yoda

reposting in here (thanks @RIC Airport)

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 954 PM EST Sun Jan 5 2025 MDZ001-501-WVZ501-503-061100- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.W.0002.250106T0300Z-250107T1100Z/ Garrett-Extreme Western Allegany-Western Grant-Western Mineral- 954 PM EST Sun Jan 5 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 10 and 15 inches, with amounts of 24 inches possible in isolated spots if heavy banding sets up in this area. * WHERE...In Maryland, Extreme Western Allegany and Garrett Counties. In West Virginia, Western Grant and Western Mineral Counties. * WHEN...Until 6 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will rapidly deteriorate tonight with untreated and unplowed roads becoming impassable for the Monday morning and evening commutes. During the times of heaviest snowfall, even primary roads may be impassable. It is highly recommended to postpone non-essential travel. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates between 1 to 3 inches per hour are possible between midnight and mid-morning Monday. A second round of heavy snow is likely Monday evening before precipitation ends Monday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Persons should consider delaying all travel. Motorists should use extreme caution if travel is absolutely necessary.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 954 PM EST Sun Jan 5 2025 MDZ003-502-VAZ027>031-WVZ050>053-055-502-504-061100- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.W.0002.250106T0300Z-250107T0600Z/ Washington-Central and Eastern Allegany-Shenandoah-Frederick VA- Page-Warren-Clarke-Hampshire-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy- Eastern Grant-Eastern Mineral- 954 PM EST Sun Jan 5 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 8 and 12 inches, with amounts of 18 inches possible in isolated spots if heavy banding sets up in this area. * WHERE...Portions of north central and western Maryland, northwest Virginia, and eastern and panhandle West Virginia. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will rapidly deteriorate tonight with untreated and unplowed roads becoming impassable for the Monday morning and evening commutes. During the times of heaviest snowfall, even primary roads may be impassable. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates between 1 to 3 inches per hour are possible between midnight and mid-morning Monday. A second round of heavy snow is likely Monday evening before precipitation ends Monday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Persons should consider delaying all travel. Motorists should use extreme caution if travel is absolutely necessary.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 954 PM EST Sun Jan 5 2025 MDZ006-008-507-508-061100- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.W.0002.250106T0600Z-250107T0600Z/ Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford- 954 PM EST Sun Jan 5 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 8 inches, with amounts up to 14 inches possible in isolated spots if heavy banding sets up in this area. * WHERE...Cecil, Northern Baltimore, Northwest Harford, and Southeast Harford Counties. * WHEN...From 1 AM Monday to 1 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will rapidly deteriorate tonight with untreated and unplowed roads becoming impassable for the Monday morning and evening commutes. During the times of heaviest snowfall, even primary roads may be impassable. It is highly recommended to postpone non-essential travel. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates between 1 to 3 inches per hour are possible between midnight and mid-morning Monday. A second round of heavy snow is likely Monday evening before precipitation ends Monday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Persons should consider delaying all travel. Motorists should use extreme caution if travel is absolutely necessary.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 954 PM EST Sun Jan 5 2025 DCZ001-MDZ004-005-011-013-014-503>506-VAZ053-054-501-505-506-526-527- 061100- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.W.0002.250106T0300Z-250107T0600Z/ District of Columbia-Frederick MD-Carroll-Southern Baltimore- Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Northern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William- Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 954 PM EST Sun Jan 5 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations between 5 and 10 inches, with amounts of up to 16 inches possible in isolated spots if heavy banding sets up in this area. Ice accumulations of a trace possible. * WHERE...DC, central, north central, and northern Maryland, and northern Virginia. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will rapidly deteriorate tonight with untreated and unplowed roads becoming impassable for the Monday morning and evening commutes. During the times of heaviest snowfall, even primary roads may be impassable. It is highly recommended to postpone non-essential travel. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates between 1 to 3 inches per hour are possible between midnight and mid-morning Monday. A second round of heavy snow is likely Monday evening before precipitation ends Monday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Persons should consider delaying all travel. Motorists should use extreme caution if travel is absolutely necessary.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 954 PM EST Sun Jan 5 2025 MDZ016>018-VAZ036>040-050-051-055>057-502-507-508-061100- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-250107T0600Z/ Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Madison- Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper-Stafford-Spotsylvania-King George- Southern Fauquier-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge- 954 PM EST Sun Jan 5 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations between 5 and 10 inches, with amounts of up to 15 inches possible in isolated spots if heavy banding sets up in this area. Ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch south of Interstate 64. * WHERE...Portions of southern Maryland and central, northern, and northwest Virginia. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will rapidly deteriorate tonight with untreated and unplowed roads becoming impassable for the Monday morning and evening commutes. During the times of heaviest snowfall, even primary roads may be impassable. It is highly recommended to postpone non-essential travel. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates between 1 to 3 inches per hour are possible between midnight and mid-morning Monday. A second round of heavy snow is likely Monday evening before precipitation ends Monday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Persons should consider delaying all travel. Motorists should use extreme caution if travel is absolutely necessary.

@Midlo Snow Maker is back

@Midlo Snow Maker!!! Hope you are doing well and getting snow!

oh

00z NAM has heavy snow in DC metro again at 03z TUES with h5 pass

What does that mean?

Commanders vs Bucs 8pm Sunday on NBC

on Amazon Prime lol

Should still be a good game, TB vs WSH

I apologize sir. I was sleeping hoping to get tonight off from work and I did. It won't happen again

Good luck Matt. I hope we all see 8"+

Didn't see this posted Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 532 PM EST Sun Jan 5 2025 DCZ001-MDZ004>006-011-013-014-016>018-503>506-VAZ053>057-501-502- 505-506-526-527-060500- District of Columbia-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore- Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys- Calvert-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania- King George-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun- Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William- Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- Including the cities of Washington, Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg, Westminster, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, St. Charles, Waldorf, Lexington Park, California, Chesapeake Beach, Huntingtown, Dunkirk, North Beach, Lusby, Prince Frederick, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Lisbon, Columbia, Ellicott City, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Falmouth, Fredericksburg, Dahlgren, Warrenton, Turnbull, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn, Sterling, Haymarket, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, and Montclair 532 PM EST Sun Jan 5 2025 ...Heavy Snow and Hazardous Travel Across the Baltimore/Washington Metro Area Monday Morning... Be prepared for hazardous travel conditions Monday morning. Heavy snow at times will move across the metro areas Monday morning, most likely between 4 and 10 AM. Rates of 1 to 3 inches per hour are possible, which can make travel nearly impossible at times or at least very dangerous. It is highly recommended to delay any travel that is not necessary.

Commanders also win at the buzzer

Green Bay loses to Chicago. Washington is the 6 seed

@usedtobe would be happy

Sold

DC metro is all snow this run... no sleet

And LWX DOES mention the ICON btw

Well written afternoon AFD from LWX (408 pm) about the event and the uncertainty SHORT TERM /SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... Tomorrow evening, attention turns to a system approaching from the west. A closed upper low and associated surface low will track eastward from the Central Plains toward the Mid-Mississippi Valley during the day tomorrow, through the Ohio Valley tomorrow night into Monday, and then overhead Monday night. Warm advection aloft well in advance of the low will start to overrun very cold air in place at low-levels tomorrow evening. Precipitation will break out in association with that warm advection driven ascent, and then gradually spread northeastward over the course of the night. Onset times of precipitation are expected to be around 6-9 PM in the Alleghenies, central Shenandoah Valley, and central Virginia, 9PM-midnight in the northern Shenandoah Valley, DC/Baltimore Metros, and southern Maryland, and after midnight in far northeast Maryland. Precipitation will be all snow at onset, and should pick up in intensity fairly quickly. The strongest push of warm advection/frontogenetic forcing is expected to move through during the second half of the night, leading to the heaviest precipitation rates. Snowfall rates may reach 1-2 inches per hour for a time late Sunday night where the heaviest bands set up. This time period with heavier precipitation rates will linger a bit into Monday morning, with precipitation becoming lighter late Monday morning through Monday afternoon as the strength of the low-level warm advection weakens a bit. The system`s upper level low will move overhead Monday night, potentially leading to a secondary burst of briefly moderate to locally heavy snow. Precipitation will than wind down during the late evening/overnight hours. At this juncture, there is a bimodal distribution in model guidance with respect to the track of the system and resultant precipitation amounts/types. The GFS/NAM, and the CAMs that are driven by GFS/NAM lateral boundary conditions (HRRR/FV3/3km NAM/WRF-ARW/WRF-NSSL) are further north with QPF axis, and would bring significant, warning level amounts of precipitation to the entire forecast area. Individual members within that camp differ with respect to how far north a warm nose aloft would make it. The HRRR and NAM-Nest illustrate that spread with respect to the handling of the warm nose. The 12 and 18z HRRR keep nearly all of the CWA snow for the entire event, while the NAM-Nest works the warm nose northward to roughly I-66/US-50. In the example of the NAM-Nest, locations north of I-66/US-50 would get warning level snowfall (likely in excess of 6 inches), while locations further south would get a few inches of snow, and then sleet and freezing rain on top of that (resulting in warning level impacts). In the HRRR scenario, the entirety of the forecast area would receive warning level snow, with some locations even closing in on a foot of snow. The other half of the bimodal distribution is global models from international modeling suites (the Euro, Canadian, UKMET, and ICON). These models have the QPF max suppressed further to the south, placing it across central Virginia to southern Maryland. In this scenario, locations north of I-66/US-50, and especially north of I- 70 would receive reduced amounts of precipitation, resulting in advisory level snowfall, while locations further south across central VA to southern Maryland would receive warning level snowfall (potentially even closing in on a foot of snow), along with some minimal mixing with sleet or freezing rain. Since all of the above scenarios provide warning level impacts (whether it be from all snow or a mix of snow and sleet/freezing rain) from the I-66/US-50 corridor southward, confidence was high enough to upgrade the Winter Storm Watch to a Winter Storm Warning. Further north (across northern Maryland and portions of the WV Panhandle), the Winter Storm Watch was left in place to account for uncertainty in QPF amounts, since snow in those locations could be either advisory level (2-5"), or warning level (5+") depending on which solution verifies. This area will continue to evaluated, with decisions on advisory versus warning likely being made overnight after 00z guidance is available.

18z ICON, FWIW, is all snow DC metro