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yoda

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Everything posted by yoda

  1. When we get torrential rainfall rates... yes. During the fun of TS Lee and his remnants... I imagined all the rain we were getting was snow
  2. Looks like another batch of light to moderate rain is going to be moving through shortly into the DC metro per radar
  3. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1020 AM EDT Mon Jul 8 2019 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has extended the * Flash Flood Warning for... The northwestern District of Columbia... Southern Montgomery County in central Maryland... East central Loudoun County in northern Virginia... Arlington County in northern Virginia... The City of Falls Church in northern Virginia... Northeastern Fairfax County in northern Virginia... * Until 145 PM EDT. * At 1019 AM EDT, emergency management reported widespread flash flooding across the area that was still ongoing, even though the heavy rain has ended. Three to five inches of rain fell earlier across this area, and many waterways are still rapidly rising. With ongoing flash flooding, the flash flood warning is extended through early afternoon. * Some locations that will experience flooding include... Arlington, Alexandria, Bethesda, Reston, Olney, Herndon, Langley Park, Vienna, Falls Church, Lowes Island, Pimmit Hills, Poolesville, Mclean, American Legion Bridge, Fort Totten, Rosslyn, Aspen Hill, Potomac, North Bethesda and Ashburn.
  4. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1023 AM EDT Mon Jul 8 2019 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has extended the * Flash Flood Warning for... Montgomery County in central Maryland... * Until 145 PM EDT. * At 1022 AM EDT, emergency management reported widespread flash flooding in Montgomery County. Three to six inches of rain fell in the I-270 corridor and surrounding areas this morning. Although rain has generally ended, the threat for flash flooding will continue through early afternoon. Therefore, the Flash Flood Warning has been extended. * Some locations that will experience flooding include... Germantown, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Olney, Damascus, Poolesville, Aspen Hill, Potomac, North Bethesda, Montgomery Village, North Potomac, Redland, Boyds, Rossmoor, Wheaton-Glenmont, Wheaton, Clarksburg, Darnestown, Derwood and Garrett Park.
  5. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1026 AM EDT Mon Jul 8 2019 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has extended the * Flash Flood Warning for... The District of Columbia... Southeastern Montgomery County in central Maryland... Prince Georges County in central Maryland... The City of Fairfax in northern Virginia... Southeastern Arlington County in northern Virginia... Central Fairfax County in northern Virginia... The City of Alexandria in northern Virginia... * Until 145 PM EDT. * At 1024 AM EDT, numerous reports of significant flooding and flash flooding have been received throughout the DC metro area. Several streams, particularly in the Cameron Run area, are currently experiencing flooding. Flooding is imminent on Rock Creek and Accotink Creek with significant walls of water expected to be moving downstream on rapid rises. With heavy rain just moving out of the area, the Flash Flood Warning has been extended through early afternoon. * Some locations that will experience flooding include... Arlington, Alexandria, Reston, Bowie, Annandale, Clinton, Springfield, College Park, Fort Washington, Herndon, Greenbelt, Fairfax, Langley Park, Beltsville, Fort Hunt, Vienna, Groveton, Forestville, Huntington and Largo.
  6. I'm over by the high school (West Springfield HS). Glad you made it home safely
  7. I was going to say I am not far from him and I got at 2-3" of rain here in West Springfield
  8. Flash Flood Warning DCC001-VAC013-059-510-081515- /O.NEW.KLWX.FF.W.0020.190708T1321Z-190708T1515Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 921 AM EDT Mon Jul 8 2019 ...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR WASHINGTON DC...THE CITY OF ALEXANDRIA...AND THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF FAIRFAX COUNTY AND ARLINGTON COUNTY... The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... The District of Columbia... Arlington County in northern Virginia... East central Fairfax County in northern Virginia... The City of Alexandria in northern Virginia... * Until 1115 AM EDT. * At 919 AM EDT, emergency management reported heavy rain across the warned area. Up to three inches of rain have already fallen and heavy rain continues. Flash flooding is already occurring. THIS IS A FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR WASHINGTON DC... ALEXANDRIA... ARLINGTON... AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF FAIRFAX COUNTY. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION WITH SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING OCCURRING AND LIKELY TO EXPAND IN AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW! * Some locations that will experience flooding include... Arlington, Alexandria, Annandale, Springfield, Fort Hunt, Groveton, Huntington, Fort Belvoir, National Harbor, Fort Totten, Reagan National Airport, Rosslyn, Crystal City, RFK Stadium, Nationals Park, Howard University, Gallaudet University, Lincolnia, Franconia and Hybla Valley. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Move to higher ground now. This is an extremely dangerous and life-threatening situation. Do not attempt to travel unless you are fleeing an area subject to flooding or under an evacuation order. Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately. Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate precautions to protect life and property.
  9. Flash Flood Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 932 AM EDT Mon Jul 8 2019 DCC001-MDC031-VAC013-059-107-610-081445- /O.CON.KLWX.FF.W.0016.000000T0000Z-190708T1445Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ District of Columbia DC-Montgomery MD-Loudoun VA-Arlington VA- City of Falls Church VA-Fairfax VA- 932 AM EDT Mon Jul 8 2019 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 AM EDT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...SOUTHERN MONTGOMERY...EAST CENTRAL LOUDOUN...ARLINGTON AND NORTHEASTERN FAIRFAX COUNTIES AND THE CITY OF FALLS CHURCH... At 931 AM EDT, emergency management reported widespread flash flooding, especially in the Great Falls area and in southeastern Montgomery County. Over three inches of rain have already fallen especially along the Potomac River. This is a dangerous situation. DO NOT DRIVE into any area where water covers the road! If water comes up around you as you are driving, move to higher ground as quickly as possible! Some locations that will experience flooding include... Arlington, Alexandria, Bethesda, Reston, Olney, Herndon, Langley Park, Vienna, Falls Church, Lowes Island, Pimmit Hills, Poolesville, Mclean, American Legion Bridge, Fort Totten, Rosslyn, Aspen Hill, Potomac, North Bethesda and Ashburn.
  10. You should be nearing 3 inches total now, no?
  11. 00z GFS has same idea... but a lil further to the NE and a lil less QPF
  12. Check out the 00z NAM... pretty much does the same
  13. Only a few minutes? Interesting... been pouring here for about 15 mins
  14. You should be getting a nice hit right now
  15. Pouring here... nice few rumbles and lightning strikes
  16. Heavy rain incoming this evening? https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=553&yr=2019 Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0553 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 600 PM EDT Sat Jul 06 2019 Areas affected...Central and Northern Mid-Atlantic Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding likely Valid 062200Z - 070300Z SUMMARY...Bands of showers and thunderstorms will focus across the Mid-Atlantic region over the next few hours, with impacts expected for the Philadelphia, Baltimore and Washington D.C. metropolitan areas and adjacent suburbs involving the I-95 corridor. Flash flooding is likely, and especially around the urban centers. DISCUSSION...The latest radar and satellite imagery shows multiple bands of heavy showers and thunderstorms advancing southeast across southwest and central PA out ahead of a cold front. Meanwhile, separate smaller clusters of convection are seen over portions of southeast PA. The activity ahead of the cold front is encountering a very moist and moderately unstable airmass that is characterized by PWATs of 1.75 to 2 inches, and MLCAPE values of 1500+ j/kg. This very favorable thermodynamic environment coupled with diffluent flow aloft around the south side of a flat upper trough advancing across the Northeast. However, the convection impacting areas of southeast PA is largely attributed to locally enhanced surface convergence around the west side of a convectively induced cold pool and associated outflow boundary. This boundary extends from central NJ southwest across the western suburbs of the Philadelphia metropolitan area and down to near the Baltimore metropolitan area. The airmass from central and northeast MD up across southeast PA is very unstable and extremely moist with MLCAPE values of 2000 to 3000 j/kg, surface dewpoints in the mid 70s, and overall PWATs of 2.0 to 2.25 inches. The latest visible satellite imagery has been showing an axis of agitated CU persisting near this boundary and certainly taking advantage of very strong thermodynamics. Over the next few hours, the more organized convective line dropping southeast across southwest and central PA will encounter this strong instability and extremely moist environment closer in to the I-95 corridor and the adjacent western suburbs of Philadelphia, Baltimore and Washington D.C. This coupled with the aforementioned outflow boundary/cold pool situation will likely allow for numerous clusters of very heavy showers and thunderstorms to impact a large area of eastern and southeast PA, down to areas of northeast and central MD going in closer to 00Z, with development also possible across northern VA and around the Washington D.C. metropolitan area. In fact, the low-level wind field has been slowly backing over the last few hours along the I-95 corridor and east of the Blue Ridge, which is not only pooling stronger thermodynamics across the region, but also facilitating greater surface convergence downstream of the cold front as the leeside trough refocuses farther back to the west and closer to the Blue Ridge. The latest hires model suite of guidance including the HRRR favor as much as 2 to 4 inches of rain locally through mid evening, of which a large amount of that will be capable of falling in just an hour or two. Flash flooding will be likely as a result, with the threat enhanced especially across the urbanized I-95 corridor and adjacent suburbia. Orrison ATTN...WFO...BGM...CTP...LWX...OKX...PHI... ATTN...RFC...MARFC...NERFC...
  17. Surprised @EastCoast NPZ hasn't been in here complaining
  18. There's another rotation marker on radarscope right now again by Middleburg... is this the mountains playing tricks again or is there real rotation there? (734pm radarscope)
  19. Is radarscope overdoing the meso that it shows in our CWA? Like there is one right now just west of Middleburg in VA. But when you look at the base velocity (time sensitive) I don't see really any rotation at all. Am I reading it wrong? It's usually over by the BR as well
  20. Interesting note at the end of the discussion... I have bolded it Hurricane Barbara Discussion Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022019 500 PM HST Tue Jul 02 2019 GOES-17 visible and infrared satellite images, along with passive microwave satellite data, indicate that Barbara has continued to rapidly intensify. A 15-nmi diameter clear eye with temperatures warmer than 21 deg C has developed in the center of a circular CDO feature consisting of cloud tops colder than -70 deg C. Satellite intensity estimates have been vacillating between T6.8/135 kt from UW-CIMSS ADT to T7.0/140 kt from TAFB, NHC objective-AODT, and CIMSS SATCON. Since the T7.0/140-kt estimates have only been intermittent, the intensity has been raised to a solid 135 kt, or just below the category-5 threshold. The initial motion estimate is 285/12 kt. There is no change to previous forecast discussions. Barbara is forecast to remain south of a pronounced deep-layer ridge throughout the forecast period, resulting in west-northwestward to northwestward motion through 48 hours, followed by a turn toward the west by 72 hours when Barbara is expected to be a rapidly weakening and vertically shallow cyclone. The latest NHC track guidance is tightly packed around the previous forecast track, so the new official forecast track is essentially just an update and an extension of the previous advisory track, and closely follows a blend of the consensus models HCCA, TVCE, and TVDG. Barbara has probably peaked in intensity, although another 5-kt increase in strength tonight during the convective maximum period is a distinct possibility, which would bring the powerful hurricane to category 5 status. However, all of the available intensity guidance is unanimous in indicating a weakening trend will begin in 12 hours or so due to the development of cold upwelling beneath the hurricane, coupled with a likely eyewall replacement cycle. The 26-deg-C SST isotherm lies east-west along 17N latitude, and Barbara is forecast to move over much cooler waters by 48 hours, at which time more prodigious cold upwelling beneath the cyclone is expected to develop, causing a rapid weakening trend to ensue. Increasing southwesterly to westerly vertical wind shear in excess of 20 kt is forecast to develop by 96 hours, resulting in Barbara degenerating into a post-tropical low by the time the cyclone moves west of 140W longitude and into the central Pacific basin. The new NHC official intensity forecast is similar to the previous advisory, and is a little lower than the intensity consensus models HCCA and IVCN. NOTE: Beginning this hurricane season, all National Hurricane Center eastern Pacific advisory products that utilize local time, and the corresponding graphical products, will use Hawaiian Standard Time (HST) instead of Pacific Daylight Time (PDT) or Standard Time (PST) if the final forecast point is west of 140W. Since Barbara's day 5 official forecast point is now west of 140W, advisory products are now being issued in Hawaiian Standard Time. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/0300Z 13.1N 124.6W 135 KT 155 MPH 12H 03/1200Z 13.7N 126.0W 130 KT 150 MPH 24H 04/0000Z 14.7N 127.8W 120 KT 140 MPH 36H 04/1200Z 15.9N 129.5W 105 KT 120 MPH 48H 05/0000Z 17.1N 131.3W 90 KT 105 MPH 72H 06/0000Z 18.9N 135.3W 60 KT 70 MPH 96H 07/0000Z 19.2N 140.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 120H 08/0000Z 19.0N 147.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Stewart
  21. BULLETIN Hurricane Barbara Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022019 500 PM HST Tue Jul 02 2019 ...BARBARA RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES TO NEAR CATEGORY 5 STRENGTH... ...WEAKENING EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON WEDNESDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.1N 124.6W ABOUT 1175 MI...1895 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...933 MB...27.55 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of the eye of powerful Hurricane Barbara was located near latitude 13.1 North, longitude 124.6 West. Barbara is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h) and this general motion is forecast to continue for the next day or so, followed by a turn toward the northwest on Thursday. By Friday, Barbara is expected to turn back toward the west with an increase in forward speed. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 155 mph (250 km/h) with higher gusts. Barbara is a strong category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Little change in strengthen is expected tonight. A steady to rapid weakening trend is forecast to begin by Wednesday afternoon. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 933 mb (27.55 inches).
  22. Looks like @adelphi_sky is going to get a nice hit
  23. I don't think so either, but the article I linked made it seem that there is a logjam at the goalie position for the Caps and something will have to give there... be it Copley or Samsonov moved if Holtby stays and resigns after the season
  24. Welcome to the forum! I am guessing you already have, but PM @dendrite re the red tag ETA: I am sure you have been here too already, but just in case --
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