yoda

18z 3km NAM total QPF

I am currently playing this game in the background

10:1 18z NAM Kuchera for fun

Maybe add an extra hundredth lol... but this is the QPF from 18z NAM

Still light snow around at hr 24

Looks like just a smidgen over 0.2" QPF at DCA on 18z parent NAM

Going by qpf field... looks like another norther jog comparing 18z at 15 hours to 12z at 21 hours At least 30 miles

Snow in DC metro by 3am on 18z NAM

I'll take zwyts favorite model the 18z RAP to go please... snow still falling at the end of the run - though probably only for another hour or two after and its pretty light 2" reaches DC metro

Is DadAteMyShoe available?

Its in the 40s today

12z Euro-AIFS (only has 10:1 on PW... so not Kuchera)

12z Euro

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1213 PM EST Thu Dec 4 2025 MDZ016>018-VAZ055-502-527-050115- /O.EXB.KLWX.WW.Y.0023.251205T0900Z-251205T2100Z/ Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Stafford-Southern Fauquier-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 1213 PM EST Thu Dec 4 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow, with total accumulations of 1 to 2 inches. * WHERE...Portions of southern Maryland and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From 4 AM to 4 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the Friday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Given temperatures will be in the 20s, snow is expected to accumulate on all untreated surfaces. A light snow will overspread the advisory area, with slightly higher amounts possible in any banding features. As snow winds down, a light freezing drizzle is possible into Friday evening.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1213 PM EST Thu Dec 4 2025 VAZ026-029-039-040-051-503-504-050115- /O.EXA.KLWX.WW.Y.0023.251205T0600Z-251205T2100Z/ Rockingham-Page-Madison-Rappahannock-Culpeper-Western Highland- Eastern Highland- 1213 PM EST Thu Dec 4 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow, with total accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. Localized totals around 4 inches are possible over the higher elevations of Augusta and Highland Counties. * WHERE...Portions of northern, northwest, and western Virginia. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 4 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the Friday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Given temperatures will be in the 20s, snow is expected to accumulate on all untreated surfaces. A light snow will overspread the advisory area, with slightly higher amounts possible in any banding features. As snow winds down, a light freezing drizzle is possible into Friday evening.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1213 PM EST Thu Dec 4 2025 VAZ025-036>038-050-056-050115- /O.CON.KLWX.WW.Y.0023.251205T0600Z-251205T2100Z/ Augusta-Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Orange-Spotsylvania- 1213 PM EST Thu Dec 4 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow, with total accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. Localized totals around 4 inches are possible over the higher elevations of Augusta and Highland Counties. * WHERE...Portions of central and western Virginia. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 4 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the Friday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Given temperatures will be in the 20s, snow is expected to accumulate on all untreated surfaces. A light snow will overspread the advisory area, with slightly higher amounts possible in any banding features. As snow winds down, a light freezing drizzle is possible into Friday evening.

Good luck all. Hope you get some nice snow tomorrow

If we were to take Kuchera as gospel on 12z RGEM: 06z at DCA was 0.2". 12z is 1.2"

12z RGEM also moved north with its qpf field

12z ICON looks to have nudged north a bit comparing 12z 24 to 06z 30

Give me around an inch and I'm good

11th-12th time period... I believe a few people on here have mentioned that time period as a potential threat

12z NAM has snow breaking out in KS at 84