yoda

Winter is ovah

Sounds good Are you going to do the ratings by the EF-Scale? Like EF-5 for the best places and EF0 for those not?

lol Snyder https://sports.yahoo.com/nfl-dan-snyder-to-buy-out-washington-minority-partners-for-875-million-163102365.html

Ah yes... the wind has returned! URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 153 PM EDT Wed Mar 24 2021 MDZ001-501-VAZ503-WVZ501-503-505-250200- /O.NEW.KLWX.HW.A.0001.210326T0600Z-210326T2100Z/ Garrett-Extreme Western Allegany-Western Highland-Western Grant- Western Mineral-Western Pendleton- Including the cities of Mountain Lake Park, Oakland, Grantsville, Frostburg, Hightown, Bayard, Mount Storm, Elk Garden, and Riverton 153 PM EDT Wed Mar 24 2021 ...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...West to southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph possible. * WHERE...In Maryland, Garrett and Extreme Western Allegany Counties. In Virginia, Western Highland County. In West Virginia, Western Grant, Western Mineral and Western Pendleton Counties. * WHEN...From late Thursday night through Friday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

SPC finally updated lol... here is teh disco Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 PM CDT Wed Mar 24 2021 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/MID-SOUTH INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... The potential for an outbreak of severe storms including several long-track strong tornadoes, scattered large to very large hail, and severe/destructive winds, will exist Thursday into Thursday evening across a portion of the lower Mississippi Valley, Tennessee Valley, and Southeast. ...Synopsis... A shortwave trough with attendant 70-100 kt+ mid-level jet will eject northeastward from the southern Plains across the lower/mid MS Valley on Thursday, and continue over the OH Valley and lower Great Lakes region Thursday night. At the surface, a weak low over northeast TX at the beginning of the period Thursday morning is expected to likewise develop northeastward to the mid MS Valley through the day while deepening. A warm front attendant to this cyclone will likely lift northward across the lower MS Valley/Mid-South and TN Valley towards the lower OH Valley by Thursday evening. ...Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast... Storms will likely be ongoing at the start of the period from northeast TX into southern AR and northern MS/AL and TN. This activity will likely be supported by a southerly low-level jet and related warm advection. These storms should shift northward through the morning, allowing for destabilization via diurnal heating to occur across the lower MS Valley. Rich low-level moisture with at least mid to upper 60s surface dewpoints (perhaps lower 70s), should advect northward across parts of the lower/mid MS Valley, TN Valley, and Southeast by Thursday afternoon. This increasing moisture, coupled with diurnal heating, will likely support MLCAPE of 1500-2000 J/kg developing over a fairly broad portion of these regions. A pronounced low-level jet (50-60+ kt) will overlie much of this region as well, as large-scale ascent from the ejecting shortwave trough overspreads the lower/mid MS Valley vicinity. Strongly veering and strengthening wind profiles from the surface through mid levels will support supercells. 0-1 km SRH along/south of the surface warm front will likely reach 300-500 m2/s2, and low-level mesocyclones capable of producing strong, long-track tornadoes appear likely with any supercells that can form. Scattered large hail, some of which may be 2+ inches in diameter, and severe/destructive winds also appear probable, both with supercells and any bowing line segments that can develop. At this time, the best potential for strong tornadoes appears to extend from parts of central/northern MS into western/middle TN and central/northern AL, mainly Thursday afternoon and evening as storms move generally northeastward. Concern does exist regarding the effect of storms forming during the morning on the development of instability, and potential for destructive interference from too many storms developing across the warm sector at the same time. Still, given the very favorable environment forecast across this region and the potential for numerous supercells, an upgrade to High Risk for multiple strong to potentially violent, long-track tornadoes may be needed in a later outlook update. ...Ohio Valley... Fairly widespread precipitation should occur over a majority of the lower OH Valley through the day. This should temper diurnal destabilization to some degree, but weak instability will probably still develop along/east of the surface low and northward-moving warm front. At least an isolated severe threat may develop late Thursday afternoon into the evening as the southerly low-level jet strengthens over this region and low-level moisture increases. The potential for a low-topped line of storms capable of producing damaging wind gusts and tornadoes will exist given the strength of the low-level flow and related shear. These storms will likely be tied to a cold front as it tracks northeastward through the evening and overnight hours.

Hatched wind covers most of S KY and TN

MOD risk did get extended NE into/near NSH on 1730 OTLK... also includes more of NE AL

MOD remains on new Day 2... but hardcore talk for upgrade to high tomorrow

So Flacco is now an Eagle lol

New Day 3

First mention of Thursday night/Friday severe chance in the HWO (damaging winds) And thunderstorms are now in the zones

Where did you find that on CIPS?

Wow... I thought you were a little bit older... like 24/25 lol. Happy Birthday btw

00z NAM at range ofc... but shear is through the roof at 12z FRI -- but no SBCAPE as of yet since its morning lol. ML Lapse Rates are near 7.0 C/KM too

Looks like Kansas is being shown the door by USC

I bet a penny

Good call lol

@nj2va can't wait for this (from this afternoon's LWX AFD)

re Friday's chance from this afternoon's LWX AFD

Bye Iowa... being blown out by Oregon here in teh 2nd half

Hopefully the EURO is right over the GFS

So Friday maybe?

3 to 6 inches of snow late Sunday into Monday next week (29th of March)