yoda

Pouring again here

Quite a large list (and still growing) of wind damage, hail, and flood reports from LWX today into the overnight

@MN Transplant and @mattie g should be getting raked

Pouring rain here with loud crashes of thunder with nice lightning at midnight Jesus... close CG strikes with very loud thunder

Some impressive wind damage reports as well out there... saw a report of a 67mph gust on one of the buoys

Seeing some nice lightning and occasional thunder here from the storms in PG county

00z GFS trying to show some kind of cool down starting early next week... highs back in the low to mid 80s for a few days before the heat returns and the humidity along with it 00z GGEM would be really nice for Thursday and Friday... 70s to around 80... then brings in some cool air again next week Monday-Tuesday... highs in 60s and 70s

Blake likes Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Jul 4 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A small area of low pressure located about 400 miles west-southwest of Bermuda is producing some shower and thunderstorm activity. This system's low-level circulation has become better defined during the past several hours, and a tropical depression could form later today or Saturday evening while the system moves east-northeastward at about 15 mph. By Sunday night, however, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for significant development to occur. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

8pm TWO says 10% chance... and basically has 24-36 hours Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Fri Jul 3 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms have persisted during the past several hours in association with a small low pressure system located about midway between Florida and Bermuda. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next day or two while the low moves generally east-northeastward. By Sunday night, however, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for significant development to occur. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Welp... guess winter 2020 is over per the CANSIPS https://mobile.twitter.com/chris_sowers/status/1278428240760262656

I can see Mother Nature trolling us hard next winter in that it will show snowstorms that dissapear at the last second or have heavy QPF events (like 2"+) but temps in the mid 30s for all

Going to be interesting who wins the model war for the 4th... afternoon AFD from LWX:

Surprised to hear torrential rain and thunder

This is pretty cool being the end of June URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Missoula MT 222 PM MDT Sun Jun 28 2020 IDZ009-010-MTZ006-007-291800- /O.NEW.KMSO.WW.Y.0046.200629T0600Z-200629T1800Z/ Western Lemhi County-Eastern Lemhi County- Bitterroot/Sapphire Mountains-Butte/Blackfoot Region- 222 PM MDT Sun Jun 28 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON MDT MONDAY ABOVE 6500 FEET... * WHAT...Snow expected above 6500 feet. Total snow accumulations of up to two inches. Locally higher amounts possible with 6 inches of snow possible above 7500 feet. * WHERE...Bannock Pass, Highway 28 Tendoy to Lone Pine, Lemhi Pass, Highway 93 Sula to Lost Trail Pass, and Georgetown Lake. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to noon MDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be affected. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

Day 1 SLGT for @weatherwiz

Severe Thunderstorm Warning DCC001-MDC003-031-033-272145- /O.NEW.KLWX.SV.W.0148.200627T2100Z-200627T2145Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 500 PM EDT Sat Jun 27 2020 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... The northeastern District of Columbia... West central Anne Arundel County in central Maryland... Southeastern Montgomery County in central Maryland... Northern Prince Georges County in central Maryland... * Until 545 PM EDT. * At 459 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Goddard to North Chevy Chase, moving east at 20 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Bethesda, Bowie, College Park, Crofton, Greenbelt, Langley Park, Beltsville, Bladensburg, University of Maryland, Fedex Field, Gallaudet University, Fort Totten, RFK Stadium, Landover, Hyattsville, Takoma Park, East Riverdale, Adelphi, Kemp Mill and New Carrollton. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 3894 7657 3888 7696 3901 7715 3905 7675 TIME...MOT...LOC 2059Z 281DEG 18KT 3901 7681 3900 7708 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH

FFW up for parts of DC/Montgomery/PG counties till 745pm BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 457 PM EDT Sat Jun 27 2020 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... The north central District of Columbia... Southeastern Montgomery County in central Maryland... Northwestern Prince Georges County in central Maryland... * Until 745 PM EDT. * At 451 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the area. Up to one inch of rain has already fallen and additional rainfall amounts around 1 inch are expected within the next hour. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly. HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Heavy rain producing flash flooding. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses. * Some locations that may experience flooding include... Bethesda... College Park... Greenbelt... Langley Park... Beltsville... University of Maryland... Potomac... North Bethesda... Hyattsville... White Oak... Takoma Park... Adelphi... Kemp Mill... Chevy Chase... North Kensington... South Kensington... Riverdale Park... Forest Glen... Hillandale... Martin`s Additions... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. && LAT...LON 3896 7694 3895 7705 3899 7715 3903 7716 3904 7707 3903 7688 3899 7687 FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

SPC Day 1 0600 OTLK has N MD in SLGT including Baltimore metro... SLGT risk extends southward into C MD and extreme N VA... MRGL risk as far south as EZF 5% hail and 15% wind in SLGT... 5% hail and 5% wind in MRGL... 2% TOR for BWI to Westminster and NE MD

Pretty active day per the LWX LSR summary yesterday for a MRGL risk of severe PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 1110 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2020 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0348 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 W MARTINSBURG 39.46N 78.01W 06/25/2020 BERKELEY WV 911 CALL CENTER TREE DOWN NEAR INTERSECTION OF TUSCARORA PIKE AND IROQUOIS TRAIL. 0351 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 NNW MARTINSBURG 39.47N 77.98W 06/25/2020 BERKELEY WV 911 CALL CENTER SEVERAL TREES DOWN BLOCKING ROADS IN THE MARTINSBURG AND HEDGESVILLE AREA. 0356 PM HAIL 2 NNW MARTINSBURG ARPT 39.43N 77.99W 06/25/2020 M0.75 INCH BERKELEY WV TRAINED SPOTTER 0358 PM HAIL 2 SSE MARTINSBURG 39.44N 77.96W 06/25/2020 E0.75 INCH BERKELEY WV TRAINED SPOTTER PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND ESTIMATED 45-50 MPH WINDS 0404 PM HAIL 2 E MARTINSBURG 39.46N 77.94W 06/25/2020 M0.75 INCH BERKELEY WV NWS EMPLOYEE 0412 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 N SHEPHERDSTOWN 39.47N 77.81W 06/25/2020 JEFFERSON WV TRAINED SPOTTER SEVERAL LIMBS DOWN THAT WERE ABOUT 3-4" IN DIAMETER NEAR SHEPHERDSTOWN. 0507 PM HAIL 1 SE CHARLES TOWN 39.28N 77.85W 06/25/2020 M0.75 INCH JEFFERSON WV TRAINED SPOTTER 0519 PM HAIL 3 SSE MILLVILLE 39.26N 77.76W 06/25/2020 E0.75 INCH LOUDOUN VA AMATEUR RADIO 0519 PM HAIL 2 SE JEFFERSON 39.34N 77.51W 06/25/2020 M0.75 INCH FREDERICK MD TRAINED SPOTTER 0528 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 E PARK MILLS 39.30N 77.38W 06/25/2020 FREDERICK MD 911 CALL CENTER POWERLINES DOWN IN 8300 BLOCK OF PETERS ROAD. 0528 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 ESE MILLVILLE 39.26N 77.73W 06/25/2020 LOUDOUN VA 911 CALL CENTER SEVERAL TREES BLOWN DOWN ALONG HARPERS FERRY ROAD AND WHITE ROCK ROAD NEAR NEERSVILLE. 0530 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 ENE PARK MILLS 39.32N 77.36W 06/25/2020 FREDERICK MD 911 CALL CENTER TREE DOWN ON 3000 BLOCK OF THURSTON ROAD. 0537 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 NNW LEESBURG 39.12N 77.57W 06/25/2020 LOUDOUN VA EMERGENCY MNGR A SMALL PART OF THE ROOF OF IDA LEE PARK RECREATION CENTER WAS PEELED OFF. TREE DAMAGE IN THE AREA, INCLUDING ON VA-7 HARRY BYRD HIGHWAY NEAR BERLIN TURNPIKE. 0548 PM TSTM WND DMG PARK MILLS 39.30N 77.41W 06/25/2020 FREDERICK MD 911 CALL CENTER SEVERAL TREES DOWN IN THE PARK MILLS AREA. 0551 PM TSTM WND DMG GAITHERSBURG 39.14N 77.22W 06/25/2020 MONTGOMERY MD EMERGENCY MNGR MULTIPLE TREES AND WIRES DOWN IN 19900 BLOCK OF BEALLSVILLE ROAD. 0553 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SE CLARKSBURG 39.23N 77.27W 06/25/2020 MONTGOMERY MD EMERGENCY MNGR TREE DOWN BLOCKING NORTHBOUND LANE OF MD 355 AT SHAWNEE LANE. 0604 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 NNW GERMANTOWN 39.20N 77.27W 06/25/2020 MONTGOMERY MD EMERGENCY MNGR TREE DOWN ON HOUSE IN 12800 BLOCK OF DUCK POND DRIVE. 0605 PM TSTM WND GST 2 N GERMANTOWN 39.20N 77.26W 06/25/2020 M68 MPH MONTGOMERY MD MESONET 0608 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SSE DAMASCUS 39.24N 77.18W 06/25/2020 MONTGOMERY MD EMERGENCY MNGR TREES AND WIRES DOWN BLOCKING THE INTERSECTION OF WOODFIELD ROAD AND WATKINS ROAD. 0612 PM TSTM WND DMG GAITHERSBURG 39.14N 77.22W 06/25/2020 MONTGOMERY MD EMERGENCY MNGR MULTIPLE REPORTS OF TREES AND WIRES DOWN THROUGHOUT THE CITY OF GAITHERSBURG. 0615 PM TSTM WND GST GAITHERSBURG 39.14N 77.22W 06/25/2020 M70 MPH MONTGOMERY MD MESONET 0615 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 W ROCKVILLE 39.08N 77.16W 06/25/2020 MONTGOMERY MD TRAINED SPOTTER LARGE TREE UPROOTED IN 200 BLOCK OF AUTUMN WIND WAY. 0619 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 ENE POTOMAC 39.04N 77.16W 06/25/2020 MONTGOMERY MD EMERGENCY MNGR WIRES AND TREE BRANCHES DOWN NEAR INTERSECTION OF SEVEN LOCKS ROAD AND TUCKERMAN LANE. 0619 PM TSTM WND DMG ROCKVILLE 39.08N 77.15W 06/25/2020 MONTGOMERY MD EMERGENCY MNGR MULTIPLE REPORTS OF TREES DOWN THROUGHOUT THE CITY OF ROCKVILLE. 0625 PM TSTM WND DMG LANGLEY 38.94N 77.16W 06/25/2020 FAIRFAX VA DEPT OF HIGHWAYS TREE AND BRANCHES DOWN IN THE AREA OF VA-123 DOLLEY MADISON BOULEVARD NEAR BALLANTRAE LANE. 0630 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 N ROCKVILLE 39.13N 77.14W 06/25/2020 MONTGOMERY MD TRAINED SPOTTER TREE DOWN ON BEECH DRIVE NEAR NEEDWOOD DRIVE 0636 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 E BETHESDA 38.99N 77.11W 06/25/2020 MONTGOMERY MD FIRE DEPT/RESCUE MULTIPLE TREES UPROOTED, WITH ROADS CLOSED AND DAMAGE TO SEVERAL HOMES IN THE BETHESDA BATTERY PARK NEIGHBORHOOD. 0638 PM HAIL BETHESDA 38.99N 77.12W 06/25/2020 E1.00 INCH MONTGOMERY MD PUBLIC QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN BETHESDA. 0639 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 N SOMERSET 38.97N 77.09W 06/25/2020 MONTGOMERY MD EMERGENCY MNGR TREE BRANCHES AND WIRES DOWN IN 4920 BLOCK OF CHEVY CHASE BLVD. 0644 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 ESE SOMERSET 38.96N 77.07W 06/25/2020 DISTRICT OF COLUMB DC PUBLIC TREES DOWN ON 36TH STREET NW BETWEEN GARRISON AND NEVADA AVE NW, FESSENDEN STREET NW BETWEEN 36TH AND 34TH STREET, AND LINNEAN TERAACE BETWEEN 33RD STREET AND LINNEAN AVE NW. 0645 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 ESE SOMERSET 38.96N 77.07W 06/25/2020 DISTRICT OF COLUMB DC TRAINED SPOTTER TREE DOWN ON HOME IN 3700 BLOCK OF CHESAPEAKE STREET NW. 0646 PM TSTM WND DMG NASONS 38.26N 78.03W 06/25/2020 ORANGE VA 911 CALL CENTER MULTIPLE REPORTS OF TREES DOWN BETWEEN ORANGE AND UNIONVILLE 0655 PM TSTM WND GST ORANGE COUNTY ARPT 38.25N 78.05W 06/25/2020 M59 MPH ORANGE VA AWOS 0656 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NNW LAHORE 38.22N 77.98W 06/25/2020 ORANGE VA 911 CALL CENTER MULTIPLE TREES REPORTED DOWN NEAR KENDALL AND LAHORE ROADS 0705 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 W THORNHILL 38.16N 78.00W 06/25/2020 ORANGE VA 911 CALL CENTER MULTIPLE TREES DOWN NEAR MONROVIA AND MARQUIS ROADS 0706 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 7 SSE SAINT GEORGE ISLA 38.01N 76.45W 06/25/2020 M39 MPH ANZ537 MD BUOY 0717 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 E BELMONT 38.16N 77.82W 06/25/2020 SPOTSYLVANIA VA 911 CALL CENTER MULTIPLE TREES REPORTED DOWN IN THE WESTERN PART OF SPOTSYLVANIA 0734 PM TSTM WND DMG WARRENTON 38.72N 77.80W 06/25/2020 FAUQUIER VA 911 CALL CENTER MANY REPORTS OF TREES DOWN IN AND NEAR WARRENTON 0734 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 NNE UPPER MARLBORO 38.83N 76.75W 06/25/2020 PRINCE GEORGES MD 911 CALL CENTER TREE DOWN ON LARGO ROAD NEAR UPPER MARLBORO. 0738 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 W PARTLOW 38.04N 77.68W 06/25/2020 SPOTSYLVANIA VA PUBLIC MULTIPLE TREES DOWNED/SNAPPED IN THE 10000 BLOCK OF HUMMINGBIRD DR. NEAR PARTLOW, VA. 0743 PM TSTM WND DMG PARTLOW 38.04N 77.64W 06/25/2020 SPOTSYLVANIA VA 911 CALL CENTER MULTIPLE REPORTS OF TREES DOWNED IN THE PARTLOW AREA 0743 PM HAIL 2 W PARTLOW 38.04N 77.68W 06/25/2020 M1.50 INCH SPOTSYLVANIA VA PUBLIC 0832 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SW TRIANGLE 38.52N 77.36W 06/25/2020 PRINCE WILLIAM VA 911 CALL CENTER LARGE TREE DOWN BLOCKING ALL LANES OF US 1 NEAR RUSSELL ROAD 0839 PM TSTM WND GST QUANTICO MARINE CORP 38.51N 77.30W 06/25/2020 M63 MPH PRINCE WILLIAM VA ASOS 0859 PM HAIL 2 E IRONSIDES 38.49N 77.13W 06/25/2020 M1.00 INCH CHARLES MD TRAINED SPOTTER

Guess we shall see... POPS actually went up to 40 percent for DCA on the 730 update from 0 percent at the 430 one. Will be isolated as you state most likely, but if any storm can get going... good chance of damaging wind gusts

SLGT risk was moved south in the 1730z update to include all of northern into central MD into extreme N VA for wind

Don't sound too enthused in the disco though lol

New day 2 morning SPC OTLK has SW CT and LI now in SLGT... mainly for wind (15%)... hail is at 5 percent and there is a small 2 percent TOR for SE NY into E PA and NW NJ

I thought they were on MASN2?

Nice cool evening in late June to have the windows open