yoda

Yup... damage also reported by spotters 8 miles NE of Cozad Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Hastings NE 812 PM CDT Fri May 17 2019 NEC047-180145- /O.CON.KGID.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-190518T0145Z/ Dawson NE- 812 PM CDT Fri May 17 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT FOR NORTHWESTERN DAWSON COUNTY... At 809 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located 9 miles northeast of Cozad, or 15 miles northwest of Lexington, moving northeast at 30 mph. Another possible tornado is just southwest of Cozad, also moving northeast. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and three inch hail. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. At 810 PM CDT, trained weather spotters reported damage 8 miles northeast of Cozad. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. This tornadic thunderstorm will affect Cozad, then remain over mainly rural areas of western Dawson County. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Motorists should not take shelter under highway overpasses. If you cannot safely drive away from the tornado, as a last resort, either park your vehicle and stay put, or abandon your vehicle and lie down in a low lying area and protect yourself from flying debris.

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Hastings NE 801 PM CDT Fri May 17 2019 NEC047-180145- /O.CON.KGID.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-190518T0145Z/ Dawson NE- 801 PM CDT Fri May 17 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT FOR WESTERN DAWSON COUNTY... At 758 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Cozad, or 13 miles northwest of Lexington, moving northeast at 25 mph. Another possible tornado was located 5 miles northeast of Farnam. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and three inch hail. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. At 754 PM CDT multiple trained spotters reported a large and dangerous tornado 1 mile north of Cozad. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. This tornadic thunderstorm will affect Cozad, then remain over mainly rural areas of western Dawson County. This includes Interstate 80 between mile markers 211 and 228.

Spotters reported large and dangerous tornado 1 mile N of Cozad in Nebraska

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service North Platte NE 713 PM CDT Fri May 17 2019 NEC063-111-180045- /O.CON.KLBF.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-190518T0045Z/ Frontier NE-Lincoln NE- 713 PM CDT Fri May 17 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT FOR NORTHEASTERN FRONTIER AND SOUTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTIES... At 712 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Moorefield, or 12 miles east of Curtis, moving north at 20 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and two inch hail. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Moorefield and Vroman. This includes Interstate 80 in Nebraska between mile markers 205 and 207.

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Hastings NE 706 PM CDT Fri May 17 2019 NEC047-180045- /O.CON.KGID.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190518T0045Z/ Dawson NE- 706 PM CDT Fri May 17 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN DAWSON COUNTY... At 704 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located near Moorefield, or 12 miles east of Curtis, moving northeast at 25 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. At 7:05 PM, off duty NWS Meteorologist reported a large tornado just southwest of Farnam. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. The tornado will be near...Farnam around 715 PM, Cozad, Gothenburg and Willow Island around 745 PM CDT. This includes Interstate 80 between mile markers 209 and 227. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

Off duty NWS meteorologist reported a large tornado near Farnam, NE

TVS sig on the storm in NE Weld County in CO... nearly 80dbz pixels showing up

Storm by Panorama Point looks decent

And SPC doesnt have us outlooked for Sunday lol... does look a little bit intriguing

Agree... sounds like everything will be turning on the MCS

Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1237 PM CDT Fri May 17 2019 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF EAST TEXAS...EASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are possible over a large area Saturday, from Texas to southern Minnessota, with greatest threat across central to northeast Texas, Oklahoma toward the Arklatex and Arkansas where large hail, damaging wind and a few tornadoes are possible. ...Synopsis... Upper trough now moving through the Great Basin region will continue east into the central and southern Plains Saturday and the mid MS Valley Saturday night. Early Saturday a cold front will extend from a surface low over southeast SD southwestward to a weaker surface low in northwest OK and this boundary will advance slowly southeast during the day. A dryline or pacific front will extend southward from this low through western TX. Warm front will stretch from the northern Plains low through the northern part of the OH Valley. ...Southern Plains through lower Mississippi Valley... Model consensus is that an MCS will be ongoing from west through northwest TX into a portion of central OK. This linear MCS will continue east through the destabilizing warm sector (1500-2000 J/kg MLCAPE) where increasing winds aloft associated with an approaching mid-level jet will contribute to sufficient vertical shear for embedded organized storms including bowing segments and supercells. The MCS has the potential to overturn a large part of the warm sector the first half of the day, and this raises considerable uncertainty regarding extent of upstream destabilization and thunderstorm redevelopment. Nevertheless, steep mid-level lapse rates will spread eastward through this region, and there will be some time for recovery during the afternoon as low-mid 60s F dewpoints advect northward through the pre-frontal warm sector, contributing to moderate to strong instability with 2500-3500 J/kg MLCAPE possible. Assuming there is sufficient time for recovery, additional storms may develop along dryline across western OK through northwest TX and northward along the cold front in KS. Very strong effective bulk shear (45-55 kt) will support supercells capable of very large hail, and a few tornadoes would also be possible. Have maintained the sig area for north TX through central OK into KS, and once uncertainties regarding impact of early MCS and subsequent upstream destabilization have been mitigated, an upgrade to higher probabilities may be needed in day 1 updates. ...Central Plains through middle and upper Mississippi Valley... Thunderstorm are possible Saturday morning along the front extending from central KS into IA, and a few of these storms may be capable of hail. Additional surface-based thunderstorm activity is expected later in the day as forcing for ascent attendant to the approaching shortwave trough, diurnal destabilization and lift along the front all align to support convective initiation. Environment is supportive of strong, organized updrafts capable of large hail and strong wind gusts. Backed surface winds may also develop within the warm sector ahead of the front, contributing to some tornado risk with any discrete, warm-sector storms. ...MAXIMUM RISK BY HAZARD... Tornado: 10% - Enhanced Wind: 30% - Enhanced Hail: 30% SIG - Enhanced ..Dial.. 05/17/2019

Seconded... good luck with the new job and enjoy the additional snow up there

updated morning AFD from LWX:

12z Euro looks nice Friday and Saturday temp wise at least... back into the 80s

There's a risk each day as well... don't see that at all before either I believe. I think this is like the 3rd time ever SPC has had a Day 8 risk?

Radarscope has 2 rotation markers along the line

The 1630 SPC OTLK basically called today crap down here even with the MRGL risk still reaching us lol

Anyone got where the EURO places the WF/stationary front on Sunday? This tidbit is from the Day 3 SPC OTLK:

Which has turned into a sunny day here

Saturday night into Sunday night looks nice... for some heavy rain

Interesting that both WxUSAF and Eskimo Joe are going right around 100 for the highest temperatures of the summer... along with Stormpc.

Looks like tornado has lifted... for now... Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Norman OK 1201 AM CDT Wed May 8 2019 OKC149-080530- /O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0041.000000T0000Z-190508T0530Z/ Washita OK- 1201 AM CDT Wed May 8 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 AM CDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL WASHITA COUNTY... At 1201 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 3 miles south of Bessie, moving northeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and ping pong ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Bessie.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Norman OK 1147 PM CDT Tue May 7 2019 The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Central Washita County in western Oklahoma... * Until 1230 AM CDT. * At 1146 PM CDT, a confirmed and dangerous tornado was located 4 miles north of Rocky, moving north-northeast at 30 mph. This tornado has produced damage in Rocky. This storm is moving toward Cordell. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. * Locations impacted include... Cordell and Bessie.

Tornado damage reported in Rocky

Surprised no TE... Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Norman OK 1136 PM CDT Tue May 7 2019 OKC149-080500- /O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0040.000000T0000Z-190508T0500Z/ Washita OK- 1136 PM CDT Tue May 7 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL WASHITA COUNTY... At 1136 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located near Rocky, moving northeast at 25 mph. People in and near Rocky need to take cover now! This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. Locations impacted include... Rocky. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, an extremely dangerous and potentially deadly tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a storm shelter, safe room, or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.