yoda
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Everything posted by yoda
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00z NAM NEST decides to drive through some what would appear to be supercells around 20z to 21z... then brings a pretty decent line south from PA as a finale around 03z but its fragmenting around DC at that time
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Oh hai... sounding around DCA at 03z FRI per the 00z NAM
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00z NAM sim radar brings some nastiness for the evening commute from BWI to DCA to near EZF at 21z
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Ok... those are some disturbing soundings the 00z NAM is tossing out at 00z and 03z FRI at KIAD... 03z FRI at KBWI and KDCA... Yes, just a sounding, but you don't see those types of soundings around here very often Yes, doesn't guarantee we see severe. But still... wow @Kmlwx @high risk
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18z NAM soundings at 21z THUR and 00z FRI are pretty impressive across the region
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I think it will continue to look that way on sim radar until the MCS that LWX mentioned in the afternoon AFD develops
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LWX's afternoon AFD re tomorrow from 2:30PM
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SPC Disco from the 1730 OTLK
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1730 SPC OTLK moves the SLGT and ENH risk south some compared to earlier Day 2
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I'm liking Thursday based off the NAM/NAM NEST/SREFs... I see the slight risk moving south some on the new Day 2 and an ENH in PA.
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00z NAM soundings at 21z THUR and 00z FRI look tasty
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Lol there could be a high risk here and @Eskimo Joe would find a way to meh it
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LWX afternoon AFD on Thursday afternoon threat:
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I wonder if that action on sim reflectivity in SW PA/W MD would reach us in the few hours after the 12z NAM NEST run ends
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12z NAM soundings look good as well IMO, esp between 21z THUR and 03z FRI
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12z NAM looks okay I guess for Thursday afternoon
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12z looked same as 00z I guess re CIPS?
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2 inch hail marker on radarscope and maybe some slight rotation?
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STW till 9pm for NW portions of the LWX CWA
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Clear Spring MD about to be crushed
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Whoops by SPC today https://mobile.twitter.com/jaredwsmith/status/1129944920385564673
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Ellicott City cell on radarscope looks like it has a little bit of a hook
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Some decent storms out there today... good amount severe warned
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And SPC doesnt have us outlooked for Sunday lol... does look a little bit intriguing
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updated morning AFD from LWX:
