yoda

Been pouring here off and on the past hour or so

Ripping outside

....

Game got PPD ETA:

35 to 45mph gusts and heavy rain please

Wind gusts to 45 mph in the zones tonight for DC and BWI metro

In SE VA

CMC pretty much agrees... GFS slightly less than both

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1000 AM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022 MDZ017-018-302200- /O.NEW.KLWX.WI.Y.0014.220930T2200Z-221001T0800Z/ St. Marys-Calvert- Including the cities of Lexington Park, California, Chesapeake Beach, Huntingtown, Dunkirk, North Beach, Lusby, and Prince Frederick 1000 AM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...Northeast winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected along the shores of the Chesapeake. * WHERE...St. Marys and Calvert Counties. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 4 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1000 AM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022 VAZ025-036>038-503-504-507-508-WVZ505-302200- /O.NEW.KLWX.WI.Y.0014.220930T2000Z-221001T1000Z/ Augusta-Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Western Highland-Eastern Highland- Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge- Western Pendleton- Including the cities of Staunton, Waynesboro, Stuarts Draft, Lovingston, Charlottesville, Stanardsville, Hightown, Monterey, Big Meadows, Wintergreen, and Riverton 1000 AM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...Northeast winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. Highest winds will be along the ridges. * WHERE...In Virginia, Augusta, Nelson, Albemarle, Greene, Western Highland and Eastern Highland Counties, and Northern Virginia Blue Ridge and Central Virginia Blue Ridge. In West Virginia, Western Pendleton County. * WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 6 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result, particularly along the ridges.

Hurricane Ian Advisory Number 25 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022 500 PM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022 ...IAN BATTERING THE FLORIDA PENINSULA WITH CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE, WINDS, AND FLOODING... ...NEW WATCHES AND WARNINGS ISSUED FOR NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.9N 82.0W ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM E OF PUNTA GORDA FLORIDA ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SSW OF ORLANDO FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB...27.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: A Storm Surge Watch has been issued north of South Santee River South Carolina to Little River Inlet. The Tropical Storm Warning has been extended northward to Surf City, North Carolina. A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued from north of Surf City to Cape Lookout, North Carolina.

Hurricane Ian Advisory Number 25 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022 500 PM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022 ...IAN BATTERING THE FLORIDA PENINSULA WITH CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE, WINDS, AND FLOODING... ...NEW WATCHES AND WARNINGS ISSUED FOR NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.9N 82.0W ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM E OF PUNTA GORDA FLORIDA ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SSW OF ORLANDO FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB...27.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: A Storm Surge Watch has been issued north of South Santee River South Carolina to Little River Inlet. The Tropical Storm Warning has been extended northward to Surf City, North Carolina. A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued from north of Surf City to Cape Lookout, North Carolina.

FWIW, which again, is next to zero lol, 18z NAM has heavy rain getting in here late Friday afternoon

Possible isolated tornado threat I think

00z EURO also coming in hot with a Saturday washout

BULLETIN Hurricane Ian Intermediate Advisory Number 21A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022 200 AM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022 ...IAN MOVING CLOSER TO THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA... ...EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, CATASTROPHIC WINDS AND FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.2N 83.0W ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM SW OF NAPLES FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...953 MB...28.14 INCHES

Hurricane Ian Special Discussion Number 21 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022 1230 AM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022 This Special Advisory has been released to issue a Storm Surge Warning for the Lower Florida Keys from Big Pine Key to Key West. The storm surge inundation amounts for the area have been increased to 3 to 5 ft. No other changes were made to the track or intensity forecast.

Um... okay? BULLETIN Hurricane Ian Special Advisory Number 21 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022 1230 AM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022 ...IAN EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, CATASTROPHIC WINDS AND FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA... ...STORM SURGE WARNING ISSUED FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS... SUMMARY OF 1230 AM EDT...0430 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.0N 82.9W ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM SW OF NAPLES FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...953 MB...28.14 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: A Storm Surge Warning has been issued for the Lower Florida Keys from Big Pine Key westward to Key West.

00z CMC is a complete washout for Saturday

00z ICON was lulz tonight Heavy rain Saturday morning into the afternoon... then a little bit of a lull Sunday morning... then a coastal SLP develops and bam, heavy rain returns late Sunday afternoon into Monday night