@Kmlwx -- Here it is 60% wind.... but no hatch. According to the chart, 60% wind is highest MOD risk... 60% hatched wind is HIGH risk:
Here is the event -- https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/event.php?date=20180515
3km NAM also shifted north... not as much as the 12km NAM... but gets snow up to just about DC
ETA: Can see the big shift north with the snow accum map lol (on PW)