yoda

It begins URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 205 PM EST Sat Dec 8 2018 VAZ025-036-037-508-090315- /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0007.181209T1100Z-181210T0500Z/ Augusta-Nelson-Albemarle-Central Virginia Blue Ridge- 205 PM EST Sat Dec 8 2018 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Snowfall accumulations of 5 inches or more possible. * WHERE...Augusta, Nelson and Albemarle Counties, and the central Virginia Blue Ridge. * WHEN...From Sunday morning through Sunday evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...If this threat materializes, travel could be very difficult or nearly impossible. There will be a tight gradient between very little to no snow to the north and more significant amounts of several inches to the south, with any subtle shift in track resulting in possibly significant variations in snowfall over relatively short distances.

This shows Ian's tweet a lil better... from one of our NYC brethren on twitter

Banned

If you don't like it then I guess move on

That's a good shift north I believe, yes?

That is correct good sir

Euro should be north a bit seeing 24 hours

Good to see @jewell2188 reappear to be the debbie downer about snow once again

Going to guess DCA is 0.1 to 0.15 for the 12z UKMET on the QPF... waiting for meteogram... unless someone else has the image already For comparison, 00z UKIE had nothing in DCA

Decent shift north with QPF field by 12z UKIE

Brutal cutoff... Leesburg flurries and EZF 10"

12z JMA is good to go lol

Interesting... 00z FV3 gets 0.05" QPF line to S Fairfax and 0.01" QPF line just north of DC EZF into S MD ~0.20-0.25" QPF

Yeah, its too bad CMC is out on its own island, because that would be really nice to see around here

Nah, it depends on the barometric pressure

Yeah I just saw that... oh well

Is it just me, or does the precip field at 33 on 00z NAM look a little more north and northeast compared to 39 at 18z? Not that it will matter much up here... but still...

This is great news to see... though the LWX radar will be down from Monday to Friday for the updating https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=201812071815-KLWX-NOUS41-PNSLWX

Yes http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/forecast-systems.php?run=18&mode=latest&map=na&mod=gemglb&lang=en

Lol 18z GGEM at hours 54 and 60 precip maps... if only they would be correct... too bad they won't be FWIW, meteograms show 7 to 8mm of snow at DCA... which roughly translates to a little over 0.25" QPF

Missing scud being an asshole to @mappy

More like ban post

@stormtracker can we get a clean up in the Dec 9-10 thread? Thanks

I fixed my UKIE post to the correct image... that's a large shift north for measurable comparing 12z to 00z... 00z was down by RIC and 12z is up by EZF as you state

Not the total... but this 60 hr map shows the north movement compared to the 00z UKMET total precip that paulythegun posted last page