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February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post
yoda replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Sorry, 150 km it is -
Are you sure? I thought you didnt get precipitation out there in the desert
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What do you mean? Like edit the title?
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FXUS61 KLWX 061537 AFDLWX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1037 AM EST Fri Feb 6 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Extreme Cold Warning has been expanded to DC Metro area and Anne Arundel County, with Cold Weather Advisories expanded across the rest of central Virginia. SPSs (plus commuting hazard along I-95 corridor) have been issued for snow showers through the evening commute. && .KEY MESSAGES... - 1) Near-Blizzard conditions expected in the Alleghenies late this morning through Saturday morning - 2) Extreme cold and strong winds will result in dangerous wind chills this weekend. - 3) Temperatures should start to increase on Monday, with a chance for mixed precipitation later in the week. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1...Near-Blizzard conditions expected in the Alleghenies late this morning through Saturday morning. Morning Update: Snow showers are already noted on KLWX making their way east of the Alleghenies, with snow observed around Hagerstown and over the Shenandoah Mountains. There has also been some freezing drizzle reported just west of our forecast area in southwest PA and WV. A Special Weather Statement has been issued along and west of the Blue Ridge and Central VA for a dusting to around 1 inch of snow possible as these showers increase in coverage this afternoon. Brief periods of heavy snow are possible with the strongest showers. Additionally, a Winter Commuting Hazard Statement has been issued along the I-95 corridor for this afternoon as these showers move through. The higher accumulating snow totals look to be over central VA and west of the Blue Ridge. The northern Blue Ridge (Shenandoah NP) could end up with 1-2" of snow. ... KEY MESSAGE 2...Extreme cold and strong winds will result in dangerous wind chills this weekend. Morning Update: The Extreme Cold Warning has been expanded south to the DC Metro Area and Anne Arundel County. This is due to the prolonged nature of wind chills at and below zero, as well as the coldest wind chills right around -10F Saturday morning. We cannot stress enough how dangerous these wind chills will be for anyone outside for a prolonged period of time. Frostbite can occur in as little as 30 minutes on exposed skin. It is recommended you limit your time outdoors on Saturday, and if you do go outdoors be sure to dress in multiple layers and cover most, if not all, exposed skin (especially your face, ears, and hands). Additionally, the wind chills are now expected to get down to or just below 0 degrees in all of Central VA, so the Cold Weather Advisory has been expanded to cover that area.
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I believe so yes, thats the last time I think to
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URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 929 AM EST Fri Feb 6 2026 DCZ001-MDZ013-014-018-504-VAZ053-054-501-505-506-526-527-070000- /O.UPG.KLWX.CW.Y.0011.260207T0900Z-260208T1500Z/ /O.EXA.KLWX.EC.W.0004.260207T0900Z-260208T1500Z/ /O.CON.KLWX.HW.W.0001.260207T0900Z-260208T0000Z/ District of Columbia-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Calvert-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Northern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 929 AM EST Fri Feb 6 2026 ...EXTREME COLD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY... ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...For the Extreme Cold Warning, dangerously cold wind chills around or lower than 10 degrees below zero expected. For the High Wind Warning, northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of DC, central and southern Maryland, and northern Virginia. * WHEN...For the Extreme Cold Warning, from 4 AM Saturday to 10 AM EST Sunday. For the High Wind Warning, from 4 AM to 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. The cold wind chills as low as 10 below zero could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is exposed to these temperatures. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Wind chills are expected to remain below zero for at least 24 hours beginning Saturday morning and continuing through late Sunday morning. Being outdoors for a prolonged period of time will be life-threatening.
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Extreme Cold Warnings expanded
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Who does the in person interview?
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Afternoon AFD from LWX... I thought Blizzard Watches didn't exist anymore? DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1...Near-Blizzard conditions expected in the Alleghenies late Friday morning through Saturday morning. Given the high confidence in the intense bursts of snow (totaling 6-8 inches) over the Alleghenies Friday into Saturday morning, then Winter Storm Watch was upgraded to a Warning for Garrett, western Grant, and western Pendleton. A Winter Weather Advisory was issued for western Allegany, western Mineral, and western Highland counties where spillover snow showers/squalls and blowing snow are expected to be a concern, though with lower overall snow totals (2-4 inches). The first round of snow showers reach the Alleghenies late Friday morning through the evening. Then, there could be a lull where snow is mostly light, then the a second, stronger burst of snow showers (possible snow squalls) arrive Friday night with the Arctic front. The 12Z high res guidance shows snow showers easily making it east of the mountains, with a dusting to around an inch Friday afternoon to evening. The northern Blue Ridge, along with other ridges in the Potomac Highlands could get close to 1.5 to maybe 2 inches of snow. Snow rates look to be around 1"/hour in the Alleghenies, possibly up to 2"/hr with the most intense activity. Even east of the mountains, snow rates could approach 1"/hour, but mostly will be around 0.5"/hr. Synoptic discussion: A series of mid/upper troughs will traverse the area Friday into Saturday, bringing several intense periods of snow to the Alleghenies. The leading shortwave arrives Friday morning to afternoon, then the main upper trough and Arctic front cross the area Saturday morning. The strong trough crossing the northern Mid-Atlantic will provide ample lift to generate heavy snow showers across the mountains Friday into Saturday. In addition, increasing instability through the DGZ Friday evening and very high SLRs will generate squalls. Winter Storm Watches remain in effect for Garrett, western Grant, and western Pendleton where snow totals around 6 inches are likely, with significant impacts from blowing and drifting snow. Travel disruptions are likely along I-68/US-40 west of Frostburg, MD, US-219 from the PA/MD line south to the WV line, US-48 west of Moorefield, WV, US-33/WV-28 west of Franklin, WV, and US-250 west of Monterey, VA. Strengthening winds will also lead to significant blowing and drifting snow. The strongest winds on Saturday don`t overlap with the best lift and instability, so don`t see a need for a Blizzard Watch. Squalls will likely continue through the day Saturday given the strength of the low- level flow and high Froude numbers. KEY MESSAGE 2...Extreme cold and strong winds will result in dangerous wind chills this weekend. A deepening low moving offshore, with Arctic high pressure building in from the west will result in a very tight pressure gradient over the area Friday night into Saturday. A potent upper trough will dig into the Appalachians / northern Mid- Atlantic early Saturday morning. This induces a LLJ that peaks in strength over the northern Shenandoah Valley toward I-95 corridor Saturday morning. Model soundings continue to show mixing up to around 925mb, with a stout inversion located just above that level between 850-900mb. The strongest winds are maximized just above the inversion, but there is still around 50-60 kt of wind just below that inversion. The strong synoptic setup (with breaking lee waves off the Alleghenies) will allow these strong winds to mix down to the surface. A sudden onset of strong winds is expected right right as the Arctic front passes through. There is high confidence for widespread, persistent gusts in the mid to upper 40kt range (50-55 mph), with occasional gusts to 50-55kt (60-65 mph) possible. A High Wind Watch has been issued for those along/east of the Allegheny Front, and the Blue Ridge, where confidence is highest for gusts of 60-65 mph. There was consideration given to issuing a High Wind Watch for the lower terrain, including east to the DC and Baltimore Metro areas, but confidence remains low for an extended period of gusts above 50kt. This will be revisited with new model data tonight and tomorrow. The most likely scenario remains a Wind Advisory for gusts of 45-55 mph.
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February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post
yoda replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Oh, so now you are trying to buy a snowstorm for 150k? I see how it is... its pay to play...er, snow -
I hope your WC is below zero Saturday morning
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I hope you get one inch of rain
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So what happens if I post in the other thread and don't make over 150k?
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I learned from @mappy and @H2O
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Wat https://x.com/ShamsCharania/status/2019119800098963674 https://x.com/ShamsCharania/status/2019119940767556049
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Yes, us Penguins have a habit of losing games late we shouldn't be losing.
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They are in the OT section
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It was no thanks to the high wind warning. I've had enough wind. Snow and cold - yes please
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No thanks Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 400 AM EST Wed Feb 4 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Winds continue to trend stronger for the weekend with solid Wind Advisory (greater than 45 mph) conditions becoming increasingly likely everywhere late Friday night through Saturday with damaging winds (58 mph or stronger) also possible. && .KEY MESSAGES... - A potent winter storm with multiple hazards is likely to impact the region Friday into the weekend. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1...A potent winter storm with multiple hazards is likely to impact the region Friday into the weekend. A potent upper trough and Arctic cold front are set to track across the region Friday into the weekend. A lead shortwave-trough ahead of the Arctic front will bring the chance of snow showers areawide during the day Friday with moderate to heavy snow across the mountains as upper trough digs and lift increases. Snow squalls are possible everywhere Friday night with blizzard-like conditions possible across the mountains for a short period of time Friday night. There will also be an abrupt onset of very windy conditions immediately behind the passage of the Arctic front late Friday night. Wind Advisory conditions are becoming increasingly likely late Friday night through Saturday with winds potentially reaching High Wind Warning criteria for a large portion of the forecast area given the magnitue of the 925 and 850 mb winds and favorable mixing during daylight hours. This when combined with rapidly falling temperatures will result in Cold Weather Advisories everywhere even during the warmest part of the day Saturday. Extreme Cold Warnings are also possible across the mountains.
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Bncho already made one and its pinned
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Afternoon AFD from LWX KEY MESSAGE 2...A potent winter storm with multiple hazards is likely to impact the region Friday into the weekend. A potent upper trough and Arctic cold front are set to track across the region Friday into the weekend. Ahead of the front, a leading shortwave trough quickly traverses our area during the day Friday, which could bring a burst of snow east of the Alleghenies. Accumulating snow along/east of I-81 will have to contend with more marginal temperatures in the low to mid 30s. However, the strong cold air advection and substantial lift in the DGZ could possibly overcome any marginal temps at the surface. Stay tuned to the forecast in the coming days for any possible impacts from snow on Friday. For the mountains, a steady period of moderate to possibly heavy snow is possible, with several inches of accumulating snow being noted in much of the model guidance. Additionally, the increasing winds will lead to blowing snow and reduced visibility issues. Snow squalls are possible Friday evening into Friday night as the base of the upper trough slams into the Alleghenies. This is a very favorable synoptic setup for upslope snow, though it is going to be short-lived as forcing quickly departs, and moisture is more limited due to abundant ice cover on Lake Erie and Lake Huron. As the upper trough digs right over our area Friday night, it is likely to induce a sudden onset of windy conditions, especially in the wind-favored climo areas (mountains & along/north of I-66). The 500mb height fields in the ECMWF and GFS show intense ripples within a very sharp gradient over the Appalachians - a signal that usually leads to mixing of stronger winds aloft with northwesterly downslope winds. Most of the guidance has wind gusts of 35-45 mph across the area, with 45-55 mph in the mountains. Higher gusts are noted in the ensemble guidance, thus Wind Advisories and High Wind Warnings may eventually be needed for parts of the area. Frigid temperatures return to the area for this weekend, with highs in the teens to 20s each day (maybe getting to around freezing in parts of central VA). Lows Saturday morning drop to the teens, then likely see single digits to low teens areawide for Sunday morning. Wind chills are going to be in the low single digits to -5F or lower each night, with -10F to -20F in the mountains. Interestingly, the GFS has a progressive clipper passing through on Sunday that could bring additional light snow, but confidence in that is very low given model uncertainty. Otherwise, dry and cold conditions prevail this weekend into the start of next week.
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Not 67?
