yoda

Surprised no talk this morning of the LWX AFD for our severe prospects starting late Friday on @high risk @Eskimo Joe @Kmlwx

06z NAMNEST runs a UD Helicity swath right through/just north of DC 04z to 06z time period. Sim radar backs that up with a very intense line blowing through DC metro up the i95 corridor at same time

06z NAM soundings again suggest fun at 00z and 03z tonight across the region

Well... morning AFD was short and sweet about today's threat lol... also mentioned Saturday as the next day to watch for severe

Double hmmm... evening AFD update from LWX

SLGT risk for today on new Day 1... 0/5/15... disco sounds intriguing

He edited it to 06z tomorrow morning as the final final call

I don't remember that event

Tuesday afternoon to Thursday look excellent

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1251 PM EDT Sun Jun 13 2021 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southwestern Garrett County in western Maryland... Northwestern Grant County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 130 PM EDT. * At 1251 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Thomas, moving southeast at 20 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Bayard, Wilson, Wilsonia and Beechwood. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building.

Or now lol... but it doesn't have any LWX counties in it https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0264.html

And just before that lol https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0944.html STWatch probably coming soon for i81 corridor in next hour or 2

Severe Thunderstorm Warning WVC023-027-031-057-131630- /O.NEW.KLWX.SV.W.0116.210613T1548Z-210613T1630Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1148 AM EDT Sun Jun 13 2021 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northeastern Grant County in eastern West Virginia... Southwestern Mineral County in eastern West Virginia... Northwestern Hardy County in eastern West Virginia... Southwestern Hampshire County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 1230 PM EDT. * At 1147 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Elk Garden, or 8 miles southwest of Keyser, moving southeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Keyser, Elk Garden, Kitzmiller, Burlington, Russelldale, Old Fields, Sulphur City, Purgitsville, Emoryville, Hartmansville, New Creek, Martin, Antioch, Warnocks, Mcneill, Williamsport, Mount Pisgah, Junction and Ridgeville. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature`s leading killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

06z NAM soundings suggest we could be rocking and rolling at both 00z and 03z Tuesday - for the late Monday threat

Morning AFD from LWX about today and tomorrow severe threat

Severe wording in all of the zones for this afternoon and evening

LWX AFD from last evening mentioned Monday and talked it up some

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 500 PM EDT THU JUN 10 2021 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0345 PM FLASH FLOOD BALTIMORE 39.30N 76.61W 06/10/2021 BALTIMORE CITY MD 911 CALL CENTER DOZENS OF STREETS CLOSED IN THE NORTHEAST SIDE OF BALTIMORE CITY PER DPW. && EVENT NUMBER LWX2104287

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 453 PM EDT THU JUN 10 2021 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0324 PM FLASH FLOOD BALTIMORE 39.30N 76.61W 06/10/2021 BALTIMORE CITY MD 911 CALL CENTER WATER HIGHER THAN THE FENCES IN THE AREA OF HILLEN ROAD AND 35TH STREET. MULTIPLE NEARBY ROADS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 459 PM EDT THU JUN 10 2021 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0451 PM FLOOD 2 E WESTMINSTER 39.58N 76.97W 06/10/2021 CARROLL MD EMERGENCY MNGR WATER RESCUE NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF OLD MANCHESTER ROAD AND LUCABAUGH MILL ROAD. && EVENT NUMBER LWX2104286 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 443 PM EDT THU JUN 10 2021 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0435 PM FLOOD 6 N WESTMINSTER 39.67N 77.01W 06/10/2021 CARROLL MD EMERGENCY MNGR DEEP RUN ROAD FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE.

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 252 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 250 PM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of East-Central/Northeast Montana * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 250 PM until 1000 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms including some supercells are expected to develop initially across east-central Montana and quickly move north-northeastward through evening. Large hail and severe-caliber wind gusts are the primary hazards, although a tornado could also occur. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles east and west of a line from 75 miles east northeast of Havre MT to 55 miles west southwest of Miles City MT. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

Wow... 80/80 probs on hail. 50/30 tor probs URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 251 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 225 PM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northeast Montana Western North Dakota * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 225 PM until 900 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 4 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...Intense thunderstorms including supercells will likely rapid develop through mid/late afternoon from east-central/northeast Montana into western South Dakota. Of greatest concern as far as intense supercells and a tornado risk will be those storms occurring near a west-east warm front across the region, where low-level moisture/shear will be maximized. A strong tornado is possible. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles north and south of a line from 10 miles north northwest of Wolf Point MT to 70 miles east southeast of Williston ND. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

@high risk @WxUSAF hmmm... from afternoon AFD from LWX:

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 400 PM EDT THU JUN 10 2021 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0354 PM FLOOD PARKVILLE 39.38N 76.55W 06/10/2021 BALTIMORE MD 911 CALL CENTER CAR STRANDED IN WATER NEAR INTERSECTION OF HARRIS AVE AND RADER AVE. && EVENT NUMBER LWX2104280 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 409 PM EDT THU JUN 10 2021 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0336 PM FLOOD 1 WSW CARNEY 39.40N 76.54W 06/10/2021 BALTIMORE MD BROADCAST MEDIA CARS STRANDED IN WATER IN THE PARKING LOT OF HARFORD HILLS ELEMENTARY SCHOOL. && EVENT NUMBER LWX2104281

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 337 PM EDT Thu Jun 10 2021 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Central Baltimore County in northern Maryland... The Baltimore City in northern Maryland... * Until 900 PM EDT. * At 337 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain have fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly. Local emergency management officials report numerous road closures due to high water and stream gauges on Beaverdam Run and Minebank Run indicate rapidly rising waters. HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing flash flooding. SOURCE...Doppler radar. IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses. * Some locations that may experience flash flooding include... Baltimore... Cockeysville... Towson... Parkville... Carney... Perry Hall... Rossville... Mays Chapel... Timonium... White Marsh... Hampton... Kingsville... Lutherville-Timonium... Lutherville... Loch Raven... Long Green... Glen Arm... Loch Raven Village... Hydes... Eudowood...