yoda

Good amount of TW and STW for no watch this morning lol

this is h5 at 144 for tonights 00z UKIE... farthest out it goes on PW

00z UKIE for comparison purposes

850s go bye bye at just after 216 on 00z CMC.... so its a short term wintry precip time period... but its Day 9 so... yeah... 3-5 inches ain't bad

Cmc has way better cad though Thats cause at 204... the HP in Quebec is 1050mb

00z CMC carries along the ill-fated GL low during our VD chance and its a swing and miss... but then keys in on the same time the 00z GFS did a few days later

00z GFS another southern slider... gets crushed

ICON had a closed h5 though... GFS doesn't this run FWIW

00z GFS looks decent at 150... like to see a bit stronger HP than 1036mb...

Damn that looks really nice... and it'll be gone in the morning

18z GFS is a miss for VDay... but intriguing enough to keep watch

Yes, but +1/+2 is MUCH better than +6... and it seems that at least its trending towards negative instead of trending upwards

I'll take #31 please... but you know it will likely end up being #6

If only we could get that image at the 240 hour mark instead of at 384...

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 1122 AM EST Thu Feb 6 2020 The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Cabarrus County in the Piedmont of North Carolina... Central Mecklenburg County in the Piedmont of North Carolina... Southeastern Gaston County in the Piedmont of North Carolina... * Until noon EST. * At 1121 AM EST, a confirmed dangerous tornado was located 7 miles east of Gastonia, or over Belmont, moving east at 45 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. * The tornado will be near... Uptown Charlotte, Central Charlotte, Hidden Valley, The Plaza and Northwest Charlotte around 1140 AM EST. Harrisburg, University City, Reedy Creek Park, Charlotte Motor Speedway and East Charlotte around 1150 AM EST. Downtown Concord, West Concord, Mt Pleasant and Midland around 1200 PM EST.

This x1000. I will keep her in my thoughts and prayers as well

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Raleigh NC 1112 AM EST Thu Feb 6 2020 The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Forsyth County in central North Carolina... Northern Davidson County in central North Carolina... * Until 1145 AM EST. * At 1112 AM EST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 8 miles southeast of Clemmons, or 9 miles north of Lexington, moving east at 55 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of Forsyth and northern Davidson Counties, including the following locations... Rural Hall, Arcadia, Pfafftown, Stanleyville and Belews Lake. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... This Tornado Warning replaces the Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued for the same area. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

0z GFS is next for Sat night

lala NAM land... but 00z NAM looks to be digging a bit more than 18z NAM with our weekend system on h5 when comparing 00z NAM 78 to 18z NAM 84

Good. Get it out of the way now before we come back to play you again. And win in your building... again

Instead of "playoffs? PLAYOFFS?" "Snow? SNOW?!!??!!"

20% of the 12z EPS individ members show 6" or more of snow around or in DCA

12z EPS is a def improvement over 6z EPS when comparing the two of them FWIW... 12z EPS is on top, 06z on bottom

EPS mean is 2.5" at DCA