yoda

Thundersleet would be pretty cool

That's like 1 to 2 inches lol... but better than nothing

I'm going to guess that perhaps the earlier the snow gets here tomorrow morning the better chance for maybe a bit more snow?

Looks like 18z RGEM is quick with the snow tomorrow... snowing at DCA at 13z

Okay let's take the argument to banter please... back to obs and disco Thanks

the storm obs thread just turned quite feisty

Nelson/Greene/Albermarle/Madison also got WSWs

Eastern Loudoun and Northwestern Montgomery and Northwest Howard were added to WSW... everyone else in the WSWatch went to WWA -- including DC metro

So we take the ICON then?

Does say ice accumulation up to one tenth of an inch in the newest zone forecasts as of 940am from LWX... so i dunno

Maybe we get lucky and snow holds on a bit later then expected

My bar right now is set at 1-2". If we get more, great. I just want enough snow to cover the grass and ground before... "other" precip appears falling from the sky

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 452 AM EST Tue Dec 15 2020 VAZ048-509-151800- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WW.Y.0003.201216T0900Z-201217T0500Z/ Fluvanna-Western Louisa- Including the cities of Bybee, Central Plains, Cunningham, Lake Monticello, Nahor, Palmyra, Troy, and Louisa 452 AM EST Tue Dec 15 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of up to two inches and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Fluvanna and Western Louisa Counties. * WHEN...From 4 AM Wednesday to midnight EST Wednesday night. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

hmmm... from this morning's LWX AFD

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 409 AM EST Tue Dec 15 2020 MDZ504-VAZ036>039-050>053-502-152145- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.A.0002.201216T1200Z-201217T0900Z/ Central and Southeast Montgomery-Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Madison- Orange-Culpeper-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Southern Fauquier- 409 AM EST Tue Dec 15 2020 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of around two tenths of an inch possible. * WHERE...Portions of central Maryland and central, northern and northwest Virginia. * WHEN...From Wednesday morning through late Wednesday night. Snow will overspread the region Wednesday morning, mix with sleet and freezing rain during the afternoon and evening, then change back to snow before ending late Wednesday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Potential impacts include significant travel delays and closures. Plan ahead to minimize impact on you and your family.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 409 AM EST Tue Dec 15 2020 MDZ008-011-503-505-506-508-VAZ506-152145- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.A.0002.201216T1200Z-201217T0900Z/ Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Northwest Montgomery-Northwest Howard- Central and Southeast Howard-Southeast Harford-Eastern Loudoun- 409 AM EST Tue Dec 15 2020 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches and ice accumulations of around one tenth of an inch possible. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central, northeast and northern Maryland and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From Wednesday morning through late Wednesday night. Snow will overspread the region Wednesday morning, mix with sleet and freezing rain during the afternoon and evening, then change back to snow before ending late Wednesday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Potential impacts include significant travel delays and closures. Plan ahead to minimize impact on you and your family.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 409 AM EST Tue Dec 15 2020 MDZ001-VAZ026-027-029-040-501-505-507-WVZ501-502-505-506-152145- /O.UPG.KLWX.WS.A.0002.201216T1200Z-201217T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.W.0003.201216T1200Z-201217T0900Z/ Garrett-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Page-Rappahannock-Northern Fauquier- Western Loudoun-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Western Grant- Eastern Grant-Western Pendleton-Eastern Pendleton- 409 AM EST Tue Dec 15 2020 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 12 inches. * WHERE...Portions of western Maryland, northern and western Virginia and eastern West Virginia. * WHEN...From 7 AM Wednesday to 4 AM EST Thursday. Snow will overspread the region Wednesday morning, become heavy at times during the afternoon and evening, taper off late Wednesday night. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult to impossible. Potential impacts include significant travel delays and closures. Plan ahead to minimize impact on you and your family.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 409 AM EST Tue Dec 15 2020 MDZ003>006-501-502-507-VAZ028-030-031-WVZ050>053-055-503-504- 152145- /O.UPG.KLWX.WS.A.0002.201216T1200Z-201217T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.W.0003.201216T1200Z-201217T0900Z/ Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore- Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany- Northwest Harford-Frederick VA-Warren-Clarke-Hampshire-Morgan- Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral- 409 AM EST Tue Dec 15 2020 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 12 to 18 inches. * WHERE...Portions of northern and western Maryland, northwest Virginia and eastern West Virginia. * WHEN...From 7 AM Wednesday to 4 AM EST Thursday. Snow will overspread the region Wednesday morning, become heavy at times during the afternoon and evening, taper off late Wednesday night. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult to impossible. Potential impacts include significant travel delays and closures. Plan ahead to minimize impact on you and your family.

From @griteater

They are 6 hour time period maps... not total event snowfall maps

Updated portion of the LWX AFD after the watches issued

06z GFS says it's still lightly snowing at 12z THUR in N VA into MD