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Everything posted by yoda
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Tucker released https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/45011729/ravens-make-tough-decision-release-kicker-justin-tucker
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Hmmm Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 254 PM EDT Mon May 5 2025 .SYNOPSIS... A cold front will slowly progress eastward across the region through Tuesday, then pull offshore Tuesday night. High pressure will follow briefly for Wednesday. A potent cold front is expected to move southeast from the eastern Great Lakes to and across the Mid-Atlantic late in the week. High pressure will likely follow through the upcoming weekend. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Isolated severe t-storms will be possible over the next couple of hours with current scattered activity across the area. However, it appears the main severe wx potential over the next 12 hours will be tied to the line of convection forming near Raleigh NC. Shortwave-trough lifting from southwest VA into western VA and low-level convergence are expected to encourage more widespread convection early this evening. Latest HREF fields suggest a broken to solid line of thunderstorms forming from near Frederick MD south to Fredericksburg. Given cooling aloft and some rotation already seen on radar, a tornado and hail threat exist, especially given that shear profiles are expected to strengthen. The main window for severe wx potential looks to be between 21Z-02Z. Convection is expected to weaken or lift north into Pennsylvania after 02Z.
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STW up for most of AKQ CWA
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TOR tag on the Charles Town/Antietam cell
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@EastCoast NPZ had some good rains earlier
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Been mostly sunny and humid down here for the past few hours
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URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 223 PM EDT Sun Apr 27 2025 VAZ025>027-029-280230- /O.NEW.KLWX.FR.Y.0003.250428T0600Z-250428T1200Z/ Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Page- 223 PM EDT Sun Apr 27 2025 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY... * WHAT...Temperatures in the mid 30s will result in frost formation. * WHERE...Page, Shenandoah, Augusta, and Rockingham Counties. * WHEN...From 2 AM to 8 AM EDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Frost could harm sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.
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Pretty decent storm... a bit of thunder and lightning but more gusty winds and torrential downpours
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Token 5% MCD from SPC just now
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Oh... okay then
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I believe @pazzo83 went there? Congratulations btw
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Numerous roads closed in the Thurmont to Emmitsburg area in MD due to dozens of trees down
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71mph gust at Carroll County Regional Airport AWOS
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Looks it threw out an OFB? Radarscope has it to the SW all the way back towards N VA
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I'm guessing the Berryville WV spotter report is west of you?
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Lots of damage reports coming out on Radarscope of numerous trees down and wind gusts of 60 to 80mph Trained spotter reports numerous trees downed in Hagerstown (at least a dozen)
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Camp David AWOS 81 mph gust
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Rear inflow jet ftw tonight
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Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1020 PM EDT Sat Apr 19 2025 MDC013-021-200230- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0035.000000T0000Z-250420T0230Z/ Carroll MD-Frederick MD- 1020 PM EDT Sat Apr 19 2025 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM EDT FOR NORTHWESTERN CARROLL AND NORTH CENTRAL FREDERICK COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND... At 1019 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Taneytown, or near Emmitsburg, moving east at 70 mph. THIS IS A DESTRUCTIVE STORM FOR TANEYTOWN HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Observation at Camp David IMPACT...Expect considerable damage to trees and power lines. Your life is at significant risk if outdoors. In addition to some trees falling into homes, wind damage is possible to roofs, sheds, open garages, and mobile homes. Locations impacted include... Harney, Taneytown, Keysville, Detour, Keymar, and Westminster. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 3960 7696 3960 7729 3972 7730 3972 7693 TIME...MOT...LOC 0219Z 269DEG 62KT 3966 7722 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...80 MPH
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Camp David just got rocked
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Didn't know LWX had a CWOP aka Citizen Weather Observer Program
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75 mph gust at HGR Also at mesonet - CWOP station CW1323 75mph gust
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2025 Short Range Severe Weather Discussion
yoda replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
IMOGENE-ESSEX TORNADO Rating: EF-1 Max. Wind Speed: 110 mph Path Length: 19.72 miles Max. Tornado Width: 3130 yards Summary: The stronger of the two tornadoes began southwest of Imogene. The heaviest damage occurred south of town, where power poles were snapped, homes were damaged, and outbuildings were destroyed. The tornado narrowly missed Essex to the north, where more damage occurred to structures. The tornado turned northeast toward Nyman before lifting by the Montgomery County line. The tornado was quite wide, at roughly 1.75 miles at peak width, which is officially the widest tornado in Iowa's history. https://www.3newsnow.com/weather/weather-blog/thursdays-storms-saw-an-ef-3-in-the-omaha-area-and-iowas-widest-tornado-on-record -
From this morning LWX AFD for Sunday into next week temperatures Thereafter, forecast uncertainty increases markedly, with both deterministic models and their respective ensembles showing considerable spread. This spread is illustrated well by comparing the GFS vs the Euro and Canadian. The GFS maintains one coherent trough, which progressively lifts northeastward over time, placing us on the warm side of the system on Sunday, with a strong cold frontal passage and much cooler air following for Monday. On the other hand, the Euro and Canadian break the initially positively tilted trough to our west into two pieces. The northern half of the trough rapidly progresses to our east on Sunday, causing high pressure to build to our north at the surface in its wake, and a back door cold frontal passage to occur, leading to much cooler temperatures on Sunday. The southern half of the trough is left behind as a cutoff upper low over the center of the country, which is subsequently picked up by a trailing trough. Southerly flow out ahead of that system would lead to a warming trend early next week, following cooler conditions on Sunday. To further illustrate the uncertainty, ensemble members from the GEFS, EPS, and GEPS show highs anywhere from the upper 40s to near 90 on Sunday, from around 50 to the lower 80s on Monday, and from the low 50s to mid 80s on Tuesday. Along with that, there`s also uncertainty with respect to precipitation. The current forecast calls for low-end chances for showers each day, which seems reasonable given the uncertainty.
