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yoda

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Everything posted by yoda

  1. 10% tor contour added on 01z OTLK for S TX as well as hatched 30 wind
  2. SPC issued a MD about it... ouch Mesoscale Discussion 0459 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0701 PM CDT Wed Apr 28 2021 Areas affected...South-central Texas Concerning...Tornado Watch 120... Valid 290001Z - 290130Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 120 continues. SUMMARY...A threat for very large hail, wind damage and possibly a tornado will move eastward into the San Antonio Metro around 8 pm central. DISCUSSION...The latest radar shows a cluster of severe storms located about 60 statute miles to the west of San Antonio. Ahead of these storms, the RAP is analying a pocket of strong instability with MLCAPE near 4500 J/kg and 0-6 km shear near 50 kt. This environment will be very favorable for supercells with large hail. Hailstones of greater than 3 inches in diameter will be possible with the stronger updrafts. Wind gusts exceeding 65 knots may also occur, with the possibility of wind driven hail. ..Broyles/Guyer.. 04/29/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
  3. One of the earlier STW had hail to softball size
  4. All the time or just at night?
  5. 12z EURO (days 8-10) looks atrocious -- see 850mb temp anomaly
  6. LWX says maybe next week in their afternoon AFD
  7. 85 at DCA at 3pm... don't think 90 is in the cards today IAD/BWI both at 87 I guess teh record high of 88 at IAD could be challenged... but DCA/IAD no chance
  8. DCA 82/59 at 2pm but IAD was 87/55 Winds are S at DCA but W at IAD
  9. I don't think chasing TD landfalls are big plans
  10. Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0223 AM CDT Sun Apr 25 2021 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF WEST TX AND THE TX PANHANDLE INTO WESTERN/CENTRAL OK AND SOUTH-CENTRAL KS.... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are possible Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday night from portions of West Texas and the Texas Panhandle into western/central Oklahoma and south-central Kansas. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A deep upper trough is forecast to be in place over the western CONUS early Tuesday morning. Strong mid/upper level flow will extend throughout the basal portion of this trough, beginning the period arced from off the central CA coast across northern Mexico and into the southern High Plains. This upper trough is expected to make modest eastward progress throughout the day while an embedded shortwave trough ejects over northern/central NM into eastern CO/western KS. This evolution will help spread the strong mid-level flow over much of the southern and central Plains. The surface pattern early Tuesday will likely feature a low near the central NE/KS border, with a dryline extending south-southwestward across central KS and northwest OK, and into the TX Panhandle. This dryline will likely remain in place, sharpening throughout the day as moderate low-level moisture advection continues to its east/southeast. Low-level convergence into this boundary combined with increasing large-scale ascent attendant to the approaching shortwave is forecast to result in convective initiation amid a diurnally destabilizing air mass. Some uncertainty exists regarding storm coverage, largely as a result of unknown cap strength and quality of the moisture return. Even so, environmental conditions support a predominantly supercell mode with any storms that do develop. All severe hazards are possible, including very large hail and tornadoes. Central High Plains surface cyclogenesis will likely cause a westward retreat of the dryline during the evening. At the same time, a strengthening low-level jet will increase warm-air advection across the boundary. These factors are expected to result in additional storm development from the Permian Basin into south-central KS. Primary threat with these evening and overnight storms is large hail. ..Mosier.. 04/25/2021
  11. lol Vrana scored 4 goals tonight (including a natural hat trick) and Panik also scored in DET 7-3 win
  12. 1st place is nice Going to pass you soon... prob this weekend
  13. Drinking while presenting
  14. Where is Ji with the thread about this event?
  15. lulz URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 247 PM EDT Wed Apr 21 2021 DCZ001-MDZ013-014-016>018-503-504-VAZ052>055-057-506-220000- /O.NEW.KLWX.WI.Y.0007.210421T1900Z-210422T0000Z/ District of Columbia-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles- St. Marys-Calvert-Northwest Montgomery- Central and Southeast Montgomery- Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-King George- Eastern Loudoun- Including the cities of Washington, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, St. Charles, Waldorf, Lexington Park, California, Chesapeake Beach, Huntingtown, Dunkirk, North Beach, Lusby, Prince Frederick, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Falmouth, Dahlgren, Leesburg, Ashburn, and Sterling 247 PM EDT Wed Apr 21 2021 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of The District of Columbia, central and southern Maryland and northern Virginia. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
  16. @nj2va is pleased with this
  17. Looks like a damage report out of St. Mary's county from the severe weather PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 229 PM EDT WED APR 21 2021 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0118 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 E CLEMENTS 38.32N 76.70W 04/21/2021 ST. MARYS MD EMERGENCY MNGR TREE SNAPPED AND ONE END OF BARN TIN ROOF RIPPED OFF AND THROWN DOWNWIND NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF PIN CUSHION ROAD AND ROUTE 243.
  18. I'm going to have to cosine this joke
  19. Don't be too obtuse with your jokes
  20. Weird... I did not get any Public Safety/Emergency alert
  21. Losing 5-2 to Buffalo tonight? Islanders also lost tonight but to the Bruins... Penguins lost in the SO to the Flyers. Going to be interesting to see in what order WSH/NYI/PIT are (I don't think BOS can catch either one for the 3 seed but strangers things have happened) for the playoffs. Starts out as intradivision... so #1 plays #4 and #2 plays #3. NHL would really like IMO PIT/WSH at that 2/3 spot for the 1st round of the playoffs IMO
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