover101 is about to be my first on the naughty list...

Sorry... its going to be like Dec 2009... or perhaps 1996?

One last hurrah in the Pacific before shutting down the tropics in both basins? Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1000 AM PST Tue Nov 27 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low pressure system located about 450 miles south-southwest of Zihuatanejo, Mexico, continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. However, environmental conditions are forecast to become marginally conducive for some gradual development, and a tropical depression could still form during the next day or two. The disturbance is forecast to move northward today and tonight, and then turn northeastward toward southwestern Mexico on Wednesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

@PrinceFrederickWx UPDATED GUESS AS OF 11/27: BWI: 29.6" DCA: 21.8" IAD: 32.9" RIC: 14.1" Tiebreaker (SBY): 8.4"

Richmond gets more snow than DCA and IAD? Bold call there sir

Tropical Storm Xavier Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP252018 900 PM MDT Fri Nov 02 2018 For the 22nd time this year, a tropical storm (Xavier) has formed over the eastern North Pacific. The most recent intensity estimates from TAFB and the UW-CIMSS SATCON support increasing the initial intensity to 35 kt. Xavier is the first tropical storm to reach the "X" name on the East Pacific namelist since 1992. No changes of note were made to the intensity forecast. The tropical storm is strongly sheared from the southwest and convective activity is limited to the eastern semicircle of the cyclone. Although Xavier should be located over warm waters for the next 5 days, strong upper-level southwesterly flow will cause high wind shear across the cyclone. The HWRF, HMON, and COAMPS-TC models all forecast that the tropical storm could strengthen a little more over the next day or so, while the statistical guidance indicates that Xavier is already near its peak intensity. The NHC intensity forecast follows the consensus and shows slight strengthening through the weekend. By early next week, increased shear and a drier surrounding environment will likely cause Xavier to weaken and become a remnant low. It has been difficult to identify the center of Xavier this evening, but it is estimated that the tropical storm is still moving generally east-northeastward at around 7 kt. A weakness in the subtropical ridge created by a large deep-layer trough extending over central Mexico and the Gulf of Mexico should cause Xavier to turn toward the northeast or north overnight and tomorrow. There has been a shift in the GFS and its associated regional models, which now show a farther northeast track of Xavier, closer to the coast of Mexico. However, a majority of the dynamical models still show the cyclone turning abruptly westward and away from land while it weakens by early next week. Out of respect for the ECMWF and its ensemble, which show a much farther west track for Xavier, the NHC forecast has been nudged only slightly toward the northeast through 48 h and now lies a little to the west of the TVCE track consensus. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/0300Z 14.5N 108.2W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 03/1200Z 14.8N 107.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 04/0000Z 15.6N 106.8W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 04/1200Z 16.4N 106.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 05/0000Z 17.1N 106.4W 45 KT 50 MPH 72H 06/0000Z 17.8N 107.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 96H 07/0000Z 17.5N 109.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 120H 08/0000Z 18.0N 111.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

So... TS Xavier has formed...

BWI: 27.2" DCA: 19.4" IAD: 29.3" RIC: 12.4" Tiebreaker (SBY): 8.7"

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 418 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 810 PM CDT Wed Oct 31 2018 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southern Arkansas Louisiana Western Mississippi Coastal Waters * Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 810 PM until 400 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Conditions will continue to become increasingly favorable for supercells and bowing segments along and ahead an east/northeastward-moving convective line. Very strong low-level shear coincident with a moist air mass will support the possibility of damaging winds and tornadoes, a couple of which could be strong. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles east northeast of El Dorado AR to 30 miles southeast of Lake Charles LA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings.