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660 NWUS51 KAKQ 082329 LSRAKQ Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Wakefield VA 729 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0705 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 ESE Bowling Green 38.05N 77.32W 08/08/2024 Caroline VA Trained Spotter Spotter reports multiple trees down on homes ESE of Bowling Green. Possible tornado.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 728 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024 The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has extended the * Flash Flood Warning for... Western New Castle County in northern Delaware... * Until 1045 PM EDT. * At 728 PM EDT, emergency management reported thunderstorms producing heavy rain in Numerous vehicles trapped in flood waters and a trailer park being evacuated in Red Lion and Kirkwood. Between 2.5 and 6 inches of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 2 to 3 inches in 1 hour. Flash flooding is already occurring. HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding caused by thunderstorms. SOURCE...Emergency management reported. IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets, and underpasses. * Some locations that may experience flash flooding include... Wilmington, Newark, Middletown, Elsmere, Delaware City, Newport, Bear, Saint Georges, Glasgow, Mount Pleasant, Stanton and Pike Creek. This includes Interstate 95 in Delaware between mile markers 2 and 11.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 728 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024 The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has extended the * Flash Flood Warning for... Western New Castle County in northern Delaware... * Until 1045 PM EDT. * At 728 PM EDT, emergency management reported thunderstorms producing heavy rain in Numerous vehicles trapped in flood waters and a trailer park being evauated in Red Lion and Kirkwood. Between 2.5 and 6 inches of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 2 to 3 inches in 1 hour. Flash flooding is already occurring. HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding caused by thunderstorms. SOURCE...Emergency management reported. IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets, and underpasses. * Some locations that may experience flash flooding include... Wilmington, Newark, Middletown, Elsmere, Delaware City, Newport, Bear, Saint Georges, Glasgow, Mount Pleasant, Stanton and Pike Creek. This includes Interstate 95 in Delaware between mile markers 2 and 11.

196 NWUS51 KPHI 082321 LSRPHI Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 721 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0712 PM Tornado Marshallton 39.73N 75.65W 08/08/2024 New Castle DE Trained Spotter Two independent reports from a trained spotter and fire department of a tornado on the ground near the intersection of Route 7 and Kirkwood Highway near the Kirkwood Plaza Shopping Center. Debris lofted into the air and some minor damage reported. && $$ Staarmann

196 NWUS51 KPHI 082321 LSRPHI Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 721 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0712 PM Tornado Marshallton 39.73N 75.65W 08/08/2024 New Castle DE Trained Spotter Two independent reports from a trained spotter and fire department of a tornado on the ground near the intersection of Route 7 and Kirkwood Highway near the Kirkwood Plaza Shopping Center. Debris lofted into the air and some minor damage reported. && $$ Staarmann

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 723 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southeastern Stafford County in northern Virginia... The City of Fredericksburg in central Virginia... Northeastern Spotsylvania County in central Virginia... * Until 745 PM EDT. * At 722 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 7 miles northwest of Fort A.p. Hill, or 9 miles north of Bowling Green, moving northwest at 35 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. This storm has a history of producing damage. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Fredericksburg around 725 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Stones Corner, White Oak, Brookfield, and Falmouth.

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 717 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024 DEC003-082330- /O.CON.KPHI.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-240808T2330Z/ New Castle DE- 717 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEW CASTLE COUNTY... At 716 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Pike Creek, or near Newark, moving north at 15 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Law enforcement confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. Locations impacted include... Newport, Greenville, Stanton, Pike Creek, Hockessin, Ashland, and North Star. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly tornado is occurring. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3981 7570 3983 7565 3984 7559 3971 7561 3970 7569 3978 7574 TIME...MOT...LOC 2316Z 163DEG 11KT 3974 7566 TORNADO...OBSERVED TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN

PDS warning

Watch out EZF BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Wakefield VA 704 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024 The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northeastern Caroline County in north central Virginia... * Until 730 PM EDT. * At 704 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Bowling Green, moving northwest at 25 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Bowling Green and Fort Walker around 710 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Rappahannock Academy, Corbin, and Villboro.

County just to the east

Tornado Warning for New Castle county in N DE as well

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Wakefield VA 646 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024 The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southwestern Caroline County in north central Virginia... North central Hanover County in central Virginia... * Until 730 PM EDT. * At 646 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Kings Dominion, or 9 miles north of Randolph Macon College, moving northwest at 35 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Ladysmith around 655 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Chilesburg, Golansville, Beaverdam, Oliver, Burruss Corner, Nancy Wrights Corner, Cedar Fork, Hewlett, Doswell, and Ruther Glen.

Yes

50/20 tor probs... impressive

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 615 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 635 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Maryland Eastern North Carolina Central and eastern Virginia The eastern West Virginia Panhandle Coastal Waters * Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 635 PM until 700 AM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible SUMMARY...Convective bands with embedded supercells and the potential for a few tornadoes will persist overnight and spread northward from North Carolina into Virginia/Maryland with the remnants of tropical cyclone Debby. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles east northeast of Martinsburg WV to 35 miles east of Goldsboro NC. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings.

Where do you see that? ETA - I see the watch now... was just expecting an MCD beforehand

Afternoon AFD from LWX - note it is long and very detailed Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 402 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024 .SYNOPSIS... The remnants of Debby will move through the area tonight into Friday, before passing off toward our northeast on Friday night. Thereafter, high pressure will build over the area into early next week. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... The latest NHC advisory shows Tropical Storm Debby centered along the North Carolina/South Carolina border. Well off to our northwest, a broad upper trough is centered over the Western Great Lakes and Upper Midwest. Debby`s circulation is starting to feel the influence of that trough well off to our northwest, and is being drawn northward in response. As this interaction with the upstream trough occurs, Debby will also start to turn extratropical in nature. As we move forward in time, the remnants of Debby will track northward through the Shenandoah Valley tonight, before moving northward across Pennsylvania tomorrow. The system should eventually reach upstate New York by tomorrow evening. As the system tracks northward through our area it will produce a number of weather hazards, which are discussed more in-depth below... Heavy Rainfall/Flooding: Current radar imagery shows numerous showers/downpours ongoing in advance of Debby`s main circulation across northern Virginia, Maryland, and the West Virginia Panhandle. These heavier showers are occurring within a warm/moist advection regime ahead of Debby, and are producing very heavy rainfall for brief periods of time. Due to the rather disorganized nature and brief duration of these showers, flooding isn`t anticipated. However, they may lead to brief reduced visibility, or some ponding on roadways. The main precipitation shield associated with Debby is just starting to work into central Virginia, with the heaviest rainfall situated across southern Virginia. The heaviest of these rains will work northward into central Virginia over the next several hours, and continue across central Virginia through at least the first half of the night. The steadiest rains may move to the north of central Virginia during the second half of the night, but more intermittent heavier bursts of convective rainfall may still be possible through the second half of the night. The steadier precipitation shield will spread northward through the Shenandoah Valley and Potomac Highlands through the night. Very heavy rainfall will likely lead to widespread flooding issues tonight from central Virginia northward through the Shenandoah Valley. A rare High Risk for excessive rainfall from WPC has been issued across these areas. The West Virginia Panhandle and western Maryland will also get into the steady, heavy rainfall tonight, with much of it falling during the second half of the night. These locations will likely experiences issues with Flash Flooding during the second half of the night. Overall, a widespread 3-5 inches of rainfall is expected for these locations, with isolated totals up to 7 inches. Locally higher totals approaching 10 inches may be possible along the east facing slopes of the Blue Ridge, where upslope easterly flow may will lead to orographic enhancement of the rain. For those reasons, the above locations are in a Flood Watch for flash flooding from 8 PM tonight through 8 PM tomorrow. Further east, rainfall will be more intermittent and showery along the I-95 corridor tonight as the core of the system passes to the west. As a result, issues with flooding aren`t anticipated overnight. Tomorrow, as the system tracks northward into Pennsylvania, a feeder rainfall band is expected to develop to the south of the circulation and slowly track eastward across locations to the east of the Blue Ridge. Very heavy rainfall may be possible within this band, and could lead to localized instances of flash flooding where training occurs. Confidence in widespread flooding associated with this activity tomorrow morning through mid-afternoon tomorrow remains too low for a Flood Watch, but one may potentially be considered at a later time. For locations further east (outside of the Flood Watch), a broad 1-3 inches of rainfall is expected, with more localized totals up to 5 inches. Rainfall should finally move out of the area late tomorrow afternoon. Tornadoes: There is growing concern that tornadoes may impact portions of the area, especially later this evening into the overnight hours. The zone with an environment most favorable for tornadoes is currently located to our south over southern Virginia and North Carolina. Over time, this environment characterized by ample shear in the low levels, limited instability, and large curved hodographs will lift northward into our area, with tornado potential in central Virginia likely beginning somewhere within the 6-8 PM time window. As the system tracks northward through the night, the area favorable for tornadoes will spread northward through the Shenandoah Valley and into the West Virginia Panhandle. SPC has highlighted these locations in a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms, driven by tornadoes. With the potential for most of this activity to occur after dark, we encourage people to have a way to receive tornado warnings at night, and to be ready to take shelter in the middle of the night, if needed. The threat for tornadoes may shift eastward tomorrow to locations east of the Blue Ridge within the aforementioned feeder band that will develop to the south of the circulation as it tracks into Pennsylvania. Any tornado potential tomorrow would likely be maximized during the morning to early afternoon hours. SPC has upgraded the Baltimore area to a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms tomorrow, with the threat being driven by both tornadoes and damaging straight line winds. Overall, 0-1 km SRH is lower compared to overnight, so that may lead to a slightly lower tornado potential than overnight, but chances for straight line winds will be increased as limited heating and destabilization occurs ahead of the convective line. Background winds: Outside of any thunderstorms, winds may gust to around 30-40 mph at times, especially during the daylight hours to the east of the Blue Ridge. This may be enough to bring down a few trees with saturated soil conditions, but is below the Wind Advisory threshold of 40 knots/46 mph.

LWX seems quite concerned about tornadoes overnight in their afternoon AFD

The highlighted areas in the watch in the Bay are all under Wakefield's WFO

Hopefully that will give them the chance to clean up all the downed trees then

SPC declines and says head SW 5% is in E PA into NJ

I don't see LWX attached to the watchbox at all

40/20 tor probs... kind of surprised at the 20