yoda

The ZFP's got a lil odd... freezing rain and sleet was introduced down there so that is probably why

What about the 12z WRF-NMM? This is based off the parent NAM correct?

Flurries here or very very light snow falling

Always nice to see in the ZFP's Fairfax- Including the cities of Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, and Franconia 114 PM EST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY... .THIS AFTERNOON...Snow. Snow accumulation around an inch. Highs in the lower 30s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent. .TONIGHT...Snow. Snow may be heavy at times after midnight. Additional snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches. Lows in the upper 20s. East winds around 5 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent. .SUNDAY...Snow, mainly in the morning. Snow may be heavy at times in the morning. Additional snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches. Highs in the lower 30s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Snow likely, mainly in the evening. Lows in the mid 20s. North winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 70 percent. .MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. North winds around 5 mph.

Apparently I was prescient in my post awhile back about warnings being extended to the MD/PA border... just two hours early I was yes yes

Radarscope works for me pretty well

00z run for ref

Not really

Could someone explain what CSI banding is real quick? Its mentioned in the LWX AFD... is that like thundersnow?

Sorry, been up all morning at the grocery store and working around the house. I didnt see the upgraded warning posted so I just said it. My bad. Back on topic, I like the trends of the meso models

WSW FOR DCA AND INTO MARYLAND

12z HRDPS .75" QPF at DCA lol EZF over an inch... BWI around 0.4 or so

From WPC

You can find the FV3 much faster here: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-area.php Click on GFS... it is the FV3 on there

No side dishes like extra dendrites or heavy DGZ to go?

1162 tornadoes April 4th

Public Information Statement Spotter Reports National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1148 AM EST Mon Dec 10 2018 THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE STORM THAT AFFECTED OUR REGION ON SUNDAY DECEMBER 9TH. APPRECIATION IS EXTENDED TO HIGHWAY DEPARTMENTS...COOPERATIVE AND COCORAHS OBSERVERS...SKYWARN SPOTTERS AND MEDIA FOR THESE REPORTS. THIS SUMMARY IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR HOME PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/LWX/WINTER. ********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL******************** LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS SNOWFALL OF /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT MARYLAND ...Anne Arundel County... Churchton ENE T 845 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter ...Calvert County... Drum Point 2 N 4.5 645 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Lusby ESE 3.5 745 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Saint Leonard 2 NNW 3.0 739 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Prince Frederick 1 S 2.0 640 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Eagle Harbor 3 E 1.7 800 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS Saint Leonard 2 W 1.5 718 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Dunkirk 2 SSW 1.0 800 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Huntingtown 2 WNW 0.8 700 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Dunkirk 3.2nne 0.1 800 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS ...Charles County... White Plains 2 NNE 4.5 730 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Fairview Beach 4 NE 3.5 700 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS Wicomico 1 NW 3.5 600 AM 12/10 Trained Spotter Dentsville 1 SW 2.6 700 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS Port Tobacco Village 2.5 700 PM 12/09 CoCoRaHS Hughesville 2 ENE 2.2 1200 AM 12/10 Trained Spotter Saint Charles 2.1 800 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS La Plata 1.5 801 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Bryantown 2 NE 1.5 755 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter ...Prince Georges County... Baden 2 E 0.9 700 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS Tantallon 1 W 0.2 700 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS ...St. Marys County... Ridge 1 N 6.3 700 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS Ridge 1 ENE 6.0 1058 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Park Hall 1 NNE 5.5 800 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Oakley 2 S 5.0 1200 AM 12/10 Broadcast Media Ridge 5.0 801 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Lexington Park 2 S 4.1 930 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS Leonardtown 4.0 600 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS California 2 W 3.2 607 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter California 3 W 2.8 545 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter VIRGINIA ...Albemarle County... Charlottesville 2 W 12.9 800 AM 12/10 Co-Op Observer Barracks NNE 12.1 1120 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Hollymead 1 ENE 11.3 903 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Ivy 3 WSW 11.0 1200 AM 12/10 Trained Spotter Crozet 11.0 908 AM 12/10 Public Shadwell 1 E 11.0 1130 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Woodridge 2 SW 11.0 743 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Charlottesville 3 E 10.7 934 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Crozet 2 E 9.6 1030 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Crozet 1 W 9.5 654 PM 12/09 Public Greenwood 3 SSE 9.0 924 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS Barracks N 8.8 547 AM 12/10 Trained Spotter Woodridge 3 W 8.5 730 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Hollymead 1 NNW 8.2 1030 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Boyd Tavern 1 S 8.1 1150 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Free Union 3 WSW 7.0 601 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter ...Augusta County... Sherando 15.5 1025 PM 12/09 Broadcast Media Stuarts Draft 1 NNW 12.0 1056 AM 12/10 Trained Spotter Stuarts Draft 1 S 10.7 1100 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Fishersville 1 NE 10.5 945 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Fishersville 1 WNW 10.2 1025 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Verona 3 SSE 10.2 1025 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Summerdean 3 SE 10.0 1200 AM 12/10 Broadcast Media Hermitage 4 SW 9.5 730 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Waynesboro 9.5 1125 PM 12/09 Broadcast Media Churchville 6.6 1200 AM 12/10 Broadcast Media West Augusta 1 SSW 6.0 700 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS Weyers Cave 1 SSW 5.8 800 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter ...City of Charlottesville... Newcomb Hall 1 SW 12.5 941 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Newcomb Hall 2 SW 10.8 1050 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Charlottesville 1 SE 9.5 1059 PM 12/09 Broadcast Media Newcomb Hall 2 SSW 9.0 900 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Charlottesville 1 NN 8.1 600 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Charlottesville 1 SS 6.5 645 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter ...City of Fredericksburg... Fredericksburg 2 S 6.0 600 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Fredericksburg 1 E 4.3 620 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Fredericksburg 1 ENE 3.8 800 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS ...City of Harrisonburg... Harrisonburg 2 W 2.8 938 PM 12/09 Broadcast Media ...City of Staunton... Staunton 2 W 10.0 545 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS Staunton 9.5 939 PM 12/09 Broadcast Media Staunton Water Plant 7.6 800 AM 12/10 Co-Op Observer ...City of Waynesboro... Waynesboro 2 WSW 10.3 958 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Waynesboro 1 SSW 10.2 730 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter ...Culpeper County... Winston 2 NW 3.0 616 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Catalpa 1 SSE 2.1 600 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS Rixeyville 2 N 0.9 700 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS ...Fairfax County... Mount Vernon 1 ENE 0.1 700 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS Franconia 1 SSW T 930 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter ...Fauquier County... Bealeton 1 ESE 1.0 500 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS Warrenton 6 S 0.5 700 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS Opal 0.5 555 PM 12/09 NWS Employee ...Greene County... McMullen 1 SSE 10.0 1200 AM 12/10 Trained Spotter Amicus 3 ESE 7.8 620 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Ruckersville 1 NW 6.0 1200 AM 12/10 Trained Spotter ...Highland County... Mustoe SW 4.5 700 AM 12/10 Trained Spotter Monterey 4.0 900 AM 12/10 Trained Spotter Mustoe 1 SW 3.9 1107 PM 12/09 Co-Op Observer Mill Gap 1 SW 3.2 600 AM 12/10 Co-Op Observer ...King George County... Rollins Fork 7.4 1200 AM 12/10 Broadcast Media Jersey S 5.0 1130 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Dahlgren 2 NNW 4.0 731 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter ...Madison County... Haywood 4.4 700 AM 12/10 UCOOP Locust Dale 1 NNW 4.3 930 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Criglersville 1 WNW 4.2 700 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS Syria 4.0 1200 AM 12/10 Broadcast Media ...Nelson County... Wintergreen 3 NW 21.0 1030 PM 12/09 Broadcast Media Afton 10 S 16.8 1020 PM 12/09 Public Shipman 14.0 1200 AM 12/10 Broadcast Media Nellysford 4 ESE 11.2 720 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Elma 1 SSW 10.1 1201 AM 12/10 Trained Spotter ...Orange County... Lahore 2 NW 7.5 911 AM 12/10 Trained Spotter Barboursville 1 NNW 7.3 800 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS Thornhill 7.0 611 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Barboursville 2 NNE 6.5 800 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter ...Page County... Ida 1 SW 2.1 1200 AM 12/10 Trained Spotter Honeyville 1 ESE 1.8 900 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Stanley 1.8 1025 PM 12/09 Broadcast Media Luray 1.0 1200 AM 12/10 Broadcast Media Rileyville 1 WNW 0.8 705 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter ...Prince William County... Independent Hill 3 N 0.8 530 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS Aden 2 WSW 0.7 700 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS Independent Hill 3 N 0.7 600 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS Dale City 1 W 0.7 625 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter ...Rappahannock County... Sperryville 2 NNW 2.0 1200 AM 12/10 Trained Spotter Woodville 1.5 1200 AM 12/10 Trained Spotter Sperryville 1.1 500 AM 12/10 Co-Op Observer Sperryville 2 SE 1.1 1200 AM 12/10 Trained Spotter ...Rockingham County... Massanutten 1 ESE 4.5 700 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS Massanutten 1 SE 4.5 1045 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Bridgewater 4.0 800 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS Dale Enterprise 1 ES 3.5 910 AM 12/10 Trained Spotter Dayton 1 W 3.0 800 AM 12/10 Trained Spotter Harrisonburg 3 SW 3.0 1125 PM 12/09 Broadcast Media Sparkling Springs 3 2.3 600 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Timberville 1.0 1200 AM 12/10 Broadcast Media Criders 3 ENE 0.8 1200 AM 12/10 Broadcast Media ...Shenandoah County... Mount Clifton 2 SSW 1.0 543 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter ...Spotsylvania County... Massaponax 2 N 7.0 600 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS Dunavant 1 S 6.2 1145 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Massaponax 3 NE 6.0 800 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Spotsylvania Courtho 5.6 1218 AM 12/10 Trained Spotter ...Stafford County... Glendie 2 SSE 6.1 810 AM 12/10 Trained Spotter Glendie 1 S 5.8 622 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter White Oak 3 SSE 5.5 700 AM 12/10 CoCoRaHS Brooke 1 ESE 5.4 1100 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Holly Corner 1 ENE 5.0 717 PM 12/09 NWS Employee Ramoth 1 W 4.8 951 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter Aquia 1 NNE 2.0 545 PM 12/09 Trained Spotter WEST VIRGINIA ...Pendleton County... Deer Run 2 WSW 2.0 900 AM 12/10 Trained Spotter Cherry Grove 3 NW 2.0 1200 AM 12/10 Trained Spotter

Well you got the cutoff right I think... but CHO got 8-12 and EZF around 6".

Congrats to all... glad to see you all got crushed with heavy snow

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 349 PM EST Sun Dec 9 2018 MDZ017-VAZ055-100500- /O.UPG.KLWX.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-181210T0500Z/ /O.EXA.KLWX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-181210T0500Z/ St. Marys-Stafford- 349 PM EST Sun Dec 9 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy snow. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches are expected. * WHERE...In Maryland, Saint Marys County. In Virginia, Stafford County. * WHEN...Until midnight EST tonight. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on snow covered roads and slippery conditions. Travel will be difficult. Temperatures will remain well below freezing tonight, so any untreated surfaces will

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 301 PM EST Sun Dec 9 2018 MDZ018-VAZ052-100415- /O.EXA.KLWX.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-181210T0500Z/ Calvert-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 301 PM EST Sun Dec 9 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... * WHAT...Snow. Total snowfall accumulations of 1 to 2 inches are expected, especially across southern parts of the area. * WHERE...In Maryland, Calvert County. In Virginia, Prince William County. * WHEN...Until midnight EST tonight. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on snow covered roads and slippery conditions. Travel will be difficult. Temperatures will remain well below freezing tonight, so any untreated surfaces will remain snow covered and slippery.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 301 PM EST Sun Dec 9 2018 VAZ038-050-056-057-100415- /O.UPG.KLWX.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-181210T0500Z/ /O.EXA.KLWX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-181210T0500Z/ Greene-Orange-Spotsylvania-King George- 301 PM EST Sun Dec 9 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy snow. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches. * WHERE...Greene, Orange, Spotsylvania and King George Counties. * WHEN...Until midnight EST tonight. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on snow covered roads and slippery conditions. Travel will be difficult. Temperatures will remain well below freezing tonight, so any untreated surfaces will remain snow covered and slippery.