You need northern stream interaction with this storm. On the 12z UKIE, as has been discussed above, there was none. Its 40 and rain as RJay described above. Too much northern stream, it gets crushed. Not enough, and its a nice warm system with cold rain. There is no real arctic or cold air present before the storm comes up the coast, no real HP in play either. So what Allsnow/RJay/PB-99 are saying are correct, you need a thread the needle type storm here if you want snow. And its even worse of a chance for me down south.