Those ratios probably would be too low lol... 06z EPS Control has temps between 17 and 24 for just about everyone (S MD is in mid 20s)... pure cold smoke, so Kuchera would be ridiculous if there was one
Hmmmm
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
204 AM EST MON JAN 17 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0155 AM SNOW TONAWANDA 42.99N 78.88W
01/17/2022 M5.8 INCH ERIE NY PUBLIC
ONE HOUR SNOWFALL BETWEEN 1250 AM AND 150
AM. REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
However, it would appear that the 06z GEFS would be much better than the 00z GEFS looking at the 24 hour accumulated precip and comparing the two at hours 132-144