yoda

Otto Porter traded to the Bulls lol

Tornado warning for DeKalb, Rutherford, Wilson and Cannon counties until 3:15pm

There's still a good amount of precip coming on the UKIE... but by 144 we are losing the 850s and temps are upper 20s to lower 30s. Some have changed to wintry mix at 144 while northern areas are still all snow. Hope that the low at 144 is going to transfer... it's in eastern KY at 144

Probably ice rink as 850 0c line is to your north just a tad... but temps are on the upper 20s to around 30

Through 144 it's a very nice hit. Good CAD being shown. Start to lose 850s at 144

00z EURO is basically an i66 and north hit... 4 to 8 inches. Super extreme cutoff on southern side though as seen on the snowfall map below

That's what the DGEX was for

I wouldn't be surprised to see GFS trend a bit colder with the system.. high 1030s HP should be showing a bit more CAD, especially with that positioning

@mattie g Fairfax has already announced 2 hour delay tomorrow with reassessment in the morning lol

Didn't know it gave me 3 inches for next weekend Talking about the Feb 10 to 12 storm

Lol no... but .10 to .15 QPF right across DC metro

Probably you complaining that the GFS took away 3 inches of your snow for next weekend lol

Better than nothing I suppose for DC metro and surrounding counties lol URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 327 PM EST Thu Jan 31 2019 DCZ001-MDZ013-014-504-VAZ053-054-506-010430- /O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0009.190201T1100Z-190201T2000Z/ District of Columbia-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel- Central and Southeast Montgomery-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Eastern Loudoun- 327 PM EST Thu Jan 31 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 3 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow is likely. Snow accumulation less than one inch. The best chance for snow will be between 7 AM and noon Friday. * WHERE...The Washington Metropolitan area. * WHEN...From 6 AM to 3 PM EST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...With surface temperatures well below freezing Friday morning, even minor accumulations of snow could cause untreated roads to become icy.

Looks like it stops at Fulton/Franklin/Adams for right now

CTP has issued advisories for counties bordering Mason-Dixon line... looks like 2-4" depending on county

Its Day 10 of the EURO... but since I am trying to learn: With that h5 in W Canada... is that good or bad? Also, looks like the Pacific isn't helping much as the PNA ridge is very small nosing into AK

17z HRRR has light snow developing in north central VA at 09z and moving north/expanding in size for the last few hours of the run

I wonder with the SPS issued by LWX re snow for the morning commute possibility if LWX will issue WWA for DC because of the new rules for tomorrow morning into the afternoon... even though accums will likely be an inch or less

Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1224 PM EST Thu Jan 31 2019 DCZ001-MDZ004>006-011-013-014-016-018-503>508-VAZ052>055-501-502- 505-506-010130- District of Columbia-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore- Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-Calvert- Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford- Southeast Harford-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Northern Fauquier- Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun- Including the cities of Washington, Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg, Westminster, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, St. Charles, Waldorf, Chesapeake Beach, Huntingtown, Dunkirk, North Beach, Lusby, Prince Frederick, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Lisbon, Columbia, Ellicott City, Jarrettsville, Aberdeen, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Falmouth, Warrenton, Turnbull, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn, and Sterling 1224 PM EST Thu Jan 31 2019 ...POTENTIAL WINTER COMMUTING HAZARD FOR THE BALTIMORE / WASHINGTON METRO AREAS FRIDAY MORNING... There is a potential for hazardous commuting conditions for the Friday morning commute. A period of snow is POSSIBLE (a 30 percent chance south of Washington D.C. up to a 70 percent chance in and north of Baltimore) Friday morning across the Baltimore / Washington metro areas. Snow may accumulate up to an inch for metro Washington D.C.. Snow may accumulate around an inch for Baltimore with 1 to 2 inches possible north of Baltimore. If this threat does materialize during the Friday morning rush- hour, many untreated roads could quickly turn icy. This could lead to dangerous traveling conditions, multiple accidents, and extensive delays. If commuting Friday morning, be aware of the POSSIBILITY of significant travel disruptions. Plan ahead by allowing for extra travel time, and consider using public transportation and telework options. Stay tuned for updates on this potential winter weather episode.

16z HRRR at at the end of its run has a band of light snow in N VA just south of DC... updated zone forecasts now have snow accumulations up to 1 inch for Fairfax and DC proper

12z UKIE is decent around DCA... looks like 0.1" QPF

I'd take the 12z RGEM and HRDPS down here... nice to see another half inch to an inch depending on ratios if it can reach down here before the warm-up

I think most of us are as well lol