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Everything posted by yoda
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Hour 96 has a 1013 SLP basically right over OBX
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I think we all would enjoy what the CMC is cooking Day 9 and on... and I believe it would be one of 40/70's big storm he has called for in his winter outlook. By the way, check 18z GEFS at 252... support is there A bit different look... but 00z GFS also hitting the Jan 20 date hard
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Bob posted it in the other thread... but 18z GEFS were on board
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Looks like there is a banana high going on too... one in W MN and one in E Quebec... both around 1040
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00z CMC has @showmethesnow storm on the 20th as the run ends
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@Bob Chill and @psuhoffman When would be the last time to use the ensembles like the GEFS or EPS? Tonights 00z runs?
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18z FV3 looks great for Jan 23-24 storm
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Is this QPF all snow?
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I think a good range should be 2-4 inches. Full stop. If we get more, great. If we get less, that sucks... but its accumulating snow finally. No one should be expecting something like 8 inches
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And it ends up being good lol
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Strongly agree. I know it's getting near the end of the usefulness for the ensembles... but GEFS should be real interesting
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00z GFS isn't super bad though... except for near Mason-Dixon line... @Bob Chill post above agrees with this image
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102 has 1004 SLP about 150 miles east of ORF
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Still looks to me more interaction at h5 00z 66 than 18z 72
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More interaction on h5 at 00z 54... see around Oklahoma
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GFS looks a lil better to me h5 wise comparing 00z at 48 to 18z at 54
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General 2-3" across most of the area... 1-2 down towards EZF and CHO through 84
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It does make the jump at 84 fwiw... looks to be in the midst of transferring I believe
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SLP is in extreme W TN according to the 00z NAM at 78
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Light snow at 66 entering DCA
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00z NAM at 57 has closed h5 in S KS... 18z at 63 was in N OK
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I believe that is correct, yes
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While true, it is a little north at 00z 51 comparing it to 18z 57
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1-3 or 2-4 is a fine low hedge to me https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2019/01/09/light-moderate-snowfall-is-likely-this-weekend/?fbclid=IwAR28Um7bZsY10RQMOYLZYiV-SJo2fQOTrTbOIVmMYMNF-35wujzcDbo6SuY&utm_term=.eb8970775287 Looks like they went 2-4
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