Jump to content

yoda

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    60,268

  • Joined

 Content Type 

Everything posted by yoda

  1. yoda
    Looks like the line approaching the i81 corridor now is going to be the "event"
  2. yoda
    So is my comment about the sun being added to the list lol
  3. yoda
    Filteted sun out here
  4. yoda
    With the newest TW... I think RIC has been under a TW for the past hour straight
  5. yoda
    For C VA and SE VA and into the Eastern Shore Basically RAH and AKQ CWA
  6. yoda
    RIC cell would be on path for just east of La Plata and into S MD if it continues NE
  7. yoda
    20/5 tor probs, 90/20 wind probs on the watch
  8. yoda
    Watch info includes "widespread damaging wind gusts to 70mph likely" URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 87 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 200 PM EDT Thu Mar 31 2022 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Western and Central Maryland Southern New York Central Pennsylvania Northern Virginia Eastern Panhandle of West Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 200 PM until 1000 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Widespread damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to increase in coverage and intensity this afternoon and spread across the watch area. The strongest cells and lines will pose a risk of damaging wind gusts and a tornado or two.
  9. yoda
    Latest SWS from AKQ says radar indicated rotation still
  10. yoda
    Two TWs just issued by RAH
  11. yoda
    STW on it now
  12. yoda
    I'm on my lunch break at work and instead of eating lunch I'm refreshing kamala waiting for my MCD lol
  13. yoda
    Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1114 AM CDT Thu Mar 31 2022 Valid 311630Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...CENTRAL MARYLAND...AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA... ...SUMMARY... Damaging thunderstorm gusts and a few tornadoes are possible today from parts of the Southeast into the Mid-Atlantic region and Hudson Valley. ...VA into NY... Broad and strong southwesterly flow aloft is present today across much of the eastern US, with a strong shortwave trough moving across the upper OH Valley. Breaks in the clouds are resulting in pockets of heating across this area, which should yield at least marginal afternoon CAPE values. Storms have begun to strengthen along a pre-frontal axis over western PA. Model consensus shows multiple corridors of strengthening low-level winds through the day, which will help to enhance convergence and lead to more widespread intensifying thunderstorms by mid-afternoon. These fast-moving storms will pose a risk of damaging winds and isolated tornadoes. Have added an ENH risk area for this threat.
  14. yoda
  15. yoda
    30% wind contour added in ENH risk region
  16. yoda
  17. yoda
    SPC has gone ENH from N VA into PA on 1630z OTLK
  18. yoda
    Plus with PBZ issuing it's 3rd TW in the past 20 minutes... I'm just guessing they would go TOR... but who knows
  19. yoda
    True... I was going by last paragraph Mesoscale Discussion 0376 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1107 AM CDT Thu Mar 31 2022 Areas affected...Western/central Pennsylvania into western Maryland Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 311607Z - 311730Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Isolated wind damage is possible early this afternoon as storm develop in western Pennsylvania/Maryland. Storm intensity is expected to increase later this afternoon into central/eastern Pennsylvania and adjacent areas of Maryland. Trends will continue to be monitored for a watch issuance. DISCUSSION...Cloud cover has continued to clear across West Virginia into western Pennsylvania as mid-level dry air overspreads the area. Though MLCAPE values remain below 300 J/kg, surface heating has brought temperatures in southwestern Pennsylvania into the upper 60s F. Low-level lapse rates are likely steepened enough to support a risk for damaging wind gusts given 50-60 kts of wind within the lowest 2 km on regional VAD winds. Into central Pennsylvania, more time will be require to destabilize as cloud cover has kept temperatures in the mid/upper 50s F. However, with the decreasing cloud cover expected, an increasing severe risk will probably occur by mid-afternoon. Southerly winds should advect increasing moisture into the area as well. Limited buoyancy and veered surface winds in western Pennsylvania will limit the tornado risk with early activity. Surface winds will remain more backed in central/eastern Pennsylvania along with greater 850 mb wind speeds. The greater tornado threat is likely to exist farther east and later this afternoon. ..Wendt/Hart.. 03/31/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PHI...BGM...CTP...LWX...PBZ...
  20. yoda
    Sounds like maybe a tornado watch coming later for N MD into C PA per MCD
  21. yoda
    Can see some breaks of sunshine here
  22. yoda
    BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 1157 AM EDT Thu Mar 31 2022 The National Weather Service in Pittsburgh has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northern Indiana County in west central Pennsylvania... Jefferson County in west central Pennsylvania... Southeastern Armstrong County in west central Pennsylvania... Southeastern Clarion County in west central Pennsylvania... * Until 1245 PM EDT. * At 1156 AM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 8 miles north of New Bethlehem to 12 miles west of Punxsutawney to 8 miles west of Indiana, moving northeast at 70 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Trees snapped and uprooted. Power outages. * Locations impacted include... Punxsutawney, Brookville, Reynoldsville, Brockway, New Bethlehem, Sykesville, Falls Creek, Rural Valley, West Lebanon, Big Run, Dayton, and Summerville. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... This is a DANGEROUS SITUATION. These storms likely are producing very strong wind gusts. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay away from windows! Please report severe weather by calling 412-262-1988, posting to the NWS Pittsburgh Facebook page, or using Twitter @NWSPITTSBURGH. && LAT...LON 4120 7877 4113 7880 4081 7881 4054 7940 4087 7928 4115 7936 4138 7897 4136 7896 4126 7874 4123 7874 4123 7871 4120 7871 TIME...MOT...LOC 1556Z 236DEG 60KT 4112 7927 4091 7922 4065 7931 TORNADO...POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH
  23. yoda
    I'd imagine we will see an MCD for our region in the next hour or so from SPC
  24. yoda
    Storm moving NE at 60 mph ETA: now east motion
  25. yoda
    Wait there's a blizzard on the GFS again? Lol
×
×
  • Create New...