yoda

but i thought HRRR was meh?

Updated AFD mentions that an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out this afternoon in the strongest storms

Nice bright blue skies this morning... should help with the instability department as well as getting our temps back into the 90s today

The FFW got extended to most of the LWX CWA this morning as well

Ton of reports tonight https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=lwx&issuedby=LWX&product=LSR

STWarning at 735 says moving SE at 15... so maybe soon?

Wind gust of 59mph observed at Leesburg Executive Airport

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 709 PM EDT Sun Jul 21 2019 MDC031-VAC107-212345- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0400.000000T0000Z-190721T2345Z/ Montgomery MD-Loudoun VA- 709 PM EDT Sun Jul 21 2019 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM EDT FOR WEST CENTRAL MONTGOMERY AND SOUTHEASTERN LOUDOUN COUNTIES... At 709 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Leesburg to near Oatlands to near Middleburg, moving east at 15 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. Locations impacted include... Leesburg, South Riding, Broadlands, Lansdowne, Lowes Island, Brambleton, Poolesville, Dulles International Airport, Ashburn, Sterling, Countryside, Arcola, Oatlands, Darnestown, Belmont, Gleedsville, Aldie, Dawsonville and Sterling Park. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building.

Then brings another decent line through around 02z/03z TUES

Waiting for @EastCoast NPZ to complain even though there is a heavy storm right over top of him on radarscope

Flood Watch National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 248 PM EDT Sun Jul 21 2019 DCZ001-MDZ003>006-011-013-014-503>508-VAZ028-031-052>054-505-506- WVZ051>053-220300- /O.NEW.KLWX.FF.A.0010.190722T1900Z-190723T1000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ District of Columbia-Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll- Northern Baltimore-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel- Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford- Southeast Harford-Frederick VA-Clarke- Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun- Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson- Including the cities of Washington, Hagerstown, Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg, Westminster, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Lisbon, Columbia, Ellicott City, Jarrettsville, Aberdeen, Winchester, Berryville, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn, Sterling, Paw Paw, Martinsburg, Charles Town, and Shepherdstown 248 PM EDT Sun Jul 21 2019 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT... The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Flash Flood Watch for portions of Maryland, The District of Columbia, Virginia, and panhandle West Virginia, including the following areas, in Maryland, Anne Arundel, Carroll, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Frederick MD, Northern Baltimore, Northwest Harford, Northwest Howard, Northwest Montgomery, Prince Georges, Southeast Harford, Southern Baltimore, and Washington. The District of Columbia. In Virginia, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Clarke, Eastern Loudoun, Fairfax, Frederick VA, Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park, and Western Loudoun. In panhandle West Virginia, Berkeley, Jefferson, and Morgan. * From Monday afternoon through late Monday night * Multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms capable of producing heavy rainfall are likely. Areal average rainfall of 1 to 1.5 inches is expected, with isolated totals of 4 inches possible. Much of this rain may fall in short periods of time in any one given location, resulting in the risk for flash flooding Monday afternoon into Monday night.

Fauquier and Warren and Rappahannock counties under STW near Front Royal... storm barely moving

HGR 98 MRB 99 DCA 99 CHO 100 BWI 100 BALTIMORE INNER HARBOR 101 Source: https://mobile.twitter.com/iembot_lwx

Confirmed IAD hit 100 https://mobile.twitter.com/iembot_lwx/status/1153053781090811904

Just got severe warned too

Good tweet by Ian https://mobile.twitter.com/islivingston/status/1152407983508398081

New STWatch expected shortly in Michigan - https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1534.html

Confirmed TOG 8 SE Bevent

Gonna quote this for later when we hit 100

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Duluth MN 436 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2019 MNC115-WIC013-192200- /O.CON.KDLH.SV.W.0077.000000T0000Z-190719T2200Z/ Pine MN-Burnett WI- 436 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2019 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN PINE AND SOUTHWESTERN BURNETT COUNTIES... At 434 PM CDT, a large and extremely dangerous severe thunderstorm was located over Rock Creek, or near Pine City, moving southeast at 50 mph. HAZARD...90 mph wind gusts and golf ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. Golf ball size hail was reported just north of Henriette at 430 PM CDT. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged or destroyed. Homes and businesses will have substantial roof and window damage. Expect extensive tree damage and power outages. Locations impacted include... Pine City, Hinckley, Rock Creek, Grantsburg, Trade Lake, Brook Park, Henriette, Branstad, Randall, Falun, Greely, Phantom Lake, Chengwatana State Forest, Four Corners, West Rock, Alpha, Trade River, Beroun, Yellow Lake, and Saint Croix State Park. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for east central Minnesota...and northwestern Wisconsin. This storm is producing destructive winds and large damaging hail. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay away from windows!

Severe Thunderstorm Warning MNC025-WIC095-192215- /O.NEW.KMPX.SV.W.0120.190719T2133Z-190719T2215Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 433 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2019 The National Weather Service in The Twin Cities has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northern Chisago County in east central Minnesota... Northwestern Polk County in northwestern Wisconsin... * Until 515 PM CDT. * At 433 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Rock Creek, or near Pine City, moving southeast at 40 mph. This is a very dangerous storm. HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and golf ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged. Expect considerable damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles. Extensive tree damage and power outages are likely. * This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of northern Chisago and northwestern Polk Counties, including the following locations... Harris, Rush City Airport, Wolf Creek, Cushing and Wild River State Park. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for east central Minnesota...and northwestern Wisconsin. This is an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION with tornado like wind speeds expected. Mobile homes and high profile vehicles are especially susceptible to winds of this magnitude and may be overturned. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. This storm has the potential to cause serious injury and significant property damage. && LAT...LON 4545 9261 4564 9314 4573 9314 4573 9285 4564 9288 4565 9253 4572 9253 4573 9246 TIME...MOT...LOC 2133Z 294DEG 34KT 4577 9298 TORNADO...POSSIBLE HAIL...1.75IN WIND...80MPH

Holy crap Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Duluth MN 428 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2019 MNC115-WIC013-192200- /O.CON.KDLH.SV.W.0077.000000T0000Z-190719T2200Z/ Pine MN-Burnett WI- 428 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2019 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN PINE AND SOUTHWESTERN BURNETT COUNTIES... At 425 PM CDT, a large and extremely dangerous severe thunderstorm was located over Henriette, moving southeast at 50 mph. HAZARD...90 mph wind gusts and golf ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged or destroyed. Homes and businesses will have substantial roof and window damage. Expect extensive tree damage and power outages. Locations impacted include... Pine City, Hinckley, Rock Creek, Grantsburg, Trade Lake, Brook Park, Henriette, Branstad, Randall, Falun, Greely, Phantom Lake, Chengwatana State Forest, Saint Croix State Park, Four Corners, West Rock, Alpha, Trade River, Beroun, and Yellow Lake. This also includes interstate 35 between Rush City and Hinckley. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for east central Minnesota...and northwestern Wisconsin. This storm is producing destructive winds and large damaging hail. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay away from windows. && LAT...LON 4572 9287 4573 9285 4573 9314 4598 9314 4598 9305 4606 9305 4595 9239 4573 9247 4573 9253 4564 9253 4564 9289 TIME...MOT...LOC 2125Z 295DEG 41KT 4584 9304 TORNADO...POSSIBLE HAIL...1.75IN WIND...90MPH

And it's at least 95... DCA reporting 95 at 5pm

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 412 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2019 MNC097-192130- /O.CON.KMPX.TO.W.0031.000000T0000Z-190719T2130Z/ Morrison MN- 412 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN MORRISON COUNTY... At 411 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Pierz, or 17 miles east of Little Falls, moving east at 40 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and golf ball size hail. SOURCE...Weather spotters reported a funnel cloud. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Pierz, Lastrup, Buckman, Genola and Hillman.

Storm spotters report funnel cloud 11 miles east of Little Falls, MN