yoda

SLGT risk for tomorrow for BR to the Eastern Shore on the 1730 SPC OTLK

Columbia being pounded right now by that severe storm

Current radar on radarscope shows it pouring just north of Germantown right now

I think its been tweeted and retweeted all day on Twitter... probably one of the most today

Hope you are able to get a good nights sleeps

I hope you feel better quickly!

Shows you how fickle forecasting tropical systems can be Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Aug 2 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. An elongated area of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles southeast of the Lesser Antilles continues to generate limited showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form well east of the Leeward Islands by early next week while the low moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for development as the system approaches the Leeward Islands Tuesday and Wednesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Forecaster Zelinsky/Ramos

The track of that severe storm is something... its moved E to SE to now due south

Baltimore and surrounding suburbs getting crushed... wouldnt be surprised to see a FFW up there shortly

STW for Calvert County for ping pong ball sized hail and winds to 60... but its moving north at 10mph, which is interesting

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 547 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 115 PM EDT WED JUL 31 2019 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 547 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS VAC013-047-059-061-099-137-153-177-179-600-610-683-685-010100- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0547.190731T1715Z-190801T0100Z/ VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARLINGTON CULPEPER FAIRFAX FAUQUIER KING GEORGE ORANGE PRINCE WILLIAM SPOTSYLVANIA STAFFORD VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE FAIRFAX FALLS CHURCH MANASSAS MANASSAS PARK SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 547 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 115 PM EDT WED JUL 31 2019 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 547 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS MDC003-005-009-011-015-017-025-027-029-031-033-035-037-041-510- 010100- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0547.190731T1715Z-190801T0100Z/ MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT CAROLINE CECIL CHARLES HARFORD HOWARD KENT MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES QUEEN ANNE`S ST. MARYS TALBOT MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BALTIMORE CITY

Also issued a lil while ago... Flood Watch National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1202 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2019 DCZ001-MDZ006-011-013-014-504-506>508-VAZ053-054-010000- /O.NEW.KLWX.FF.A.0011.190731T1800Z-190801T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ District of Columbia-Northern Baltimore-Southern Baltimore- Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford- Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria- Including the cities of Washington, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Columbia, Ellicott City, Jarrettsville, Aberdeen, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, and Falls Church 1202 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2019 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Flash Flood Watch for portions of Maryland, The District of Columbia, and northern Virginia, including the following areas, in Maryland, Anne Arundel, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Baltimore, Harford, and Prince Georges counties. The District of Columbia. In northern Virginia, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria and Fairfax. * Until 8 PM EDT this evening * Showers and thunderstorms capable of producing very heavy rainfall are expected across the area this afternoon and into the evening. This heavy rain may lead to localized total rainfall amounts of up to 3 inches. Much of this rain may fall in short periods of time in any given location, resulting in the risk for flash flooding.

STWatch in effect for I95 corridor and DCA/BWI metros until 9pm

Mesoscale Discussion 1621 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1139 AM CDT Wed Jul 31 2019 Areas affected...Portions of the northern NJ...southern NY and much of New Enlgand Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 311639Z - 311745Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage over the next couple of hours and shift northeast across the Northeast U.S. These storms will pose a threat from strong, locally damaging winds, and a watch may be needed in the next hour or so. DISCUSSION...Strong heating ahead of a surface cold front was apparent in 16z observations from the mid-Atlantic into New England where temperatures in the mid 80s to low 90s were already being reported. Southwesterly low level flow is maintaining a very moist boundary layer, with surface dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s. The net result is a corridor of 1000 J/kg MLCAPE across the region. An MCV was noted in radar loops, approaching Albany NY as of 1620z. Thunderstorms were beginning to intensify on the southern flank of this feature across Ulster and Orange counties in NY, and Sussex county in NJ. Given the aforementioned downstream environment, continued intensification of these storms is expected. While effective shear remains modest (around 25 kt) some localized enhancement aided by the MCV is possible, and organized line segments capable of mainly strong, locally damaging wind gusts is possible as storms track east/northeast through the afternoon. Additional CU development was noted in visible satellite imagery across portions of CT into RI and MA where the strongest heating has occurred. A surface trough also was apparent in late surface analysis stretching from the Chesapeake Bay vicinity northeast into central ME. Convective initiation could eventually occur from the CU field, which appears to be co-located with the surface trough. Modest deep layer flow and midlevel lapse rates will temper more intense cells. However, high PW values and sufficient instability, combined with steepening low level lapse rates will support multiple bands of storms capable of strong, locally damaging wind gusts. A watch may be needed in the next hour or so across portions of the Northeast. ..Leitman/Hart.. 07/31/2019 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...

MCD issued... 60% chance of a watch

Well Wusa9 must be off alot lol https://mobile.twitter.com/hbwx/status/1156372833813041152/photo/1

WUSA9 has Westminster reaching 100 as the high temperature today... I think that's a lil high, no? DCA 95 BWI 97 IAD 97?

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Shower activity associated with a tropical wave over the eastern Caribbean Sea has decreased since yesterday. Atmospheric conditions as well as land effects should inhibit the development of this system as it moves west-northwestward for the next several days. This disturbance, however, could still produce an increase in cloudiness and thunderstorms over Puerto Rico, the Greater Antilles and portions of the Bahamas during the next few days. 1. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. Forecaster Avila

Didn't @usedtobe work there? I think he is retired now though... his name is Wes btw

Check this out... done by Ian... make sure to read full tweet thread https://mobile.twitter.com/islivingston/status/1155257465228935169 @mappy should like it

Looks like you were out golfing

Bump

Sorry, this is better

Who cares about fantasy hurricanes? We only care about fantasy snowstorms here

Thanks! Almost looks like you could use it for winter precip purposes...