yoda

Guess the WF blasted through here... nice evening now with clear blue skies

https://mobile.twitter.com/iembot_lwx/status/1123639765612531719 https://www.weather.gov/lwx/NelsonTor

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Norman OK 129 PM CDT Wed May 1 2019 The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northwestern Jefferson County in southern Oklahoma... * Until 200 PM CDT. * At 129 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Sugden, moving northeast at 15 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and tennis ball size hail. SOURCE...Emergency Management confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * Locations impacted include... Waurika and Sugden.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service San Angelo TX 135 PM CDT Wed May 1 2019 The National Weather Service in San Angelo has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northwestern Throckmorton County in west central Texas... * Until 200 PM CDT. * At 134 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Millers Creek Reservoir, or 14 miles south of Seymour, moving north at 25 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of northwestern Throckmorton County.

I know I mentioned this in the April Banter thread -- but I will repost it here since mappy mentioned it in this thread: https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/principal-ignored-tornado-warning-and-dismissed-children-during-storm-according-to-irate-parents-201230107.html

Hmmmm https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/principal-ignored-tornado-warning-and-dismissed-children-during-storm-according-to-irate-parents-201230107.html

Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0100 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2019 Valid 301200Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE OK/TX RED RIVER VICINITY NORTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are possible in a corridor across parts of the southern Plains northeastward toward Illinois/Indiana Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night. This will include a risk for large hail, locally damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes. ...Synopsis... Large-scale troughing will persist across the Western U.S. today. A lead wave - currently over the Lower Colorado River Valley - will open up while ejecting northeastward through the central Rockies/Plains, eventually reaching Wisconsin/Illinois by the end of the forecast period. A second trough will amplify southeastward from the Pacific Northwest into Wyoming. A ridge will extend from the Great Lakes southward across the Southeast. At the surface, a couple of lows will organize in response to the ejecting mid-level shortwave - one across Colorado and another across the central Plains/Mid-Missouri Valley. A nearly stationary front will extend from the Texas South Plains north-northeastward into eastern Kansas, then transition to a warm front across central Illinois/Indiana. Plains portions of this front will oscillate northwestward to southeastward today, with those oscillations tied to trends in convection in that general vicinity. South and east of the front, southerly low-level flow will maintain a moist and buoyant low-level airmass characterized by near 70s F dewpoints. ...Texas northeastward to Illinois/Indiana... Early morning convection should be ongoing at the start of the period along an axis from the Texas South Plains northeastward to eastern Kansas and southern Iowa - mostly along and north of the stationary front that should be located from northwest Texas to near Kansas City. Some of these storms may migrate east of the front and become surface based, with an attendant risk of isolated damaging wind gusts and a brief tornado given strong low-level shear profiles and sufficient buoyancy. 30-40 kt southerly 850mb flow may encourage northward retreat of this boundary during the morning, though the eventual afternoon position of this front will ultimately depend on the extent of elevated convection that can develop from northwest Texas into northern Oklahoma. Over the course of the day, bands of convection are expected to organize along an axis from west-central Texas through central Oklahoma and into southeastern Missouri very near and just ahead of the eventual position of the front. Pre-frontal convection may also evolve from western Arkansas northeastward to central lllinois - particularly from mid-morning through the afternoon. This convection may struggle against weak inhibition with southern extent, although point forecast soundings indicate a mostly uncapped airmass with strong instability and shear across central Illinois and adjacent areas of eastern Missouri during the afternoon. Mixed convective modes (linear and supercellular) are expected given the shear/instability parameter space within the warm sector (1500 J/kg MLCAPE across MO/IL increasing to near 4000 J/kg southward across west Texas). At this time, the greatest tornado risk appears concentrated across north Texas, eastern Oklahoma, and into central Illinois beneath the low-level jet axis where shear profiles will be strongest. A northward-moving warm front across central IL/IN may also provide impetus for updraft rotation/tornadogenesis pending favorable convective interactions. Farther southwest across west-central Texas, low-level wind fields are expected to be a bit less favorable for tornadoes, though steeper lapse rates and sufficient deep shear will support large (perhaps significant) hail and damaging wind gusts. A lingering uncertainty revolves around the northward retreat of the surface boundary this afternoon across Oklahoma. A more westward/northwestward position of this boundary is possible pending evolution of early-morning convection, and this may result in a higher afternoon and evening severe threat than currently depicted in this outlook. This area will be monitored for possible upgrade later today.

Looks like 00z NAM wants a cool but kinda humid Wednesday... WF gets shoved down into C VA and highs are in the 50s and 60s for most but DPs are close by

I don't see them being good (as in .500 team) for a few more years tbh

Interesting... didn't know a cold front moving through could cause SMWs to be issued on the water BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Special Marine Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 459 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2019 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Special Marine Warning for... Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island MD to Smith Point VA... Tidal Potomac from Indian Head to Cobb Island MD... Tidal Potomac from Key Bridge to Indian Head MD... * Until 630 PM EDT. * At 459 PM EDT, a cold front was located near Quantico, moving southeast at 15 knots. HAZARD...Wind gusts 34 knots or greater. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Boaters in small craft could be thrown overboard by suddenly higher winds and waves capsizing their vessel. * Locations impacted include... Breton Bay, Saint Clements Bay, Piney Point, Mouth Of The Potomac River, Maryland Point, Leesylvania State Park, Colonial Beach, Quantico, Cobb Island, Tall Timbers, Coltons Point, Gunston Hall, Mathias Point, U.S. 301 Nice Memorial Bridge, Mason Neck State Park, Saint George Island, Wicomico River, Occoquan Bay, White Point Beach and Coles Point.

Nice cool rainy night... windows open

I actually think the Redskins did quite well in the draft this year tbh

Hmmm indeed https://mobile.twitter.com/EasternChaser/status/1121871110910484480

Quick question... see the bolded in this tornado warning update statement from LWX:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 313 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2019 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northwestern Harford County in northern Maryland... North central Baltimore County in northern Maryland... * Until 345 PM EDT. * At 312 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Cockeysville, moving northeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Fallston around 335 PM EDT. Jarrettsville around 340 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Glencoe, Norrisville, Hunt Valley, Sparks, Pylesville, Forest Hill, Chrome Hill, Bynum, Phoenix and Street.

TORNADO WARNING NORTH CENTRAL FAIRFAX AND CENTRAL MONTGOMERY BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 239 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2019 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Central Montgomery County in central Maryland... North central Fairfax County in northern Virginia... * Until 315 PM EDT. * At 239 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Great Falls, or over Lowes Island, moving northeast at 40 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Potomac and North Potomac around 250 PM EDT. Rockville, Gaithersburg and North Bethesda around 255 PM EDT. Montgomery Village, Redland, North Kensington and Rossmoor around 300 PM EDT. Olney, Aspen Hill, Colesville and Wheaton-Glenmont around 305 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Derwood, Spencerville, Cloverly, Washington Grove, Bradley Farms, Laytonsville, Brookeville, Norbeck, Sandy Spring and Glenmont.

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 237 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2019 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southeastern Carroll County in north central Maryland... Baltimore City in northern Maryland... Howard County in central Maryland... Southwestern Baltimore County in northern Maryland... * Until 315 PM EDT. * At 237 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Sykesville, or 9 miles northwest of Columbia, moving northeast at 35 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Baltimore, Columbia, Pikesville, Middle River, Cockeysville, Ellicott City, Dundalk, Towson, Catonsville, Essex, Woodlawn, Randallstown, Parkville, Owings Mills, Eldersburg, Carney, Milford Mill, Reisterstown, Lochearn and Arbutus.

ULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 229 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2019 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Stafford County in northern Virginia... King George County in central Virginia... Northeastern Orange County in central Virginia... The City of Fredericksburg in central Virginia... Southeastern Fauquier County in northern Virginia... Southeastern Culpeper County in northern Virginia... Spotsylvania County in central Virginia... * Until 315 PM EDT. * At 228 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 15 miles southeast of Culpeper to 7 miles southwest of Spotsylvania, moving east at 45 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. These storms have a history of downing numerous trees from Albemarle to Orange Counties. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Stafford, Fredericksburg, King George, Dahlgren, Fairview Beach, Aquia Creek, Potomac Creek, Massaponax, Spotsylvania, Falmouth, Passapatanzy, Snell, Ramoth, Partlow, Heflin, Thornburg, Dunavant, White Oak, Sealston and Jersey.

Severe Thunderstorm Warning DCC001-MDC031-033-VAC013-059-510-600-610-261915- /O.NEW.KLWX.SV.W.0047.190426T1825Z-190426T1915Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 225 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2019 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... The District of Columbia... Southeastern Montgomery County in central Maryland... Northern Prince Georges County in central Maryland... The northeastern City of Fairfax in northern Virginia... Arlington County in northern Virginia... The City of Falls Church in northern Virginia... Northeastern Fairfax County in northern Virginia... The City of Alexandria in northern Virginia... * Until 315 PM EDT. * At 225 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Huntington, moving northeast at 45 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Arlington, Alexandria, Bowie, Annandale, Clinton, Olney, Springfield, College Park, Fort Washington, Greenbelt, Fairfax, Langley Park, Beltsville, Fort Hunt, Vienna, Groveton, Forestville, Falls Church, Huntington and Largo. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for District of Columbia...central Maryland...and northern Virginia. Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the basement or small central room in a sturdy structure. TORNADO...POSSIBLE HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH

Eastern Loudoun cell looks interesting

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 220 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2019 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Montgomery County in central Maryland... Southeastern Loudoun County in northern Virginia... The northwestern City of Fairfax in northern Virginia... Northern Fairfax County in northern Virginia... * Until 300 PM EDT. * At 220 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Brambleton to near South Riding, moving northeast at 50 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Germantown, Centreville, Rockville, Bethesda, Gaithersburg, Reston, Leesburg, Olney, South Riding, Herndon, Fairfax, Vienna, Damascus, Broadlands, Lansdowne, Lowes Island, Brambleton, Pimmit Hills, Poolesville and Mclean.

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 217 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2019 VAC047-113-137-177-261830- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0044.000000T0000Z-190426T1830Z/ Madison VA-Orange VA-Culpeper VA-Spotsylvania VA- 217 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2019 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM EDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN MADISON...EASTERN ORANGE...SOUTHEASTERN CULPEPER AND CENTRAL SPOTSYLVANIA COUNTIES... At 217 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Culpeper to 9 miles north of Louisa, moving east at 45 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Law enforcement. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. Locations impacted include... Culpeper, Spotsylvania, Mine Run, Elkwood, Stevensburg, Brandy Station, Verdiersville, Everona, Locust Grove, Flat Run, Thornhill, Nasons, Winston, Mitchells, Glenora, Dunavant, Lake Of The Woods, Unionville, Cookstown and Raccoon Ford.

Are those mini hooks entering Fairfax or is the radar playing tricks? ETA: Down by Lake Ridge

So this would be the ENH on the MA scale you made, yes?