yoda

No, Wiz would post a 18z GFS 384 map if it showed severe weather in SNE... which we know is rare

Yay controlled burns https://mobile.twitter.com/ffxfirerescue/status/1236716590286147585

No snow this time on the 00z EURO... but next weekend is kinda chilly... mid 40s to low 50s for highs Even Monday is low 50s... Tuesday is a struggle to reach 60

Congrats on the win today... Penguins didn't come to play in the 1st period and it cost them

maybe so... but both 12z EPS and 12z CMC Ensembles are super tanking the EPO (-4 to -7) in the next 5-15 days

I like Bob's WDI better lol

Short Term Forecast National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 319 PM EST Fri Mar 6 2020 VAZ053-505-506-062045- Fairfax-Eastern Loudoun-Western Loudoun- 319 PM EST Fri Mar 6 2020 ...A HEAVY SHOWER WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN LOUDOUN AND NORTHWESTERN FAIRFAX COUNTIES... At 317 PM EST, a shower was located over Oatlands, or near Leesburg, moving southeast at 30 mph. Snow pellets, rain, wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph, and occasional lightning are possible with this heavy shower. Locations impacted include... Reston, Leesburg, South Riding, Herndon, Broadlands, Brambleton, Dulles International Airport, Ashburn, Sterling, Chantilly, Arcola, Oatlands, Belmont, Gleedsville, Sterling Park and Hughesville.

There is a rotation marker on Radarscope on it just SE of Purcellville

Maybe something to look forward to next week? From the Day 4-8 SPC OTLK:

lol Zibanejad beats Samsonov 5 times tonight

True, they did just come off a 6 game losing streak to teams they should have beat... but they are right in the thick of things with both teams

Yes. Keeps Caps within striking distance for Metro crown. Penguins 4 points back... win tomorrow brings my Penguins within 2 points. If that happens, all 3 teams have 16 games left to play and are all within 2 points of each other

Nice win tonight

Wilson must be tired fighting twice in the game tonight

Well.. LWX does have the snow word out in the LR at the end of this afternoon's disco...

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 1054 PM EST TUE MAR 03 2020 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 1048 PM TSTM WND GST HAGERSTOWN RGNL ARPT 39.71N 77.73W 03/03/2020 M68 MPH WASHINGTON MD ASOS && EVENT NUMBER LWX2000782

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1054 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2020 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Eastern Washington County in north central Maryland... Carroll County in north central Maryland... Northwestern Montgomery County in central Maryland... Frederick County in north central Maryland... Northeastern Loudoun County in northern Virginia... East central Frederick County in northwestern Virginia... Northeastern Clarke County in northwestern Virginia... Jefferson County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... * Until 1130 PM EST. * At 1054 PM EST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Carroll Valley to 6 miles west of Charles Town, moving east at 70 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Frederick, Westminster, Damascus, Thurmont, Charles Town, Poolesville, Emmitsburg, Shepherdstown, Harry Grove Stadium, Ballenger Creek, Mount Airy, Robinwood, Taneytown, Brunswick, Walkersville, Manchester, Ranson, Boonsboro, Smithsburg and Braddock Heights.

Southern part of the line just had the warning cancelled by LWX

Doesn't look like HRRR really had this "line" looking back at the 01z/02z run... kinda intriguing though

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1028 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2020 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Shenandoah County in northwestern Virginia... Southern Frederick County in northwestern Virginia... Northwestern Rockingham County in western Virginia... Southern Clarke County in northwestern Virginia... Northwestern Warren County in northwestern Virginia... North central Page County in northwestern Virginia... The southwestern City of Winchester in northwestern Virginia... Northeastern Pendleton County in eastern West Virginia... Southeastern Grant County in eastern West Virginia... Hardy County in eastern West Virginia... Southern Hampshire County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 1115 PM EST. * At 1028 PM EST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 11 miles southwest of Romney to 6 miles north of Upper Tract, moving southeast at 45 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Winchester, Front Royal, Strasburg, Woodstock, Moorefield, Petersburg, Millwood Pike, Rough Run, Berryville, Broadway, Timberville, Mount Jackson, Stephens City, Wardensville, Basye-Bryce Mountain, Upper Tract, Mathias, Star Tannery, New Market and Middletown. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building.

Well.. they are being issued per spotters... but interesting warnings... @high risk BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1026 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2020 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Washington County in north central Maryland... East central Allegany County in western Maryland... Northwestern Frederick County in north central Maryland... North central Loudoun County in northern Virginia... Central Frederick County in northwestern Virginia... Northern Clarke County in northwestern Virginia... The City of Winchester in northwestern Virginia... Jefferson County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Morgan County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Berkeley County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Northern Hampshire County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 1100 PM EST. * At 1026 PM EST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 6 miles southwest of Claylick to 11 miles southeast of Romney, moving east at 75 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Emergency management. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Hagerstown, Winchester, Martinsburg, Thurmont, Charles Town, Emmitsburg, Romney, Shepherdstown, Hancock, Paw Paw, Municipal Stadium, Robinwood, Brunswick, Fountainhead-Orchard Hills, Ranson, Berryville, Boonsboro, Smithsburg, Inwood and Paramount-Long Meadow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building.

Cold front?

yay -- https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0146.html Mesoscale Discussion 0146 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0327 PM CST Tue Mar 03 2020 Areas affected...much of Pennsylvania...Maryland...West Virginia...and western through northern Virginia Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 032127Z - 032330Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Relatively shallow convection continues to migrate eastward into the discussion area and will continue to pose a threat of isolated damaging wind gusts and small hail. A WW issuance is not anticipated for this activity. DISCUSSION...Relatively shallow convection continues within an axis of weak instability extending from near FKL to EKN to BKW. Ahead of this axis, insolation has allowed for temperatures to rise into the low 60s amidst mid/upper 40s F dewpoints. Cooling associated with advancement of a mid-level wave across the region has contributed to the destabilization and will likely allow for this axis of instability to spread eastward in tandem with convection across the discussion area over the next couple hours or so. A mix of cellular and linear convection should continue, which will allow for occasional updraft rotation given strong shear and fast flow aloft. Any wind/hail threat should be mostly diurnally driven and wane after dark with the onset of nocturnal boundary layer cooling. Furthermore, the weak instability is limiting the overall magnitude of the severe threat, precluding a WW issuance. ..Cook/Hart.. 03/03/2020 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...

Decent storms in C WV.... guess we shall see what makes it into W VA in the next few hours

Really clearing out here now... I can see a lot of blue sky ETA: @George BM beat me to the punch with the sat pic