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yoda

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Everything posted by yoda

  1. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 659 PM EST Thu Jan 6 2022 MDZ003-004-VAZ025>031-038>040-051-501-505-WVZ051>053-071000- /O.CON.KLWX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-220107T1000Z/ Washington-Frederick MD-Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah- Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock- Culpeper-Northern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Morgan-Berkeley- Jefferson- 659 PM EST Thu Jan 6 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches, with localized amounts up to 6 inches. * WHERE...Portions of north central Maryland, central, northern, northwest and western Virginia and eastern West Virginia. * WHEN...Until 5 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow may fall at 1 inch or greater per hour overnight. Visibility will drop down to one quarter mile or less during the heaviest snow.
  2. Mmmmhmmm RGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 659 PM EST Thu Jan 6 2022 DCZ001-MDZ005-006-008-011-013-014-016-018-503>508-VAZ052>054-502- 506-071200- /O.CON.KLWX.WW.Y.0003.220107T0200Z-220107T1200Z/ District of Columbia-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil- Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-Calvert- Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford- Southeast Harford-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Southern Fauquier- Eastern Loudoun- 659 PM EST Thu Jan 6 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches, with localized amounts up to 5 inches. * WHERE...The District of Columbia, portions of central, northeast, northern and southern Maryland and northern Virginia. * WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow may fall at 1 inch or greater per hour overnight. Visibility will drop down to one quarter mile or less during the heaviest snow.
  3. It's to the thousandth. A poster posted that they got 11.875" on Monday. You must use the exact science lol
  4. @WxUSAF says he will be sleeping during the heaviest snows... so he forfeits his snow rights
  5. Only 5 points back with 2 games in hand... the Penguins are coming Enjoy your... 5" of snow tonight
  6. Its called staying up lol Well I can... cause Thursday and Friday are my off days
  7. I'll be watching my Penguins win their 10th game in a row tonight as the snow comes in
  8. My bar is 2". Any more, great. Less, that sucks. But I just got 8 to 10 inches of fun Monday... so I have no room to really complain
  9. Huh? The 06z Euro was 2-4 for just about everyone.
  10. Possibly... but its going to pack a punch I hope lol https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0036.html
  11. The model jousting always makes think of this when we come down to the final hours before the storm
  12. 06z GFS says it's not backing down and goes all in again
  13. Morning AFD from LWX... they thought of upgrading to warnings around DC metro This system will continue to carve out an upper-level trough upstream today, and that jetmax and the upper-level trough axis will pass through the region tonight. This will cause surface low pressure to strengthen on the boundary to our south. The jetmax will track far enough to the south to put is in a favorable region of upper-level divergence, and the upper-level trough axis will actually turn toward a negative tilt as it passes through our area. This will case the coastal low to strengthen. While this system will not phase until it is well to our northeast, it does appear that the negative tilt will have enough of a reflection in the lower levels and at the surface to produce an area of low-level frontogenetical forcing. Temperatures will remain plenty cold enough due to the high settling overhead today. Therefore, a band of moderate to perhaps even heavy snow is expected tonight. The one thing preventing higher snowfall amounts will be that this is fast moving. Snow is expected to overspread the Allegheny and Potomac Highlands later this afternoon, and then across the rest of the area from southwest to northeast this evening. This system will quickly move off to the east late tonight with snow dissipating from west to east. A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for the Blue Ridge Mountains, and portions of the Potomac Highlands and a Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for all other locations. The band of snow combined with higher SLR`s is why the warning was issued for those areas. Snowfall totals around 4 to 8 inches are most likely. Across the rest of the area, snowfall totals around 2 to 4 inches are most likely. However, there are signs that a localized band of heavier snow is possible. There is still some uncertainty as to exactly where this will setup and exactly how strong it will be. The more negative tilt to the trough, the stronger the low-level frontogenetical forcing will be. The 00z GFS is most bullish with this. As of now, the most likely area for it to setup would be somewhere near central Maryland (southern suburbs of Baltimore) to around Washington DC and the nearby suburbs. Confidence was not high enough to upgrade to a warning due to the uncertainty previously mentioned, but localized amounts around 5 to 6 inches are possible. Either way, with cold temperatures in place and accumulating snow, conditions will deteriorate once precipitation begins. Even though it is a short duration event, snowfall rates around 1 inch per hour (due to the banding snow) are likely, and this will cause snow covered and slippery roads to develop quickly for most areas. Snow may mix with a little sleet/rain at the beginning across our extreme southern zones in central VA and southern MD, but if there is a mix it will change to snow.
  14. You can never be forced to watch the best team in hockey
  15. If that SLP placement at 36 on the 18z NAM could be closer to the coast...
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