yoda

I believe for ISW it has to be mainly ice and no snow

Don't worry, Superman is here

Good luck all. Hope you all see some good snows before any ice down there

I'm going to get 0.01" more snow than you. But @mappy will get more than both of us

I think most of us are pretty set on getting at least 6" of snow. What happens after is up to banding location and other intricacies. As others have mentioned, if we want to get closer to double digit snow amounts in the metros... we want that mix to come closer to 18z

Sunday night is ripping sleet lol

Just taking verbatim... DCA has 2" of snow at 1am and ripping

Zones have a lot of "lows near 0" Tuesday morning

The Winter Storm Warnings in KY are pretty high in their snow amounts FWIW

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1249 PM EST Thu Jan 22 2026 DCZ001-MDZ006-008-011-013-014-503>508-VAZ039-040-051-053-054-501-502- 505-506-526-527-230200- /O.NEW.KLWX.CW.Y.0003.260124T0100Z-260124T1500Z/ District of Columbia-Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Southern Baltimore- Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford-Madison-Rappahannock- Culpeper-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun- Northwest Prince William-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 1249 PM EST Thu Jan 22 2026 ...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM FRIDAY TO 10 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Very cold wind chills of zero to 10 below expected. * WHERE...Portions of DC, central, northeast, and northern Maryland, and northern and northwest Virginia. * WHEN...From 8 PM Friday to 10 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...The cold wind chills as low as 10 below zero could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken

DCA is still probably snow at 18z looking at sounding

The impact section is National Weather Service Huntsville AL 1104 AM CST Thu Jan 22 2026 ALZ001>003-231715- /O.UPG.KHUN.WS.A.0001.260124T0000Z-260126T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KHUN.IS.W.0001.260124T0600Z-260126T0000Z/ Lauderdale-Colbert-Franklin AL- Including the cities of Tuscumbia, Red Bay, Florence, Sheffield, Muscle Shoals, and Russellville 1104 AM CST Thu Jan 22 2026 ...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT TO 6 PM CST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Significant icing expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to one inch and ice accumulations between one quarter of an inch to one inch. * WHERE...Colbert, Franklin AL, and Lauderdale Counties. * WHEN...From midnight Friday Night to 6 PM CST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Significant ice accumulation on power lines and tree limbs may cause widespread and long-lasting power outages. Expect power outages that last more than a day and extensive tree damage due to the ice. Travel could be impossible. Significant cold weather is expected after this winter weather, so any power outages may result in dangerous indoor temperatures.

As long as i can get at least 6" snow before any mixing... I will be happy. Thank you for the write-up too

Back to back snowstorms on weekends?

@CAPE smashed

Can I get an explanation as to why Kuchera is so low on 12z UKIE?

12z UKIE 10:1

Pounding snow at DCA at 18z Sunday on 12z UKIE

Ukie a bit slower i think... at 66 its just starting to show snow at DCA

Great. Now all i can think of is Samuel Jackson saying that

An excellent choice my liege

Enjoy it... probably wont break freezing for the next 7 days

I want to say I "think" a good floor would be 6" at DCA right now

750mb reaches close t0 +4 near DCA at 81 fwiw... sounding is probably very heavy sleet