yoda

BWI: 102 IAD: 100 DCA: 103 RIC: 104

SLGT risk for extreme Eastern IA into N IL including Chicago on new day 1... 15% hail and 5% tor

Written by Broyles/Lyons fwiw

SPC goes ENH for today with 10% hatched TOR probs along with 30% hatched hail

What a night in Montana, especially in the KGGW CWA (Glasgow, MT)

Impressive

Rogue One was excellent... I really hope they make one with Obi-Wan. Solo was pretty good to IMO

mmmm... Falcon you have there... nice it is yes yes. Fan of Solo are you?

Yes... but I still don't see any sustained 80s for the next 7 to 10 days... which i guess is good

00z NAM declines to give any real appreciable rain (as in around 0.25" or less) through 12z THUR This is from around EZF to Warrenton to OKV and those to the NE of that curved kinda line ETA: Temps don't make it above 60 for most on Wednesday per the 00z NAM either... i81 corridor and down towards CHO really suffer tempwise on the 00z NAM... upper 30s on the ridges and 40s to near 50 for those that get rained on

00z NAM already deciding to get the parts of the LWX CWA soaked... i81corridor has 2-4 inches of rain already through 12z TUES... however, there is quite the sharp cutoff along and east of the BR

@nj2va @nw baltimore wx @Scraff @Chris78 What do you all think of Gudas's comments? https://www.prohockeyrumors.com/2020/05/snapshots-gudas-chl-lawsuit-miller.html?fv-home=true&post-id=120193 Perhaps more interesting from the interview however are Gudas’ comments on his future with the Washington Capitals. The veteran defenseman explained that the team is facing a difficult salary cap situation and believes that he and “a lot of the guys with contracts about to expire” will end up leaving the Capitals this offseason. Washington has four players on the NHL roster who are scheduled for unrestricted free agency: Gudas, Ilya Kovalchuk, Brenden Dillon and, perhaps most importantly, Braden Holtby.

What about EZF or CHO? Or SHD?

Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CDT Fri May 15 2020 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF NY INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS AND THE NORTHEASTERN STATES... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are forecast across portions of the Northeast States this afternoon. Severe thunderstorms are also expected across the southern Plains while isolated strong/severe thunderstorms are possible across portions of the central High Plains. ...Northeastern States... Water-vapor imagery depicts a strong short-wave trough over the upper Great Lakes early this morning. This feature is forecast to eject across southern ON/QC by 16/00z as a 75kt 500mb speed max translates along the international border then into southern New England later tonight. A weak surface low should develop along the cold front over lower MI by sunrise then track toward western NY by early afternoon. This evolution favors strong boundary-layer heating from the central Appalachians into upstate NY where surface temperatures are expected to warm into the mid 70s prior to frontal passage. Latest thinking is convection will reintensify along the wind shift across southern ON by 17-18z then spread east within a westerly flow regime that should favor updraft organization. This activity will develop along southern influence of aforementioned short wave, and surface-6km shear is more than adequate for possible supercells, though a mixed storm mode is the most likely scenario. Damaging winds, hail, and a few tornadoes can be expected with severe thunderstorm clusters that spread from west to east across NY toward southern New England by early evening.

00z CMC is 3-6" of rain area-wide pretty much through 00z SAT... 00z GFS looks similar, but has 2-4 along i95 and 3-6 isolated 8 out towards i81

DIT is going to be very unhappy lol

DIT is prepared for moderate risk and big tors tomorrow

Cause I can be. And it's always fun to read how amped up you are

EF1 isn't a big tor lol

@nj2va approves of those temps

Lovely... sounds great

No warm weather for you!