yoda

Looks like just a tad more confluence on the 06z NAM looking at hr 27 comparing it to 00z NAM 33?

AKQ WSWs up... 4-7 in their northern most counties bordering the LWX CWA URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 250 AM EST Sat Jan 4 2025 MDZ021>025-VAZ048-064-075>078-509>512-517>522-041600- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.A.0001.250105T2100Z-250107T1200Z/ Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches- Fluvanna-Caroline-Westmoreland-Richmond-Northumberland-Lancaster- Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-Eastern Hanover- Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen- Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex- 250 AM EST Sat Jan 4 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 7 inches and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch possible. * WHERE...Portions of southeast Maryland and central, east central, eastern, and north central Virginia. * WHEN...From Sunday afternoon through Tuesday morning. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 250 AM EST Sat Jan 4 2025 VAZ060>062-068-069-082>086-090-099-513>516-041600- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.A.0001.250105T2100Z-250107T1200Z/ Prince Edward-Cumberland-Goochland-Amelia-Powhatan-Charles City- New Kent-Gloucester-Middlesex-Mathews-James City-Accomack-Western Chesterfield-Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)- Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico- 250 AM EST Sat Jan 4 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches and ice accumulations up to two tenths of an inch possible. * WHERE...Portions of central, east central, eastern, and southeast Virginia generally along and north of a Farmville-Colonial Heights-Toano-Accomack line. * WHEN...From Sunday afternoon through Tuesday morning. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 250 AM EST Sat Jan 4 2025 MDZ021>025-VAZ048-064-075>078-509>512-517>522-041600- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.A.0001.250105T2100Z-250107T1200Z/ Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches- Fluvanna-Caroline-Westmoreland-Richmond-Northumberland-Lancaster- Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-Eastern Hanover- Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen- Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex- 250 AM EST Sat Jan 4 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 7 inches and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch possible. * WHERE...Portions of southeast Maryland and central, east central, eastern, and north central Virginia. * WHEN...From Sunday afternoon through Tuesday morning. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes.

KPHI already did. I assume CTP/LWX/AKQ will be up in 2 hours or so

Is that like an ensemble member of the 03z SREFs?

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 209 AM EST Sat Jan 4 2025 NJZ017>020-026-027-PAZ070-071-101-102-104-042015- /O.NEW.KPHI.WS.A.0001.250106T0600Z-250107T0600Z/ Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Coastal Ocean- Southeastern Burlington-Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester- Eastern Chester-Eastern Montgomery- Including the cities of Mount Holly, Long Beach Island, Camden, Oxford, West Chester, Philadelphia, Lansdale, Kennett Square, Moorestown, Jackson, Cherry Hill, Wharton State Forest, Glassboro, Media, Honey Brook, and Norristown 209 AM EST Sat Jan 4 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 3 and 6 inches possible. * WHERE...Portions of southern New Jersey and southeast Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From late Sunday night through late Monday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will overspread the region late Sunday night and intensify through midday Monday. It will then gradually taper off Monday night.

Since Delware/Delmarva is in our region... URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 209 AM EST Sat Jan 4 2025 DEZ001>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ016-021>025-042015- /O.NEW.KPHI.WS.A.0001.250106T0600Z-250107T0600Z/ New Castle-Kent-Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-Salem-Cumberland-Atlantic-Cape May-Atlantic Coastal Cape May-Coastal Atlantic- Including the cities of Dover, Chestertown, Hammonton, Ocean City, Centreville, Atlantic City, Millville, Pennsville, Wilmington, Rehoboth Beach, Georgetown, Easton, Cape May Court House, and Denton 209 AM EST Sat Jan 4 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 5 and 9 inches possible. * WHERE...Portions of central, northern, and southern Delaware, northeast Maryland, and southern New Jersey. * WHEN...From late Sunday night through late Monday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will overspread the region late Sunday night and intensify through midday Monday. It will then gradually taper off Monday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

FWIW 03z SREFs

I half expected @Deck Pic to have been posting right along with Randy lol

DCA at 09z MON on 00z EURO is +SN and 23/24 degrees

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=lwx&issuedby=LWX&product=PNS PNS for todays event

FWIW... and the "heaviest snowfall region" did move north compared to its 12z position btw

I believe @usedtobe likes Canada

Let's see if ukie comes back north a tad in 30 minutes... then king euro in about an hour

Uh still snowing...

00z CMC going to be all snow dc metro again

I'd take that storm in a hot minute

West Springfield will beat Rose Hill in snowfall But yes please

@WxUSAF @stormtracker Are we going to keep using the same thread until the thing starts? I see its over 50 pages and over 1.6k replies.

That's your mulligan Mr. Ward. Play ball!

619 NWUS51 KLWX 032208 LSRLWX Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 508 PM EST Fri Jan 03 2025 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0507 PM Snow 2 W North Beach 38.71N 76.57W 01/03/2025 M0.5 inch Calvert MD Trained Spotter && Event Number LWX2500090

47 48 49 50 693 NWUS51 KLWX 032156 LSRLWX Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 456 PM EST Fri Jan 03 2025 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0455 PM Snow 3 NNE Hughesville 38.58N 76.77W 01/03/2025 M0.5 inch Charles MD Trained Spotter && Event Number LWX2500089

Who's the trained spotter that report 1.5" near me? Shows up on Radarscope but I don't see the LSR from LWX