yoda

LWX AFD from this morning for the Friday into Saturday potential .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... High pressure will move east to allow for a cold front to approach the region during the day Wednesday. The front will bring a chance for rain and/or snow showers late Wednesday through Thursday morning. A gusty and chilly northwest wind will develop behind the front as a second area of high pressure builds to our northwest. Temperatures will be about 5 to 10 degrees below normal Thursday. Below normal temperatures will continue Friday with high pressure covering the region. Models are indicating a potential coastal low pressure system Friday night into the day Saturday. The GFS develops a coastal low near coastal Carolina, intensifying it but keeping it moving out to sea. Thus, leaving us dry with a winter chill. The European model shows a significant winter storm with wind and heavy snow for much of our region late Friday through Saturday. The Canadian model shows an elongated coastal low pressure system along the Carolina Coast. intensifying it and moving it northward toward southern New England. This would put strong winds in the east and moderate to heavy snow accumulations along and east of the Blue Ridge Mountains. We still have 5 to 6 days until this potential winter storm, so the exact track and intensity could change quite a few times between now and then.

Looks like DCA gets to 0.35" QPF by 00z on latest HRRR... and sounding shows us flirting with some sleet... so I'm guessing that's all snow before... 2 to 4 before being erased by cold rain would be acceptable

There are some monster hits in the EPS

Um thanks? Enjoy this storm that you are getting tomorrow then while we enjoy the weekend storm if it occurs

CMC had it snow 1 to 3 inches DC metro south and still showed a major storm for us. Euro actually had no snow (actually light rain) and had the monster storm... so I'm not sure it will matter... but I'll let someone more knowledgeable speak up on it

This is just... wow

Only 6 days or so out too

Matt has to be salivating at that run too

Hi Eek! I missed your posts. Hope you are doing well

15 to 20 degrees at DCA 156 and 162 lol

Enjoy tonight's 00z Euro... all of us take re Day 6 into 7

Ripping at 156 with 990mb SLP just SE of HSE

Mod snow DC 150

Looks big

Euro is going to have that quick wave that both the UKIE and CMC had at 108/114 CMC>UKIE>Euro re snow amounts on that wave Euro is more light rain tbh

It's a miss but ukie sucks balls I meant after 144. H5 was digging and coming in... I dunno if it was going to be too late if it went out another 24 hours

Then keeps the snow down for SE NC and SC at 144 Can't really tell where it's going from there though. 6 hr precip maps from 132 to 144 were slowly moving north

UKIE has the quick wave at 108 that 00Z CMC has

If you include the quick hitter at 114... over a foot at DCA for both the late Day 4 and Day 6 into 7 events

Looks like a 1-3 DC metro south thing

Still snowing nicely at 156 across the region

138 snow moving back into DC metro 144 1008mb SLP off HSE

Pretty sure looks like we got a banana high ongoing at 126... 1045mb HP in Iowa