yoda
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Everything posted by yoda
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LWX states severe threat is increasing in their afternoon AFD
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Regular 12z NAM soundings at 18z MON were not pretty looking at the soundings across the region... suxh as BWI/IAD/DCA/EZF... SBCAPE likely overdone, but even half of what it shows would be dangerous around here
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CWG posted an article about the threat https://mobile.twitter.com/capitalweather/status/1249032861379936257
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I think 60% wind is needed for high risk
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New day 3 OTLK disco adds even more intrigue for our region lol
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Intriguing disco as well for our region from the morning Day 2 OTLK:
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Day 3 OTLK should be intriguing to see in about an hour... but here is the new day 2:
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MDT remains on new Day 2... but HIGH upgrade is discussed
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From the 21z SREFs on the SPC website:
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Even at 21z MON across the region, 00z NAM is still printing out SBCAPE values around 2000 with pretty good deep layer shear
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That is not a very friendly sounding at KCHO at 15z MON from tonights 00z NAM
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Plus 18z NAM is trying hard for around 2000+ SBCAPE at 18z and 21z MON across the region... along with 40 to 50 kts of deep layer shear... plus looks like there is still some leftover low level shear too at 18z and 21z ETA: plus having 180 to 200 J/KG of MLCAPE at the 0-3km level isn't good
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That's only what, 80mph winds 3,000 feet or so above the surface?
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Anybody else catch the LWX afternoon AFD mentioning a possible repeat of February?
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Quite a large area under freeze warnings tonight... even right next to the i95 corridor as well
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12z NAM still hitting the soundings hard from around 09z to 21z or so across the region on Monday
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Could you post a link to that again? I seem to have lost my link to that as it's not in my weather bookmarks folder anymore
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@high risk 00z NAM soundings for 12z MON are pretty impressive.. even with only around 500 J/KG of SBCAPE
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Freeze watches have been expanded eastward into the i95 corridor for tomorrow night
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And there are the Freeze watches issued by LWX... quite a lot of counties... most are from the BR and west
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Afternooon AFD from LWX mentioned that winds will die down and advisories/warnings were possible
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So approaching 60 kts right off the deck towards DC... just a little windy
