yoda

Mmmmhmmm...

06z GFS is tasty... warning even for most of the region... 4-8"

morning AFD from LWX about the "event" Thursday looks to be our next chance at any impactful weather. A emerging shortwave trough will deepen over the Central Plains as a surface low develops over the TN Valley. With the jet stream orientated in a SW to NE trajectory, patten looks indicative for a Miller B type of system: where an emerging low out of the TN/OH valley phases its energy with a developing low off Cape Hatteras. Guidance has been pretty persist on this set- up, resulting in a quick moving snow event. While not expecting amounts to be as drastic as they were yesterday at this time, do think this system is capable of producing a more widespread 1-3" or 2-4" event with locally higher amounts possible along the higher terrain due to upslope processes. Given the fact that this is still a few days away, the forecast is subject to change and confidence on any definitive outcome still remains low at this time. However, confidence is increasing for the possibility of a low end, plowable event. Best estimate for timing at this juncture would be late Thursday night into Friday morning, which would make traveling for the Friday morning commute hazardous.

00z EPS through 96 Around 30 of the 50 members have DCA >2" snow

Not as good as 12z... but I'd take this run and run lol. Wish it were better yes... but any snow right now is good snow

Nice 3-5 for everyone on the 00z CMC

I'm surmising that the RGEM would end up being like the 12z EURO if it went out another 6 hours?

Upper 20s and snowing at 84 is nice

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=lwx&issuedby=LWX&product=PNS as of 145pm

So... Winter Storm Watches by tomorrow afternoon for Thursday into Friday?

12z EPS out yet? lol

O/U DCA 20 tonight? I'm going with the over... 22 degrees for the low. Cause you know DCA has to mess something up lol

Latest PNS from LWX https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=lwx&issuedby=LWX&product=PNS

I saw some 6"+ reports... trying to confirm ETA -- Culpepper itself had 8"

looks like 6-10

FCPS is CLOSED tomorrow -- no virtual learning either https://www.fcps.edu/

It varies across the region a good amount. Per the latest reports: 1ENE Alexandria 7.5" at 12pm 1WSW Annandale 10.5" at 12pm Both reports are from trained spotters

yes please... would be a nice 3-6... maybe 4-8

Starting to see a lot of reports of trees and power lines down in Stafford/Spotsy counties

We don't even have to wait that long lol... just a few days

10:45am PNS still has the 7am totals from all 3 major airports