yoda

19 confirmed dead now -- https://www.yahoo.com/gma/tornado-directly-hits-nashville-extensive-damage-reported-082805483--abc-news-topstories.html

1300 SPC OTLK still 2% TOR/5% WIND... but disco has picked up a bit compared to the 0600 one

8 confirmed deaths https://news.yahoo.com/national-weather-confirms-tornado-near-074153755.html?.tsrc=bell-brknews

Here we go again... i think... unless this is continuously on the ground... BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Nashville TN 117 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2020 The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Central Smith County in Middle Tennessee... Southwestern Jackson County in Middle Tennessee... East central Wilson County in Middle Tennessee... * Until 145 AM CST. * At 116 AM CST, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located 7 miles east of Lebanon, moving east at 50 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. * The tornado will be near... Carthage and Gordonsville around 135 AM CST. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Granville, South Carthage and Tuckers Crossroads. This includes Interstate 40 between mile markers 243 and 264. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW! A large and extremely dangerous tornado is on the ground. Take immediate tornado precautions. This is an emergency situation. && LAT...LON 3626 8578 3621 8578 3621 8581 3620 8580 3618 8581 3618 8579 3617 8579 3617 8581 3614 8580 3616 8622 3625 8623 3633 8582 TIME...MOT...LOC 0716Z 265DEG 42KT 3620 8619 TORNADO...OBSERVED TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL...1.00IN

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Nashville TN 111 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2020 TNC189-030730- /O.CON.KOHX.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-200303T0730Z/ Wilson TN- 111 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2020 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 AM CST FOR CENTRAL WILSON COUNTY... At 111 AM CST, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located near Lebanon, moving east at 50 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of central Wilson County. This includes Interstate 40 between mile markers 237 and 243. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW! A large and extremely dangerous tornado is on the ground. take immediate tornado precautions. this is an emergency situation. && LAT...LON 3615 8632 3622 8633 3625 8620 3616 8619 TIME...MOT...LOC 0711Z 265DEG 44KT 3619 8627 TORNADO...OBSERVED TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL...1.00IN

MRGL risk for this afternoon and evening... 2% TOR/5% WIND

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 37 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 100 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2020 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northeast Arkansas The southern Missouri Bootheel Extreme northern Mississippi Western Tennessee * Effective this Tuesday morning from 100 AM until 500 AM CST. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Broken bands of thunderstorms will continue to develop along a cold front that will move eastward from Arkansas to northern Mississippi and western Tennessee through the early morning hours. The storm environment will favor a mix of supercells and bowing segments capable of producing large hail, isolated damaging gusts, and perhaps an isolated tornado.

New Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued by SPC till 5 AM CST/6 AM EST for W TN/NE AR/N MS

not good BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Nashville TN 1253 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2020 The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a * Tornado Warning for... East central Davidson County in Middle Tennessee... Central Wilson County in Middle Tennessee... * Until 130 AM CST. * At 1253 AM CST, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located over Hermitage, or 10 miles east of Nashville, moving east at 45 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. * The tornado will be near... Belinda City around 100 AM CST. Lebanon around 105 AM CST. This includes the following highways... Interstate 40 between mile markers 218 and 243. Interstate 840 between mile markers 73 and 76. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW! A large and extremely dangerous tornado is on the ground. Take immediate tornado precautions. This is an emergency situation.

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Nashville TN 1245 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2020 TNC037-165-189-030700- /O.CON.KOHX.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-200303T0700Z/ Davidson TN-Sumner TN-Wilson TN- 1245 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2020 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CST FOR EAST CENTRAL DAVIDSON...SOUTH CENTRAL SUMNER AND WEST CENTRAL WILSON COUNTIES... At 1245 AM CST, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located near Nashville, moving east at 45 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...NWS employee confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. The tornado will be near... Lakewood, Hermitage and Old Hickory around 1250 AM CST. Mount Juliet and Rural Hill around 100 AM CST. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Berry Hill and Percy Priest Lake. This includes the following highways... Interstate 40 between mile markers 208 and 225. Interstate 65 between mile markers 81 and 92. Interstate 24 between mile markers 42 and 53. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW! && LAT...LON 3612 8682 3626 8679 3631 8652 3610 8651 TIME...MOT...LOC 0645Z 266DEG 41KT 3618 8672 TORNADO...OBSERVED TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL...1.25IN $$ Schaper

Uh... I hope everyone is in shelter reading the SWS

Still a good amount of action going on... 2 TWs currently in effect

00z NAM 3km sim radar looks nice until it falls apart as it approaches i95 corridor

End if its run, but 02z HRRR gets us into the mid 60s at 20z tomorrow with storms developing off to the west in WV

00z HRRR is turrible

General thunder added and a disco issued in the 1730 SPC OTLK

SPC has 4 storm reports from LWX -- https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/event.php?date=20200226

I see 4 LSR's from LWX from last night

#2 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1010 PM EST Wed Feb 26 2020 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northern Stafford County in northern Virginia... Northeastern Orange County in central Virginia... Southeastern Fauquier County in northern Virginia... Southeastern Culpeper County in northern Virginia... Southwestern Prince William County in northern Virginia... North central Spotsylvania County in central Virginia... * Until 1100 PM EST. * At 1010 PM EST, a severe thunderstorm was located 10 miles southeast of Culpeper, moving northeast at 40 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Bealeton, Nokesville, Remington, Catlett, Calverton, Midland, Stevensburg, Roseville, Garrisonville, Locust Grove, Flat Run, Heflin, Dunavant, Lake Of The Woods, Morrisville, Ruby, Somerville, Goldvein, Raccoon Ford and Lois.

930pm AFD from LWX

There's one STW by LWX... headed toward DC in an hour or so... Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 945 PM EST Wed Feb 26 2020 VAC047-113-137-270315- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0011.000000T0000Z-200227T0315Z/ Madison VA-Orange VA-Culpeper VA- 945 PM EST Wed Feb 26 2020 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM EST FOR SOUTHEASTERN MADISON...CENTRAL ORANGE AND SOUTH CENTRAL CULPEPER COUNTIES... At 945 PM EST, a severe thunderstorm was located near Orange, moving northeast at 35 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. Locations impacted include... Culpeper, Orange, Gordonsville, Raccoon Ford, Rhoadesville, Rapidan, Everona, Verdiersville, Madison Run, Montpelier Station, Burr Hill, Nasons, Winston, Madison Mills, Montford, Mitchells, Old Somerset, Unionville, Somerset and Locust Dale. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building.

LWX seems a bit gungho this evening in their afternoon AFD:

Per 833pm HWO from LWX for the region:

@high risk pretty decent squall line comes roaring through the region between 02z and 05z THU on 00z 3km NAM