yoda

Yeah yeah... but 06z NAM is lights out for the I95 to I81 corridor... bad ice storm including EZF and DCA and IAD and BWI... into most of C VA into N VA and a majority of MD

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Springfield MO 214 AM CST Fri Jan 14 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY... .A storm system will approach the region from the north, causing rain to change over to snow during the Saturday morning hours. Minor snow accumulations ranging from a dusting to four inches are possible. KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-150300- /O.NEW.KSGF.WW.Y.0003.220115T0900Z-220116T0300Z/ Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas- Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton- Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone- Taney-Ozark-Oregon- 214 AM CST Fri Jan 14 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 PM CST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between a dusting and 4 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Portions of southeast Kansas. portions of central, east central, south central, southwest, and west central Missouri. The highest amounts are expected to occur over central Missouri. * WHEN...From 3 AM to 9 PM CST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions, particularly if wet or slushy roads tend to freeze Saturday evening as temperatures drop well below freezing.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Raleigh NC 307 AM EST Fri Jan 14 2022 NCZ007-008-021>024-038-039-141700- /O.NEW.KRAH.WS.A.0001.220116T0500Z-220117T0500Z/ Person-Granville-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Orange-Davidson- Randolph- Including the cities of Roxboro, Oxford, Creedmoor, Winston-Salem, Greensboro, High Point, Burlington, Graham, Mebane, Hillsborough, Chapel Hill, Carrboro, Lexington, Thomasville, Asheboro, and Archdale 307 AM EST Fri Jan 14 2022 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches and ice accumulations of one tenth to three tenths of an inch possible. * WHERE...Portions of central North Carolina. * WHEN...From late Saturday night through Sunday evening. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precipitation will initially begin as snow before changing to a mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Raleigh NC 307 AM EST Fri Jan 14 2022 NCZ009-010-025-026-040-041-073>077-083>086-088-141700- /O.NEW.KRAH.WS.A.0001.220116T0500Z-220117T0500Z/ Vance-Warren-Durham-Franklin-Chatham-Wake-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore- Lee-Harnett-Anson-Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland- Including the cities of Henderson, Kittrell, Warrenton, Norlina, Durham, Rougemont, Louisburg, Franklinton, Siler City, Pittsboro, Raleigh, Cary, Apex, Wake Forest, Knightdale, Albemarle, Troy, Southern Pines, Pinehurst, Aberdeen, Carthage, Sanford, Lillington, Angier, Buies Creek, Erwin, Dunn, Wadesboro, Polkton, Rockingham, Ellerbe, Laurinburg, Camp Mackall, Wagram, Raeford, Fayetteville, Spring Lake, and Hope Mills 307 AM EST Fri Jan 14 2022 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of up to two inches and ice accumulations of up to three tenths of an inch possible. * WHERE...Portions of central North Carolina. * WHEN...From late Saturday night through Sunday evening. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain is forecast, although locations southeast of US 1 will likely change over to rain Sunday afternoon.

PW snow map has 4" at DCA... fine with me. 6" line is just east of the BR

Looks like 2-4... maybe 3-5 DC metro and westward

GFS/UKIE combo would be nice here... 3-5"

6" line is basically i66 south... then curves toward i95 corridor but probably 20 miles west Once you get out towards NW VA (Clarke and Frederick counties) 6 to 10 out there

Pretty much isothermal but look at that DGZ zone... tasty

Dumping snow at 72 in DC metro

I'll take my 4 to 6 on there lol

00z ICON has a bit more wintry precipitation for i95 corridor compared to 18z

2 to 3 for DCA on 00z RGEM

True, but what was nice was there was a SE shift with the low a bit... and no rain for DC compared to 18z

Snow to sleet to ice to dry slot for DC this run. No rain

998 over ILM at 69.... snow on DC doorstep

Lol 00z NAM has SLP south of FL panhandle at 51

Seems like 00z NAM is going to be a bit faster again... do we want a faster system or no?

How were the 21z SREFs? Lol

18z EPS mean at DCA is 4"

That looks like power outages

Is that better than 12z or same?